CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2012 Author Share Posted February 13, 2012 For Friday, not the weekend. Be specific Well, obviously the weekend event isn't hugging the coast. Be common sense savy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 He wastes no time. *** ALERT *** ALERT ***ALERT .... this is No drill ... 12Z EURO BRING in MUCH strong SE US LOW HEAVY SNOW to all of central and eastern VA --over 6 inches and much of Northern NC ... this not a drill... WOOF WOOF BARK WOOF Good lord. The same model will show a lakes cutter tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Did I ever mention I hate DT? lol anyways doesn't look like much for SNE on Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I don't think it makes that much of a difference...and also, it's not that far south. well may not matter for bos/cape but 12z yesterday 850 was in portsmouth,nh today it's over bourne bridge (for ENE) and for WNE it was in S. Vt yesterday at 12z fri today it was cent. nj) so i think this shows good trend and if you can't go that far..it is better for N orh hills monads i would think. i guess we need a bombing secondary in the CP with this airmass but this run is good for will and KTOL...no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Ah hahahahahah. that D6 Euro is pretty damn close to the JMA from yesterday.... Also - the "control run" of the Euro - i guess. it'd help if we could see this control thing rather than going on blind faith. "hey, i just ran the nexium interpolator model - duck, guys. just duck " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 well may not matter for bos/cape but 12z yesterday 850 was in portsmouth,nh today it's over bourne bridge (for ENE) and for WNE it was in S. Vt yesterday at 12z fri today it was cent. nj) so i think this shows good trend and if you can't go that far..it is better for N orh hills monads i would think. i guess we need a bombing secondary in the CP with this airmass but this run is good for will and KTOL...no? BL torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well. it is 132 hours away, so at least its not a day 8 storm. Still, ridiculous. I think this has a chance to trend N. I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 well may not matter for bos/cape but 12z yesterday 850 was in portsmouth,nh today it's over bourne bridge (for ENE) and for WNE it was in S. Vt yesterday at 12z fri today it was cent. nj) so i think this shows good trend and if you can't go that far..it is better for N orh hills monads i would think. i guess we need a bombing secondary in the CP with this airmass but this run is good for will and KTOL...no? gracias...where I am the trend it crucial on this one...looks like we have a shot a solid advisory snows with maybe Jeff or Eric getting low end warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 gracias...where I am the trend it crucial on this one...looks like we have a shot a solid advisory snows with maybe Jeff or Eric getting low end warning. I'm telling you, the SSE flow is going to torch the BL well into NNE. Probably a non event outside the northern greens/white/interior Maine. Even here in NE VT I think it's borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 He wastes no time. *** ALERT *** ALERT ***ALERT .... this is No drill ... 12Z EURO BRING in MUCH strong SE US LOW HEAVY SNOW to all of central and eastern VA --over 6 inches and much of Northern NC ... this not a drill... WOOF WOOF BARK WOOF LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2012 Author Share Posted February 13, 2012 I like my chances on both bets. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 The setup really isn't bad at all. Some key players there, but good God..look at 500mb. It's got shortwaves galore. However, a few tweaks would bring snow to Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 gracias...where I am the trend it crucial on this one...looks like we have a shot a solid advisory snows with maybe Jeff or Eric getting low end warning. I'd wager I see mostly NCP out of this. But there is time for this to trend for the better. Good hit for the ski resorts entering vacation week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 The setup really isn't bad at all. Some key players there, but good God..look at 500mb. It's got shortwaves galore. However, a few tweaks would bring snow to Phil. I don't like the lack of good riding to the west. I'm not sure what exactly is going to force the northern stream to dig enough to phase with this thing. Other than that it is a nice setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 LOL What would be even funnier is if the N stream SPV fragment that is dangling N of Lake Superior on D6 comes sinking S to phase in... Those type of subsume scenario are how you get your finest events. It's already partially doiing so on this run at D7 but misses by just that much in a full on phase. Might yet happen on tonights Euro run... If so, the outlandish JMA and control run of the Euro get a nod all the sudden - ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Verbatim the euro has snow almost down to Atlanta this run, but it only makes it to to about D.C before sliding OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Let the north trend commence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I'm telling you, the SSE flow is going to torch the BL well into NNE. Probably a non event outside the northern greens/white/interior Maine. Even here in NE VT I think it's borderline. per this euro what is the elevation necessary. i mean 1500' in NH i think should be fine w/ a low track as modeled also there's some hints of bagginess on the pressure fields in CNE with that high NNE of maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2012 Author Share Posted February 13, 2012 Whiff....cold\dry....rain....whiff Just another week in the season of 2011-'12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I don't like the lack of good riding to the west. I'm not sure what exactly is going to force the northern stream to dig enough to phase with this thing. Other than that it is a nice setup. If you look at 500mb, there is some ridging, but it's not very nice looking. It's more the Atlantic side that look "better" if you want to call it that. There is a lot of work to be done for this to come closer, but the setup at 500mb isn't that bad right now...especially being over 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Man i wish SV had 925 mb temp maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 This ol' seadog is going to Killington this weekend. How's that looking Fri/Sat? Too far OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Could it be! Could it actually that an operational run, the 12z Euro, is finally put up a ridge in the far east Pac/Western N/A per direction off Phase 8 forcing ?! nah, can't be - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 It's got an overrunning event in the middle of next week too. But that could easily be 60F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I'm telling you, the SSE flow is going to torch the BL well into NNE. Probably a non event outside the northern greens/white/interior Maine. Even here in NE VT I think it's borderline. I don't know, 850's only briefly go to 0c here, They stay -4c for most of the storm friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Let the north trend commence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 but seriously, it doesn't. But seriously, it almost does... lol BTW.. I, ME, SNOWNH is starting the thread for this storm when I get home! I am the only.member to get a snowstorm to SNE this met winter... so Kevin Ray or BOB don't start one. Starting to get amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 per this euro what is the elevation necessary. i mean 1500' in NH i think should be fine w/ a low track as modeled also there's some hints of bagginess on the pressure fields in CNE with that high NNE of maine Yeah I think higher elevations in Central and northern VT/NH will do ok and creep above freezing by late morning Friday unfortunately. This happened earlier this year where there was a decent CAD signal with a weak high to our NNE and the Euro consistently showed 2m above 32F by daybreak on the day of the storm and most (including me and many of my forecasting colleagues at LSC) discounted it because of the strong CAD signal. Turned out that we went above 32F at 830AM that morning instead of our progged 12PM time. I believe it was 1/28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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