ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 0c line south of me FTW..YOU 36 and rain ftl LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 GGEM ftw... 980mb low basically near Boston I'd probably trust a computer model that you ran on your own computer more than the GGEM at 144 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 0c line south of me FTW..YOU 36 and rain ftl Modeling has had you south of the 0c line for many runs this winter...hope you've enjoyed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 I'd probably trust a computer model that you ran on your own computer more than the GGEM at 144 hours. I know... I was more like wtf lmao... blizz heavy heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 You folks can keep the 4" of slush...all set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 I don't know whether any of the Mets on here forecast for the airlines, but is essential that AA415 leaves on Saturday morning. Luckily it seems this storm is going to rain for BOS, and more of a Thursday night/Friday deal. I hope we get crushed with snow anytime after Saturday morning though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 I'd probably trust a computer model that you ran on your own computer more than the GGEM at 144 hours. LOl... this made me laugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 I fully expect a rainer to at least Killington on this..but at least it gives us something to track and hold out slim hope for..Better than wishing for spring to come in Feb..lol..those poor souls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 You folks can keep the 4" of slush...all set. Totally agree. Would help futility records, but other than that, 4" of slush will melt in 2 days and I guarentee it won't be all snow for a lot of CNE/SNE so other than helping record low snowfall, there's no point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 What storm is this thread for? #confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 What storm is this thread for? #confused Yeah the thread says 2/18 but we've been talking about 2/16-17 in here, At this point I'd take heavy rain...we havent even had that this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 Looks to me by 9z Friday, the H85 line is already up to Tolland, but I don't really care.....it's 5 days out and it's mainly rain for me, regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 What storm is this thread for? #confused The one where you'll be in the upper 50's with rain..that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 Now that frustration has waned, you gotta be in awe of how every, single significant snow zone has eluded this area....the first third of the winter it was all n and west, the 2nd zone it was all se, and now we are n and w again. AFAIC, get all of this screwgie karma outta the way now and get me a record. Start a new next fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 The one where you'll be in the upper 50's with rain..that one You should be embarrassed by your winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 You should be embarrassed by your winter #troll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 If you can't beat the fail, join it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 You should be embarrassed by your winter You should be embarassed that you've spent more time in our subforum than yours this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Good luck with that 15" by Friday, Mark. Read again...this coming Sunday and then next Friday after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Tip, this is what a control run is. One forecast, called the EPS control forecast, is run from the operational ECMWF analysis. 50 additional integrations, the perturbed members, are made from slightly different initial conditions which are designed to represent the uncertainties inherent in the operational analysis. The initial perturbations are generated using the singular vector technique. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 You should be embarassed that you've spent more time in our subforum than yours this winter. I come here for the weeklies and euro 11-15 and your forecasting of 1-2 snowstorms a week for your backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 I fully expect a rainer to at least Killington on this..but at least it gives us something to track and hold out slim hope for..Better than wishing for spring to come in Feb..lol..those poor souls How is your -1 at Boston looking for Feb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 Read again...this coming Sunday and then next Friday after that Oh, crap....my bad. No-go on that.....I'll just stick to the bet with Jeff. Ah, screw it....I like your chances in that, but I'll stick w it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 All this conjecture for a rainer when its going to snow Tuesday night, just do not understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Now that frustration has waned, you gotta be in awe of how every, single significant snow zone has eluded this area....the first third of the winter it was all n and west, the 2nd zone it was all se, and now we are n and w again. AFAIC, get all of this screwgie karma outta the way now and get me a record. Start a new next fall. Ray, I wouldn't feel singled out like that. No areas south of the Canadian border across all the CONUS has done remarkably well this year. It's heavily discussed, everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 You should be embarassed that you've spent more time in our subforum than yours this winter. Btw...congrats on your landslide weenie of the year win. It was the one forecast that actually verified this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 How is your -1 at Boston looking for Feb? Hows your -2.5F for Feb looking after the epic record breaking torch with 60s and 70s in the interior at the end of January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Tip, this is what a control run is. One forecast, called the EPS control forecast, is run from the operational ECMWF analysis. 50 additional integrations, the perturbed members, are made from slightly different initial conditions which are designed to represent the uncertainties inherent in the operational analysis. The initial perturbations are generated using the singular vector technique. Yeah, I found this statement shortly after I post that question. It's really not hugely different than what NCEP does in each individual member of the GEF, actually. Each member has a slightly perturbed form of physics/initialization (..ex,different convective schemes...etc). They do cause emerging and decaying event differences among the various members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 Hows your -2.5F for Feb looking after the epic record breaking torch with 60s and 70s in the interior at the end of January? I went +3++ in the contest thread last month, no idea what you are talking about, its there, for all to see, might win this month actually, just killing it in that contest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2012 Author Share Posted February 12, 2012 Ray, I wouldn't feel singled out like that. No areas south of the Canadian border across all the CONUS has done remarkably well this year. It's heavily discussed, everywhere. I'm focusing on a smaller scale....just the sne area, not the CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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