Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He had a thread? Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 00z CRAS was toasty NOGAPS was supressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He had a thread? Yes late last night he had a thread that said no weenies allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yes late last night he had a thread that said no weenies allowed. It might have been a bad title but it was a good idea... Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Good ol' Joe. If surface temps weren't as warm as depicted, his map would be, dare I say...reasonable? Tony and Adam were discussing it in the Philly subforum and they said this is his first map all year that actually looks reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Tony and Adam were discussing it in the Philly subforum and they said this is his first map all year that actually looks reasonable. Adam also said he wouldn't have gone with that high of totals however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 It might have been a bad title but it was a good idea... Oh well If you guys can't see it i assume he deleted it himself, unless WXUSAF with his temporary powers deleted it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Adam also said he wouldn't have gone with that high of totals however Yes he did, because forecasting 6" this far out for our area is assinine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This is probably a good sign for DC proper - Henry Margusity's map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This is probably a good sign for DC proper - Henry Margusity's map. NY is closer to the 3-6" than DC and Baltimore, he is such a loon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yup. Not seeing any further shifts N today and overnight would be huge confidence wise. Keeping expectations around 2" would be the best way to look at it and not get swayed by thoughts of higher numbers. Based on what's transpired this winter so far, I would like to see a storm where the snow is deep enough to actually cover the grass, and actually sticks to surfaces other than grass, car tops, and trashcan lids. That's my minimum over/under crtieria for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yes he did, because forecasting 6" this far out for our area is assinine. Ok. I just wanted others to know all of what Adam said... which is yes, his map looks reasonable, BUT, the totals may be too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 If you guys can't see it i assume he deleted it himself, unless WXUSAF with his temporary powers deleted it . It was merged i thought with the giant storm thread before the newest one made this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Ok. I just wanted others to know all of what Adam said... which is yes, his map looks reasonable, BUT, the totals may be too high. Yea sorry i figured if anyone was interested they could go over there and see the whole conversation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Henry "I adjusted the snow area north thinking the storm will come a little farther north despite the GFS and Euro." Hunches more powerful than guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 It was merged i thought with the giant storm thread before the newest one made this morning Oh that could be, i did not read that thread this morning because i was up so late last night that i saw everything already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Henry "I adjusted the snow area north thinking the storm will come a little farther north despite the GFS and Euro." Hunches more powerful than guidance Just our luck this will be the first time he is right in 10 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Henry "I adjusted the snow area north thinking the storm will come a little farther north despite the GFS and Euro." Hunches more powerful than guidance except when they're from you, Henry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I haven't deleted anything...YET! But my trigger finger's itchy from the lack of storm mode this winter! As for JB's map...yeah...really not that crazy. I was expecting to see "lolli's to 12"" or something like that over all of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i'm just glad to finally get a map that shows me getting something. Ellinwoods maps have been harsh DC south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 12z NAM looks a bit more consolidated with the SLP than 06z was at 57 hrs. 06z at 5 PM Sat had SLP in E TX... 12z at 5 PM Sat has it in SW LA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I haven't deleted anything...YET! But my trigger finger's itchy from the lack of storm mode this winter! As for JB's map...yeah...really not that crazy. I was expecting to see "lolli's to 12"" or something like that over all of I-95. But notice he leaves hope for the rest of the I-95 weenies by saying no changes yet . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 i'm just glad to finally get a map that shows me getting something. Ellinwoods maps have been harsh DC south He is putting out his first map this afternoon i am betting we are in the 3-6" contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yea sorry i figured if anyone was interested they could go over there and see the whole conversation. Well next time, you may want to list where it came from. Not everyone reading knows who Adam and Tony are and what subforum they are from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Not sure if I should post nam stuff in the main thread yet but.........ns vort on nam is slower @ 60 vs 66 on 6z. It's looking pretty nice honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Bethesda Boy nailes these two months... clearly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Not sure if I should post nam stuff in the main thread yet but.........ns vort on nam is slower @ 60 vs 66 on 6z. It's looking pretty nice honestly. I like it.. SLP is a bit more consolidated... I posted in here cause its the NAM 60+ hrs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Thanks to the red taggers and learned amatuers for the good discussion related to the model runs last night. That was interesting reading this morning. Seconded. I enjoyed reading some good and educational discussions in this and the main forum this morning. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Until Ian makes the rule or says otherwise, my vote is for model talk to go in the model thread...even if it is a model on his naughty list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Just a tad difference between 06z at 75 and 12z at 69 in regards to the QPF field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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