ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Assuming you live slightly west of me, your average is about 25-26" according to this map. Leesburg apparently gets 23. I am in that circle that the guy in Pikesville circled the other day so i am a bit southwest of you. So i still get more than Leesburg, that is nice to know. Now i do not have to resent Ji anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Assuming you live slightly west of me, your average is about 25-26" according to this map. Leesburg apparently gets 23. The death valley of Frederick. I felt like we were eternally screwed while living there. Yet you look back at storm maps and see the massive accumulations in 96, 03 and the 2010 storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 It will be a clipper by tonight... either that or a rain soaked apps runner. Either way... this is not happening. It is 2012 and this S%@! is not happening. (this is the Banter thread so please don't 5 post me LOL) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm now worrying about something going wrong today too. I love the concensus in the models right now. Can we hop in a time machine to Sat night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 06Z GFS is by far the closest thing we've had to model porn recently. Cold with heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 06Z GFS is by far the closest thing we've had to model porn recently. Cold with heavy precip. From Valley low to mountain high. Hope we haven't peaked too early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Thanks to the red taggers and learned amatuers for the good discussion related to the model runs last night. That was interesting reading this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The death valley of Frederick. I felt like we were eternally screwed while living there. Yet you look back at storm maps and see the massive accumulations in 96, 03 and the 2010 storms. we are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Our reaction based on last nights runs: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 lol..i remember that storm. Was 50 degrees at noon...snow fell at night and in the morning when i woke up...i was shocked It was so warm out here that day, I remember playing pick-up b-ball outdoors that afternoon (Sunday) and into the late evening. We only stopped once it got too dusk. Someone mentioned a forecast of snow that night, and the rest of us thought they were crazy. Incredibly, the snow started only a couple hours after the cloulds moved in, and it snowed HARD. It was right up there w/ the heaviest snow I've ever seen. We ended up with 14 inches, and most of it was gone by that afternoon; it must've been near 50 that day. At least we got one day off school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Euro snowfall maps - snow only, there would be some precip to fall before it changes to snow. Timing 15z - 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 are those above maps showing snow rate? If so, is that inches/hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 6Z GFS... most of WV takes a big hit Too early to be in the target though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 are those above maps showing snow rate? If so, is that inches/hour? I think it shows amout falling in a 3 or 6 hour timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I think it shows amout falling in a 3 or 6 hour timeframe Thank you. Not so impressive then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 As exciting as last night's model runs were, I am hoping that most folks have their expectations set somewhere along the lines of what zwyts has been advocating for awhile now. If we can eek out an area-wide 3 - 5 inch snowfall in this winter, that's a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 As exciting as last night's model runs were, I am hoping that most folks have their expectations set somewhere along the lines of what zwyts has been advocating for awhile now. If we can eek out an area-wide 3 - 5 inch snowfall in this winter, that's a win. Agreed - Id like to see the models today hold before even getting remotely excited for any snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Agreed - Id like to see the models today hold before even getting remotely excited for any snow at all. Yup. I should have mentioned Wes too. He has been pretty clear for awhile now about how hard it is to get even 4" snowfalls into our region in winters like this. If we can get this one to that level and get me outside with my kids for snowball fights on Sunday, that would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Thank you. Not so impressive then. But I dont think all of it is done based on one screen shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Thanks to the red taggers and learned amatuers for the good discussion related to the model runs last night. That was interesting reading this morning. I like getting up a few minutes early in the morning and reading through those discussions. We are lucky that Matt stays up and initiates that stuff. It's always a fun read. CoastalWX is mostly a daytime poster, but I enjoy when he drops into our forums too. Hopeully we see a lot of these guys over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 As exciting as last night's model runs were, I am hoping that most folks have their expectations set somewhere along the lines of what zwyts has been advocating for awhile now. If we can eek out an area-wide 3 - 5 inch snowfall in this winter, that's a win. Yup. Not seeing any further shifts N today and overnight would be huge confidence wise. Keeping expectations around 2" would be the best way to look at it and not get swayed by thoughts of higher numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Yup. I should have mentioned Wes too. He has been pretty clear for awhile now about how hard it is to get even 4" snowfalls into our region in winters like this. If we can get this one to that level and get me outside with my kids for snowball fights on Sunday, that would be awesome. Forecast high for my area day before is mid 50's like it has been. Any snow fall would be melting from the bottom up. Quite possible to have melt water running underneath the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I would like to see one solid inch accumulate with snow falling for 5 hours straight. That is all. My kids are resourceful will make that work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Jb's latest snow map: @BigJoeBastardi: Here is snow map for weekend. No changes on storm tracks, models will waffle but I wont.. yet http://t.co/ZqNNXjJf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Where did Matts thread go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is this weekend the first in a series of perfect setups to hit 30" on the year? If so, should we let bb back in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 00z CRAS was toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Is this weekend the first in a series of perfect setups to hit 30" on the year? If so, should we let bb back in? He should be made a mod if he verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Good ol' Joe. If surface temps weren't as warm as depicted, his map would be, dare I say...reasonable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Where did Matts thread go? He had a thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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