H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 are those above maps showing snow rate? If so, is that inches/hour? I think it shows amout falling in a 3 or 6 hour timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I think it shows amout falling in a 3 or 6 hour timeframe Thank you. Not so impressive then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 As exciting as last night's model runs were, I am hoping that most folks have their expectations set somewhere along the lines of what zwyts has been advocating for awhile now. If we can eek out an area-wide 3 - 5 inch snowfall in this winter, that's a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 As exciting as last night's model runs were, I am hoping that most folks have their expectations set somewhere along the lines of what zwyts has been advocating for awhile now. If we can eek out an area-wide 3 - 5 inch snowfall in this winter, that's a win. Agreed - Id like to see the models today hold before even getting remotely excited for any snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Agreed - Id like to see the models today hold before even getting remotely excited for any snow at all. Yup. I should have mentioned Wes too. He has been pretty clear for awhile now about how hard it is to get even 4" snowfalls into our region in winters like this. If we can get this one to that level and get me outside with my kids for snowball fights on Sunday, that would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Thank you. Not so impressive then. But I dont think all of it is done based on one screen shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Thanks to the red taggers and learned amatuers for the good discussion related to the model runs last night. That was interesting reading this morning. I like getting up a few minutes early in the morning and reading through those discussions. We are lucky that Matt stays up and initiates that stuff. It's always a fun read. CoastalWX is mostly a daytime poster, but I enjoy when he drops into our forums too. Hopeully we see a lot of these guys over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 As exciting as last night's model runs were, I am hoping that most folks have their expectations set somewhere along the lines of what zwyts has been advocating for awhile now. If we can eek out an area-wide 3 - 5 inch snowfall in this winter, that's a win. Yup. Not seeing any further shifts N today and overnight would be huge confidence wise. Keeping expectations around 2" would be the best way to look at it and not get swayed by thoughts of higher numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yup. I should have mentioned Wes too. He has been pretty clear for awhile now about how hard it is to get even 4" snowfalls into our region in winters like this. If we can get this one to that level and get me outside with my kids for snowball fights on Sunday, that would be awesome. Forecast high for my area day before is mid 50's like it has been. Any snow fall would be melting from the bottom up. Quite possible to have melt water running underneath the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I would like to see one solid inch accumulate with snow falling for 5 hours straight. That is all. My kids are resourceful will make that work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Jb's latest snow map: @BigJoeBastardi: Here is snow map for weekend. No changes on storm tracks, models will waffle but I wont.. yet http://t.co/ZqNNXjJf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Where did Matts thread go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is this weekend the first in a series of perfect setups to hit 30" on the year? If so, should we let bb back in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 00z CRAS was toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is this weekend the first in a series of perfect setups to hit 30" on the year? If so, should we let bb back in? He should be made a mod if he verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Good ol' Joe. If surface temps weren't as warm as depicted, his map would be, dare I say...reasonable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Where did Matts thread go? He had a thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He had a thread? Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 00z CRAS was toasty NOGAPS was supressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 He had a thread? Yes late last night he had a thread that said no weenies allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yes late last night he had a thread that said no weenies allowed. It might have been a bad title but it was a good idea... Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Good ol' Joe. If surface temps weren't as warm as depicted, his map would be, dare I say...reasonable? Tony and Adam were discussing it in the Philly subforum and they said this is his first map all year that actually looks reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Tony and Adam were discussing it in the Philly subforum and they said this is his first map all year that actually looks reasonable. Adam also said he wouldn't have gone with that high of totals however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 It might have been a bad title but it was a good idea... Oh well If you guys can't see it i assume he deleted it himself, unless WXUSAF with his temporary powers deleted it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Adam also said he wouldn't have gone with that high of totals however Yes he did, because forecasting 6" this far out for our area is assinine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This is probably a good sign for DC proper - Henry Margusity's map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 This is probably a good sign for DC proper - Henry Margusity's map. NY is closer to the 3-6" than DC and Baltimore, he is such a loon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yup. Not seeing any further shifts N today and overnight would be huge confidence wise. Keeping expectations around 2" would be the best way to look at it and not get swayed by thoughts of higher numbers. Based on what's transpired this winter so far, I would like to see a storm where the snow is deep enough to actually cover the grass, and actually sticks to surfaces other than grass, car tops, and trashcan lids. That's my minimum over/under crtieria for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yes he did, because forecasting 6" this far out for our area is assinine. Ok. I just wanted others to know all of what Adam said... which is yes, his map looks reasonable, BUT, the totals may be too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 If you guys can't see it i assume he deleted it himself, unless WXUSAF with his temporary powers deleted it . It was merged i thought with the giant storm thread before the newest one made this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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