PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Didn't the NAM use to run faster? The new "Screw Everyone" algorithm is quite complex and takes time to run. Patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Colder/drier/warmer/wetter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Correct me if I am wrong cause was in southern Virginia at the time. But if I recall correctly, March 2009 was also suppose to be a southern Virginia snowstorm that crept north at the last minute. I remember we were suppose to get our only snow of the year near Richmond. We did, like 6 to 9 inches, but DC also got 6 to 9 when they were not suppose to until the final day before? Honestly, I think a lot of this is about selective memory. March 09 was a true coastal storm - I do not recall it ever being modeled as a Southern Va special. DC was under the gun for quite a while along with many of the I-95 cities. Hopefully I am not skewing history though. If anything, that storm underperformed IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The new "Screw Everyone" algorithm is quite complex and takes time to run. Patience. This is quality Phineas right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 The 0Z NAM is running. Stormtrackers second favorite model run after the 18Z NAM. 0z NAM is the BEST. Always telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well call me an idiot, but the NAM is in the process of folding on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Colder/drier/warmer/wetter? I've had just enough Pikesville Rye that I'm ready pull out every stupid weenie model ob I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Honestly, I think a lot of this is about selective memory. March 09 was a true coastal storm - I do not recall it ever being modeled as a Southern Va special. DC was under the gun for quite a while along with many of the I-95 cities. Hopefully I am not skewing history though. If anything, that storm underperformed IMBY. You're right, March 2009 was on the cards well before the day of the storm for DC to Boston. The fact that Richmond was finally getting a snowstorm really cheered me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 For better or worse, this NAM run has some differences through 24HR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Everything is a little slower again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 This 0Z run looks very similar to the 12Z run through the same time. Only difference is a little slower and the NW precip shield is a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 I've had just enough Pikesville Rye that I'm ready pull out every stupid weenie model ob I've ever seen. The GFS is our Hail Mary moment so save it for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 It is slower...which is actually better if we actually can get moisture up here. Later in the day, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well call me an idiot, but the NAM is in the process of folding on this run. This 0Z run looks very similar to the 12Z run through the same time. Only difference is a little slower and the NW precip shield is a little stronger. Oh dear, who to believe?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Oh dear, who to believe?? The best way to find the truth is to explore for yourself- Some Famous Guy http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?model=&area=&prevArea=NAMER&prevPage=Model&page=Model&restKey=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Quite a bit slower than 18Z at 30HR. Doubt it means anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Oh dear, who to believe?? My vote is for the ... The replies that I write and then cancel are my best work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. If you're wrong, I'm going to 5 post you. I'm sort of serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Skippy...I can't believe you'd fold like this! Don't give up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Heights are lower on the EC. That can't be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 If you're wrong, I'm going to 5 post you. I'm sort of serious. Well this sorta sucks cuz i probably will be right, but I don't want to be if you know what I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Is there an adult in the room? Which is it steady on or south? Explanation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Looks like it's going south to me too but I've only seen through 30h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 bye bye to the south, and don't tell me im wrong phin or a weenie, shes going south. Sorry skippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Is there an adult in the room? Which is it steady on or south? Explanation? Pretty sure it is folding. It will likely only go part way this run so we can all suffer for a while longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Sorry skippy What are you sorry about weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Well this sorta sucks cuz i probably will be right, but I don't want to be if you know what I'm saying South = good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Seems like the northern branch system is stealing the energy from our main event. See offshore precip and then compare to past runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2012 Share Posted February 18, 2012 Slower was good for a while but now it's problematic in getting proper interaction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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