Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 if the gfs scores a coup will people stop humping the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 if the gfs scores a coup will people stop humping the euro? nope most people are committed to the euro...who dumps their gf the day after v-day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 if the gfs scores a coup will people stop humping the euro? Seems like every winter every model gets one storm right at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 The 84 hour NAM (SEE 84 hour NAM DISCLAIMER) has a closed, but elongated 850 mb low to the southeast of DCA. This problably suggests some suppression, but overall I think it's a good sign for our area where it's located on the NAM. Keep that 850 MB low just to our south and east and good things should happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 nope most people are committed to the euro...who dumps their gf the day after v-day? perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Seems like every winter every model gets one storm right at some point the gfs did better a few storms where it went south as nothingess early/first. maybe it's secretely the second best model guidance to the 84 hour nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 nope most people are committed to the euro...who dumps their gf the day after v-day? Only guys who have girlfriends who won't let them spend 18 hours a day on American. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 How sweet would it be if there was an 18Z euro that initialized around 7pm.... That would be unreal, i could actually get some sleep this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 he is probably in the NE, NYC or the SE. forum copying posts to paste here Did I miss the NAM? Damn... better be ready with the GFS, UKIE, GGEM, GEFS in a bit. Sorry guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Posting this here so as not to get yelled at... NAM Clownmap thru 84 hours - precip just arriving at a northern limit, falling as SN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 16, 2012 Author Share Posted February 16, 2012 Let us hope that this GFS run shows and not to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Low confidence prediction: Models converge on a general track idea by 0z runs tomorrow night...... Then they slowly jog north and west on Friday and Saturday... by Saturday afternoon models are printing out a general 0.5 - 0.75" for DC metro.... Of rain or snow is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Those clown maps sure do make a weenie happy. If it was 24 or 36 hours out my weenie might be a little more excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 We've probably seen the most extreme solutions already so it safe to say that 0z will bring a brand new set of ideas. It's probably also safe to say that the euro is too far s&e and the gfs is too far n&w. I like zwyts' low confidence forecast alot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Well you must secretly hope we do well too, because CTBlizz loves to talk sh*t about us. i hope everyone just gets along to be honest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Can't edit from my phone. 0z will prob NOT bring a new set of ideas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I agree and don't think we'll know but the NAmis not a bad solution. Too phased might give a GFS solution. It's a fine line the models have to tread. The northern shortwave has to get ahead of th esouthern one intially but not be so strong that it shoves the low track south. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Euro shift north tonight. Wes is trying to get me to stay up late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Wes is trying to get me to stay up late. Yup looks like a 2 a.m bedtime for most tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Shes coming. Euro gfs comprimise i mentioned today for the win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 good luck getting 10:1 to verify that map. chop in half or so? i think this run supports the rates needed especially if it comes around then or even a little earlier should it be right. would like to see a more energetic 500 passage but it's a good one. maybe snow the consistency of jan 26 last yr... hot and soupy., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 I'm gonna go with 0.00" final call, next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 METAR KDCA 230400Z 02010KT 1/4SM SN FG OVC004 01/01 A2977 RMK R36VR30 SNOINCR SLP081 P0017 T00060006 510/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Cmc is nice for you folks. Move the southern boundary to include more of va and it's similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Cmc is nice for you folks. Move the southern boundary to include more of va and it's similar. Cmc was nice, especially for RIC proper. I'd assume things will be NW of that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 final call lol..i remember that storm. Was 50 degrees at noon...snow fell at night and in the morning when i woke up...i was shocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 DT just issued a *RUT ROH RAGGY* for the GGEM and UKMET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 ..stop posting....just stop...your posts are terrible Shame you can't ban me here, then you would be less annoyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2012 Share Posted February 16, 2012 Probably, i remember looking at the NOAA average snowfall map and i thought they averaged 4-5" more than us. And i annoyed Matt for no reason then. Assuming you live slightly west of me, your average is about 25-26" according to this map. Leesburg apparently gets 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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