Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 the front is showing up nicely on LWX radar now...will have to see if that line develops draw a line from Cumberland MD to Bryce Mountain...that's the line to watch and see if it develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Sun def trying to come through that cloud layer, Leesburg, no? A few flurries here in Paeonian Springs. I would say it is very bright out but no sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 If i were to use a line of summer storms as my guide I would say that the development would be pretty much over or just east of me...just past the mountains then intensifies as it moves east...pretty standard thunderstorm route in my 8 years here...I say it happens it is forming the last few images...look at 16:49...we will have to see how well it develops or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 fixed. That's better. Let's hope this squall line can replenish whatever has melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 If i were to use a line of summer storms as my guide I would say that the development would be pretty much over or just east of me...just past the mountains then intensifies as it moves east...pretty standard thunderstorm route in my 8 years here...I say it happens this does feel a bit like watching storms fire over the higher terrain and hoping they get organized as they move east. i don't see any reason we won't see an expansion of precipitation along that line... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 it is forming the last few images...look at 16:49...we will have to see how well it develops or not looks like some good convective development on visible sat. too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Would be nice if that line extends down to RIC. I looked at the HRRR and the sim radar looks to be that way. Temps are the question down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 draw a line from Cumberland MD to Bryce Mountain...that's the line to watch and see if it develops yup you're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 looks like some good convective development on visible sat. too it's kind of nice to see it popping up now..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 yup you're right look at radarscope...you can see it a lot better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 it's kind of nice to see it popping up now..... Agree...the mo west the mo better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 it's kind of nice to see it popping up now..... yup, radar improving each scan....i'm liking the inverted trough for this evening that you mentioned earlier too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 the first band rain or snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 but look at the enhanced area entering Fairfax county....I'm at 36/32...that could be some steady snow?....not sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spud Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 just got a new weather station. Is 38.6 a correct reading near bethesda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 the first band rain or snow? I dunno?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 the first band rain or snow? i think anything under good rates will be all snow. freezing levels around 960 mb right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 just got a new weather station. Is 38.6 a correct reading near bethesda? I dont think so?....I think too high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I dunno?... snow in fairfax per cwg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Wind chill tonight are going to be near zero or single digits tonight... we haven't felt that since 2 winters ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 yup, radar improving each scan....i'm liking the inverted trough for this evening that you mentioned earlier too It's east-west oriented though?...like a norlun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Its snow...centreville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 It's east-west oriented though?...like a norlun? yup..could be wrong but that's what i'm thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I dunno?... Prob snow. my precip finally turned over with this last band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Studying the CAA aloft and some of the fronto... watch this area for development soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 It's east-west oriented though?...like a norlun? Are we talking about the 12 to 15 hr time period on the 12z GFS? Also, I don't think we get norluns down here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Snow here last nights coating melted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Thanks SBoswx....Unrelated, did you hear...The Giants won the super bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Band is firing up right now out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Are we talking about the 12 to 15 hr time period on the 12z GFS? Also, I don't think we get norluns down here? Yes, most of the models do show a norlun trough rotating down from PA during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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