Justin Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Its really a shame the Arctic air this Winter doesn't hang around more than 24-36hrs, this system had potential. But as I said, I'm not fully writing it off until tomorrow when I see all the newest data. I know that holding out some hope usually doesn't work out in the end, as the writing is on the wall pretty much- but you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Snowfall map from MKE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Snowfall map from MKE lol that has the potential to bust badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 lol that has the potential to bust badly. Looks like they are riding the 12Z euro for that map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Latest GEM looks different than the Nam and GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Latest GEM looks different than the Nam and GFS.. Yeah, stronger/further north, but still mainly rain except for central Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 marginal. "marginal at best" snows> SVR wx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Continues to be major differences between Euro and GFS/NAM. Euro favoring a more phased scenario resulting in moderate snow accumulations across WI and North/Central MI. 00Z EURO: MSN: 0.35 MOP: 0.30 APN: 0.53 TVC: 0.53 Since DVN is iffy: THU 00Z 16-FEB 3.0 1.4 1015 90 83 0.00 553 541 THU 06Z 16-FEB 1.7 -0.9 1013 99 100 0.47 550 540 THU 12Z 16-FEB 1.3 -2.8 1015 90 69 0.33 547 535 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Continues to be major differences between Euro and GFS/NAM. Euro favoring a more phased scenario resulting in moderate snow accumulations across WI and North/Central MI. 00Z EURO: MSN: 0.35 MOP: 0.30 APN: 0.53 TVC: 0.53 Since DVN is iffy: THU 00Z 16-FEB 3.0 1.4 1015 90 83 0.00 553 541 THU 06Z 16-FEB 1.7 -0.9 1013 99 100 0.47 550 540 THU 12Z 16-FEB 1.3 -2.8 1015 90 69 0.33 547 535 MKE snowfall map FTW.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 "marginal at best" snows> SVR wx lol. no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 "marginal at best" snows> SVR wx Haha, to each their own. To me all aspects of weather are interesting. Especially monster supercells feasting off of high theta-e air in a highly sheared environment. Ahhhhhhhh. But I digress.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 0Z Euro actually looks pretty damn good for MKE.. I know you saw the wunderweenie snowfall map Wisconsinwx A three hour snapshot of snowfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 0Z Euro actually looks pretty damn good for MKE.. I know you saw the wunderweenie snowfall map Wisconsinwx That don't look bad! Probably a 3-5" snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 That don't look bad! Probably a 3-5" snowfall. Keep in mind that image is only a 3 hour snapshot of snowfall.. There is some decent precip before and after that image.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 The Euro takes the sfc low to almost the same spot at 60hr as the 12z run but its also weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 The Euro takes the sfc low to almost the same spot at 60hr as the 12z run but its also weaker. You must have talked some sense into Skilling. He didn't seem as excited about snow prospects for Chicago as I thought he might. Even his longer range RPM showed an all rain event for northern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 0Z Euro actually looks pretty damn good for MKE.. I know you saw the wunderweenie snowfall map Wisconsinwx A three hour snapshot of snowfall.. Actually no, but I've seen this movie before, a few weeks ago, when the Euro kept giving MKE about 0.5" QPF with that Friday storm that ended up shifting south and hitting Chicago pretty well while giving us a scant 2". Therefore, I will remain very cautious. Still, nice to know there is still a sliver of hope at least. Of course, I had to make it my profile pic, though it is not very clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 You must have talked some sense into Skilling. He didn't seem as excited about snow prospects for Chicago as I thought he might. Even his longer range RPM showed an all rain event for northern IL. Yeah he kinda ticked me off tonight lol kept talking about the "south trend" and putting us more in the snow. But didn't mention that also meant weaker with no cold air to work with. The boundary layer looks too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 "marginal at best" snows<<<<<SVR wx Corrected, sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 I am embracing more rain, bring on the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Yeah he kinda ticked me off tonight lol kept talking about the "south trend" and putting us more in the snow. But didn't mention that also meant weaker with no cold air to work with. The boundary layer looks too warm. Man oh man your one lucky guy dude lol.. Enjoy and cherish your time with the man, the myth, the legend, himself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Yeah he kinda ticked me off tonight lol kept talking about the "south trend" and putting us more in the snow. But didn't mention that also meant weaker with no cold air to work with. The boundary layer looks too warm. Haha. Yeah neglecting why it's tracking further south is definitely not good. If there was enough residual cold air left around like a normal season that would be one thing. This season quality cold air is hard to come by when it comes to the southern stream systems. EDIT: BTW, make sure to give him some **** (all in fun of course) Thursday afternoon when the whole area has been bathed in a cold rain all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 I am embracing more rain, bring on the rain. Eh.....I wish we could just go right into spring...70s and sunny... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Eh.....I wish we could just go right into spring...70s and sunny... I'm with you adjos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Eh.....I wish we could just go right into spring...70s and sunny... Soon enough it will be over and this winter will always be in debate as one of the worst winters witnessed by us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 I am embracing more rain, bring on the rain. Yuck! Although in this kind of winter we are due for a rain event, the last 5 events have been snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Soon enough it will be over and this winter will always be in debate as one of the worst winters witnessed by us. Alot remains to be seen what happens in Feb/Mar yet. I would say for many of us our good memories of winters past go to mid-1990s at least? You have winters like 1997-98 and 1999-00 that almost certainly will have seen less snowfall than this year. And for those that can remember further back, you have winters like 88-89, 82-83, 79-80, 68-69, 65-66, etc, which are no contest worse than this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 Alot remains to be seen what happens in Feb/Mar yet. I would say for many of us our good memories of winters past go to mid-1990s at least? You have winters like 1997-98 and 1999-00 that almost certainly will have seen less snowfall than this year. And for those that can remember further back, you have winters like 88-89, 82-83, 79-80, 68-69, 65-66, etc, which are no contest worse than this winter. True, but some of those winters at least featured "shorts wx". I was in South Bend in February '98 and remember roller-blading in sunny and 72 conditions. Can't do that this year. Nope, as soon as it is acting like spring, some winter shows up, and vice-versa. Neither of which is over-whelmingly noteworthy. (although Friday's event for us here in S. Mich was impressiv'e, especially by this season's std) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 NAM doing exactly what i thought it would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 14, 2012 Share Posted February 14, 2012 True, but some of those winters at least featured "shorts wx". I was in South Bend in February '98 and remember roller-blading in sunny and 72 conditions. Can't do that this year. Nope, as soon as it is acting like spring, some winter shows up, and vice-versa. Neither of which is over-whelmingly noteworthy. (although Friday's event for us here in S. Mich was impressiv'e, especially by this season's std) I would agree with you about 97-98. Yah it was bad but did have mild flavor that this winter has not had in southern MI. I remember several mild weather events we did outside. Now 82-83 was much worse than this winter IMO through February. I hated that winter beyond belief. Sure this winter has been lackluster winter but it does not even hold a candle to how bad 82-83 was IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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