H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 so when do I get my WSW? Don't you mean WWA since you are up there on the north fringe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 not good enough let me get you lwx's number so you can complain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Don't you mean WWA since you are up there on the north fringe? I will laugh when you get hours of heavy rain followed by some mangled flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Don't you mean WWA since you are up there on the north fringe? the fringers always get the deform thundersnow. screw them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 the fringers always get the deform thundersnow I hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I guess at this point you put more faith in models than ens. but..........the last two gfs ens means have gotten drier for my area. People are laughing at the Canadian and the Ukie, but remember that this is Thursday at noon. Much can change. I hope we all end up happy, but I think caution is still the word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 so when do I get my WSW? OEM will let us know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 OEM will let us know Right on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I hope im not sure this is a situation where there'd be a ton of t-snow.. kinda far out to tell yet but the 500 energy is kinda stretchy as it passes. no huge temp contrast either. but it seems every storm has some lately so hard to rule it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Radio show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I havent seen an unstable layer yet when I have looked at soundings, but maybe I am missing something it doesnt really have the look.. maybe once further out to sea. but im not sure you'd really see a strong indication at this range yet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I will laugh when you get hours of heavy rain followed by some mangled flakes This will likely be the case i will post video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i see global 500 scores. woohoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 JimCantore 12Z GFS warmer and faster so IMPACT snow for DCA and BWI seem unlikely a this time. Good skiing in WV though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Don't you mean WWA since you are up there on the north fringe? Await the north trend... await it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 JimCantore 12Z GFS warmer and faster so IMPACT snow for DCA and BWI seem unlikely a this time. Good skiing in WV though Is he like in another world? Sorry jim just because you wont be sitting in front of the monument in thundersnow, whats his deal Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is he like in another world? Sorry jim just because you wont be sitting in front of the monument in thundersnow, whats his deal Ian? i dunno.. tho i've yet to see a forecaster from outside the region be that great at forecasting for the region. it's a high risk situation in the cities still i suppose. but not sure his commentary is spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 lol.. im confused by his commentary JimCantore @capitalweather Thanks Jason! Another storm bites the dust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 We are entering into "worry about every little model wiggle" mode. I await the post bemoaning that fact that the 18Z GFS fringes Leesburg. Eh....I stopped paying attention when Ellinwood said this thing had no chance.....I'm riding the Ellinwood bus all the way to nothingness on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He might mean high impact, which for the cities..may not be all that bad. Temps will be a function of snow rates, so you'll need 1/2SM stuff or better to get the good accumulations. At least on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm surprised to see Cantore making those comments @ 72 hours. Kinda precarious if you ask me. Even if you're not familiar with our challenged snow climo, this threat is pretty real at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Not sure I'd even consider Cantore to be a true forecaster. He's more of a commentator/entertainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm surprised to see Cantore making those comments @ 72 hours. Kinda precarious if you ask me. Even if you're not familiar with our challenged snow climo, this threat is pretty real at this point. Reminds me of how the mets downplayed 1/26 last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i dunno.. tho i've yet to see a forecaster from outside the region be that great at forecasting for the region. it's a high risk situation in the cities still i suppose. but not sure his commentary is spot on. we also don't know what he means by impact...He might not consider 2-4 an impact in DC. Really in most winters we wouldn't be that excited about 2-4 or even 3-5. So for this winter based on what we have seen so far his comments may ring true. Now the weenie in me says he needs to jump off a tall bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He might mean high impact, which for the cities..may not be all that bad. Temps will be a function of snow rates, so you'll need 1/2SM stuff or better to get the good accumulations. At least on the GFS. agree it's going to have an uphill battle to be more than pretty in the cities but he seems rather negative overall. im not sure the last 24 hours of modeling supports that totally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Reminds me of how the mets downplayed 1/26 last year. I thought our subforum did a smoking job analyzing 1/26 last year. It was quite memorable for me. I had the dadgum flu, was lying under 50 blankets with a 103 fever, lost power, wondered why god was punishing me, and had my phone in hand reading every post on amwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Alright, lol. Everyone is going apeshiz on Cantore. Take a deep breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 we also don't know what he means by impact...He might not consider 2-4 an impact in DC. Really in most winters we wouldn't be that excited about 2-4 or even 3-5. So for this winter based on what we have seen so far his comments may ring true. Now the weenie in me says he needs to jump off a tall bridge. that's possible. tho the bite the dust comment seems off... i mean we're up against a 1" storm as our competitor. so unless it's less than that it's a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Alright, lol. Everyone is going apeshiz on Cantore. Take a deep breath. banter thread.. go away -- no "apeshiz" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Its time for the biggest EURO run of our lives this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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