ravensrule Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Here's my snow map for now through 12z Sunday: Some additional snow could accumulate up in the mountains past 7am Sunday, but I've got the bulk of it encompassed in the forecast and the 12z cut-off should make verification a bit easier. Wow so not even a dusting with the vort pass N&W of the cities?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Here's my snow map for now through 12z Sunday: Some additional snow could accumulate up in the mountains past 7am Sunday, but I've got the bulk of it encompassed in the forecast and the 12z cut-off should make verification a bit easier. Are you just changing the dates on your maps? Doesn't look any different than before Reasonable map, mark. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 WWA just issued here for 1-3". LOL. I'm sure it'll be just as warranted as the one on Wednesday which produced exactly 0.00" of snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Is the gfs messed up or something? What's up with these charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Here's my snow map for now through 12z Sunday: Some additional snow could accumulate up in the mountains past 7am Sunday, but I've got the bulk of it encompassed in the forecast and the 12z cut-off should make verification a bit easier. NWS much more bull****...er, I mean bullish than you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Are you just changing the dates on your maps? Doesn't look any different than before Reasonable map, mark. Good luck. Ha, thanks. Yeah, it seems like the same ol' thing for a good chunk of us. Wow so not even a dusting with the vort pass N&W of the cities?. I'm thinking a dusting to 1/2 inch for most of MD/DC with that vort pass. However, I do not plot snowfall accumulations under an inch on my maps (way too much work when I have to do all of this forecasting and verification in my spare time). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Here's my snow map for now through 12z Sunday: Some additional snow could accumulate up in the mountains past 7am Sunday, but I've got the bulk of it encompassed in the forecast and the 12z cut-off should make verification a bit easier. At first I thought you might be over compensating for getting burned a little mid-week, but then I remembered that your map doesn't show less than 1 inch accumulations (other than the word "mixing"). Have you considered a pink area for coatings? Nice map. Edit: You answered my question. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 At first I thought you might be over compensating for getting burned a little mid-week, but then I remembered that your map doesn't show less than 1 inch accumulations (other than the word "mixing"). Have you considered a pink area for coatings? Nice map. Edit: You answered my question. Thanks. I reserve the pink shade for when I think there will be a good amount of only sleet/ice accumulation (that doesn't overlap with the 1"+ snow line). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Snow flakes are falling...37/29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 WWA just issued here for 1-3". LOL. I'm sure it'll be just as warranted as the one on Wednesday which produced exactly 0.00" of snow here. I think this one has a better chance. Better time of day, better in that the sun has been shieded somewhat by the clouds today, better couple of days leading up in that it was "cold" giving us better ground conditions. We'll see, but if we wake up to a little snow cover it won't be a shock. None wouldn't be a shock either. I'm interested in tomorrow afternoon. Anyone with thoughts on how that might play out? Usually that stuff doesn't work well for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 For those who didn't see this thread Weather Forecast and Discussion, this is a really helpful excel based forecasting tool: http://www.txtornado.net/Worksheet.html The thread: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/32389-cool-new-free-excel-based-forecasting-tool/ I'm interested to see what the MA mets have to say about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 radar has much more coverage than wednesday this looks to be far better than Wednesday particularly what ever is around will be followed by cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Flakes have also started here. A couple hours ahead of schedule. I'm sure this translates into much more snow for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 i guess the general public is too stupid to realize the difference but im not sure why everyone's still calling this coastal storm precip. i guess it's a nuance not really worth getting into but it seems to leave at least some with more hope than they should have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Flakes have also started here. A couple hours ahead of schedule. I'm sure this translates into much more snow for the DC area. i cant tell if people are being serious or joking anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 i cant tell if people are being serious or joking anymore. He's being mean. I used to like him. And who's saying "coastal precipitation?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'm proably letting the weenie side of me take control a bit but I do like the vort moving into northern IL. I don't have high hopes for anything before that because frankly there's no reason to think it will amount to anything different that what I've already seen because of the stupid surface temps. Maybe we do get more than a line of snow showers/squalls on sat afternoon? I'm looking forward to the 18z nam. Is one stinking inch of snow actually sticking to the grass AND sidewalks too much to ask for god sakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 He's being mean. I used to like him. And who's saying "coastal precipitation?" most of the media etc. i think it's probably just because it's easier.. it is related of course. i suppose it's a stupid thing for me to be annoyed about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'm proably letting the weenie side of me take control a bit but I do like the vort moving into northern IL. I don't have high hopes for anything before that because frankly there's no reason to think it will amount to anything different that what I've already seen because of the stupid surface temps. Maybe we do get more than a line of snow showers/squalls on sat afternoon? I'm looking forward to the 18z nam. Is one stinking inch of snow actually sticking to the grass AND sidewalks too much to ask for god sakes? A few minutes ago I was on the goes site and realized that I couldn't remember the last time I looked at a water vapor loop just to watch cold air intrusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 i cant tell if people are being serious or joking anymore. just remember, lawyers lie the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 i cant tell if people are being serious or joking anymore. I was serious that it is snowing. Joking about it meaning more for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 For those who didn't see this thread Weather Forecast and Discussion, this is a really helpful excel based forecasting tool: http://www.txtornado.../Worksheet.html The thread: http://www.americanw...recasting-tool/ I'm interested to see what the MA mets have to say about it. Oh man - reminds me of that snowmachine program thing - anybody remember - I will not comment again on it - the guy acted like a robot? anybody remember and know if he/she was ever exposed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 most of the media etc. i think it's probably just because it's easier.. it is related of course. i suppose it's a stupid thing for me to be annoyed about. You might be annoyed because it falls into the hype category. I watched a WMAR video clip just a while ago and weather woman that I've never seen before said that this won't be a big deal because our precip "will not join up with the coastal storm." Quite the antithesis of JB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 You might be annoyed because it falls into the hype category. I watched a WMAR video clip just a while ago and weather woman that I've never seen before said that this won't be a big deal because our precip "will not join up with the coastal storm." Quite the antithesis of JB. quite the opposite of what we would have expected a former met on that station would have suggested, don't you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 quite the opposite of what we would have expected a former met on that station would have suggested, don't you think? Yeah. That's what I meant by, "Quite the antithesis of JB." Maybe I should have said the local JB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Map from Millersville's Eric Horst, funny thing is he is actually a really good met from Millersville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 You might be annoyed because it falls into the hype category. I watched a WMAR video clip just a while ago and weather woman that I've never seen before said that this won't be a big deal because our precip "will not join up with the coastal storm." Quite the antithesis of JB. that's good.. i know the former wmar person is talking about bust potential in the se if the coastal gives more than currently anticipated. i know some of it is just ease of explanation tho i think people are generally receptive to learning. but take all the rain after lee.. the big days were ones in which "lee" was already well to our northeast even if it helped the upper trough orientation/strength. yet everyone called it flooding from lee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Yeah. That's what I meant by, "Quite the antithesis of JB." Maybe I should have said the local JB. I'm sorry, my fault I always associate JB w/Bastardi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Map from Millersville's Eric Horst, funny thing is he is actually a really good met from Millersville. It's probably a little bullish, but his maps have been pretty accurate so far this season with the nickle and dime events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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