clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Some flurries out here already. DT says 3-8 for me. I dont see it. But I like the look of the Natl radar at this point. Looks much better than Wednesday. By the way, anyone see the long range Euro storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I like the looks of the h5 at 27... but that might be a tad south o our liking in N NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Ahh I don't know so much about the legitimacy of it rising back up until after the precip falls, nonetheless I'd agree with MN it'd be snow after 9z til the the first round of precip ends, as for part 2 I'm more impressed this run with that vort and sim rad looks good if you ask me on IWM.com at 27 the precip is too light, that's why the NAM has it warming I'll defer to the NAM on that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Better hope the NAM is out to lunch. If correct, Ellenwood can move his freezing line 30 miles west... ...until Saturday eve when we get something like coating to an inch from the arctic front. It is looking more and more than any accumulation south of the M-D Line and east of Martinsburg will hold off until sunset and after sunset on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I like the looks of the h5 at 27... but that might be a tad south o our liking in N NC Ahh i'd bet it will be a few miles north of there at game time, nonetheless its a solid looking vort... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=02%2F10%2F2012+18UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=sim_radar&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=027&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Squall line of snow moves through around 5 pm tomorrow And prob 0.05 QPF with it... weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Squall line of snow moves through around 5 pm tomorrow I've noticed the northerly batch of precip that hangs above the squall line also collapses through, would likely be snow showers, but that 30-35dbz squall would produce a bit more than .02 of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Eh, not really am improvement or a worsening. I'll take my .5" and like it. Again, at least it will "look and feel" like winter. It's only taken until the 11th of Feb to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Squall line of snow moves through around 5 pm tomorrow And prob 0.05 QPF with it... weak It is interesting that the NAM, GFS and Euro all have this N-S movement of light snow/flurries hanging around after the line moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Eh, not really am improvement or a worsening. I'll take my .5" and like it. Again, at least it will "look and feel" like winter. It's only taken until the 11th of Feb to get there. That is a Winter 11-12 victory! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It is interesting that the NAM, GFS and Euro all have this N-S movement of light snow/flurries hanging around after the line moves through. Just caught that @ hr 33 on sim. So, we get a burst of mod snow @ 30 and then some leftovers @ 33. Combined with sub freezing temps and wind.......i like it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The LWX snowfall map has been updated. The only reason that I post this is that I don't think it has ever been remotely correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The LWX snowfall map has been updated. The only reason that I post this is that I don't think it has ever been remotely correct. "snowmap not in effect" ? edit: n/m now it works. they're due for their last minute over increase in snowfall.. maybe the overnight shift will give me 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 from LWX: FOR THE COUNTIES ALONG THE MASON- DIXON SUSPECT THAT STREAMERS WL BE MAKING IT INTO THE ERN PANHANDLE...PTNLY ALL THE WAY TO NRN SXNS OF THE CHES BAY LATE TNGT AND SAT. IT'S CONCEIVABLE THAT AREAS W/ STREAMERS COULD PICK UP 1-3" BY END OF SAT WHILE 5 MILES AWAY GETS CLOSE TO NOTHING. I'm under a WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 funny how in any other winter I would see this radar map knowing that 850 temps are around -3C, give or take, and get excited... not this year http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?enlarge=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'm under a WWA I was very shocked when i saw that, that is very very bullish for our area. I hope they are right for once this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Well it certainly looks like snow out there... Low granite cloud deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownerd Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It is snow flurrying in Front Royal, VA currently, although very lightly. My thermometer says 39.9 but it usually reads high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Temps did not warm as much as expected today. Topped out around 38/39. Surfaces are colder for sure this time compared to last Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Now the obs/real-time thead 44.3, down from a high of 48.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Rain-snow mix now...mostly rain with a few flakes...36/32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Temps did not warm as much as expected today. Topped out around 38/39. Surfaces are colder for sure this time compared to last Sat. these threads are so predictable.. i swear they're run on loops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 these threads are so predictable.. i swear they're run on loops. they were saying mid 40s to near 50 this morning. Significant difference. Keeps hope alive anyhow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 these threads are so predictable.. i swear they're run on loops. It actually is factual even though it seems like a broken record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 they were saying mid 40s to near 50 this morning. Significant difference. Keeps hope alive anyhow I said 43 in HGR today...got to 41. I think the NWS 3" is too high. Maybe 2 inches in some spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Got to 45 at BWI, I think. Don't know what it was supposed to go to but 45 is pretty damn warm as a starting point for anyone wanting snow to stick in any appreciable amount. Or fall, for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 A light rain/snow mix has just begun here at work in Frederick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Sitting at 40 with a high of 41 for the day. Clouds lowering quickly here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Snowing here in Damascus. I'm not sure the temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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