chris21 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 22z RUC says no, but enjoy cold and wind RUC has it missing us to the east, shows at least some flurries though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Judging by radar progression, if it holds together we're good because its not going to miss us to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Judging by radar progression, if it holds together we're good because its not going to miss us to the east. Because weather never changes direction right? jk but you get the point right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2012 Author Share Posted February 11, 2012 Just got in and damn, its cold out. Windy as hell too. Feels good. I missed the snowsquall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Just got in and damn, its cold out. Windy as hell too. Feels good. I missed the snowsquall i feel like it hasnt snowed since feb 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Ian: It would be interesting to do a climate search to find out if this event is just about the latest calendar date for a given winter season to mark the occurance of a initial arctic front for the season. In some seasons, we get an arctic blast between Thanksgiving and mid-December. Also of interest, we may have an enhanced probability of getting lake effect streamers down to DC since none of the Great Lakes are frozen and closed for business. we've had a few... particularly the one in early january. not even sure this is the "strongest" though it would be up against that one and it might be a little colder based on avgs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Things like this are hit or miss... look for some blooming in the next couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 dews really crashed the last few hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Euro had the main batch coming along and east of the Bay, but some accumulating snow west of the Bay as well looking at the radar, I think that's how it plays out, but that doesn't mean we won't see snow on the western shores or even get a small accumulation as cold as it is, we don't need much qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 LWX really hasnt impressed me in the time I've been here. Not even a mention of the chance of an inverted trof overnight? Thats pretty weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i feel like it hasnt snowed since feb 2010 ECMWF Control Run will soon change that... http://www.americanw...ost__p__1362711 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Euro had the main batch coming along and east of the Bay, but some accumulating snow west of the Bay as well looking at the radar, I think that's how it plays out, but that doesn't mean we won't see snow on the western shores or even get a small accumulation as cold as it is, we don't need much qpf Im concerned about dry air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 if you click on "Composite" on the top of the radar box and then click on "Animate", you can see some back building beginning (probably in response to the u/l feature) http://www.marylandwx.com/klwxstate.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Someone Williamsport PA just reported 4". Low dewpoints as the surface may dry the precip out before it gets here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Im concerned about dry air rh is ok for now but dews are running 5-10 lower than mos at this time and it showed them keep dropping next few hours. maybe it just happened early. i think there's already evidence of the stuff in pa washing out a bit as mid lvl energy moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I at least like our chances for something, mitch the area around us is where the models have enhanced stuff, so it makes some sense, as long as the super dry air doesn't do it we should get something,not much precip needed as stated with good ratios likely, which could also enhance some of the rates. Idk, lets keep taking a peek every now and again. Also, some convergence in the snow growth layer a bit west of us, so something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I thought inverted troughs were extremely hard to predict even by short range models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Brief moment of thundersnow here in SBY. A dusting on the ground, moderate snow, gusts to 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 rh is ok for now but dews are running 5-10 lower than mos at this time and it showed them keep dropping next few hours. maybe it just happened early. i think there's already evidence of the stuff in pa washing out a bit as mid lvl energy moves east. true, though many models had an area of redevelopment around Baltimore south and east, which wes mentioned earlier i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I thought inverted troughs were extremely hard to predict even by short range models? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 State College radar sure does look pretty imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 true, though many models had an area of redevelopment around Baltimore south and east, which wes mentioned earlier i think. someone mentioned wes.. mini jb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 The wind is crazy out. The tree line behind our house is supplying the gusts will bullets to throw at our house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 LWX just raised pops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 LWX just raised pops Yep there is the raise in POPS, good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 4'' in the last 90 minutes a bit south of Williamsport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 State College radar sure does look pretty imo Because its in clear air mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 IAD and BWI picked up 1"with this am event....BWI is at 1.3" for the season?...WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 IAD and BWI picked up 1"with this am event....BWI is at 1.3" for the season?...WTF They were at 1.3" before this event so obviously that is impossible. They are horrible over there at providing proper amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2012 Share Posted February 12, 2012 They were at 1.3" before this event so obviously that is impossible. They are horrible over there at providing proper amounts. ok...it has got to be 2.3" then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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