WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Light snow here. Started with a temp of 39.5 now down to 37.7. Naturally as soon as snow starts, the radar starts looking like a prune. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It's not only the highest peaks that get hit with lake-effect. Anywhere that has appreciable orographic enhancement will be able to squeeze out some moisture on the windward sides. maybe you missed my edit my original post was referring to the GFS run (reread) I posted the 48 hr qpf total and no one, even in the mts, was out of the 25.-.5 range considering surface temps are warm to start everywhere, including the highest peaks, I fail to see where my statement deserved the derogatory tone from you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 According to SPC, the 540 line is running WSW to ENE from Leesburg to Columbia to just north of BWI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 wow, GFS is dry barely .1" qpf in 24 hrs a lot of forecasts will bust if that verifies (which we know it will) Look at the 36, it has your area firmly over 0.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 37 here, sticking to paved surfaces... The rain that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 maybe you missed my edit my original post was referring to the GFS run (reread) I posted the 48 hr qpf total and no one, even in the mts, was out of the 25.-.5 range considering surface temps are warm to start everywhere, including the highest peaks, I fail to see where my statement deserved the derogatory tone from you Because the GFS is good on picking up lake-effect and the resulting QPF... Also, they'll have better ratios to work with up in the mountain. EDIT: Point of the matter is what the heck are you doing using the GFS to figure out a lake-effect scenario when the hi-res models (or even the NAM) will handle it much better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Virga has commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 This is what a couple of cool days, cold nights, a cloudy day, and snow at 5 pm can do. Wed it snowed here at a good clip for 4 hours before it stuck to anything. It has been snowing for less than an hour and the ground is already getting white. Edit: It is cool to note that KOKV is reporting rain. I'm only about 200 feet higher, and 10 miles north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Flurries/light snow falling. 36.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 back to all snow...mulch is turning white...32/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownerd Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Flurries have turned to a lighter snow, down to 34.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Federick is 41 and G-burg is at 43. I think westminster is 39 or so. It is significant to see snow with those kind of surface temps. The general rule of thumb is all rain until it hits 38. I'm not sure when the last time I saw snow with surface temps in the 40's. Petersburg dropped from 41-37 in short order. I never really expected to see anything stick until after the front moves through but it would be a nice surprise to at least see snow falling from the sky before I go to bed. Yeah, the only time I have seen snow with temps in the 40's were flurries associated with a cold front and falling temps. Nothing is falling now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 35.9 in Westminster and it just started as light snow/ice. Ground not even wet yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Look at the 36, it has your area firmly over 0.25 I was referring to snow accumulation forecasts most of that qpf in the "lowlands" is rain gunna' be real hard (if not impossible) to see 1-2"snow amounts verify with total qpf "barely" above .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Had a brief period of spittle in Columbia. Nada right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Nothing w of the 'Burg. Temps nicely cooperating. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Pretty cool to watch the snow levels drop on the way home. The top of South Mt. had a solid coating at 1200' with moderate snow at 5:30. By the time I got to the Dual Hwy exit on I-70 there was just a light dusting with some rain/snow mix. Think its around 600' there. Now home at 500' and snow is just starting to stick. 35 degrees now. Looks like at most I lost 0.01" of precip, and everything from here on will accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Interesting that KOKV still reporting rain. Here's a traffic cam from the county. Looks very much like this at my house, temp down to 34.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Wisp....meh http://www.wispresort.com/wisp/info/w.webcam.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 37.2 in Frederick. Pavement is wet and think it is just from rain. Sorry cannot see any precip in the streetlight to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrrconus/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr&domain=t3&run_time=10+Feb+2012+-+20Z Of course the HRRR shows nice stuff developing later, though the actual models do agree sorta with it, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Snowing up here in Lancaster, Pa. Just light flurries. Temp 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 LWX keeps upping their totals, and I don't know why: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 HRRR is kinda nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 HRRR is kinda nice Yeah, but we'll definitely see if the precip ignites like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looking at temps on HRRR... another warm BL situation obviously.. but if that precip actually gets over our heads like it advertises it should fall as wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Light snow with a temp of 36. Snow started with a temp of 40 around 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Temp dropped to 34.5 and still light flurries/snow, no rain mixing in here yet... 35.9 in Westminster and it just started as light snow/ice. Ground not even wet yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 when is the precip suppose to start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 when is the precip suppose to start? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lwS_YDzxH3M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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