Powerball Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It would be aggravating, yes, but 2 days ago this was looking like a dusting to inch event, and we will very likely end up with more than that, so its all perspective. WWA would be nice but it doesnt bother me, its not like it makes an event more special, its just what the local forecaster deems necessary. Cincinatti had a WWA issued 36 hours in advance for 1-2", and Philly had one the other day for "up to 1 inch" (they ended up with 0.3", not even on pavement). Conversely our Jan 20/21 snow certainly was a travel nightmare, should have been a WWA imo but the forecaster did not deem it necessary. LOL by those standards set by some offices just to our south, wed be looking at our 6th or 7th WWA tonight, and probably our 12th or 13th if we lived in Philly I guess it is all in perspective. I mean by the standards down south in this winter, 1-3" is a significant event. Up here on the other hand, that type of snowfall doesn't generate much more than a yawn for most, even in a not-so-impressive winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 for MKE area posters, the latest HRRR has a bit of a convective look to the snows with the artic front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Moderate to heavy snow now on the shores of Lake Michigan. These bands are looking very healthy - could squeeze out a few inches before the front passes through... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Moderate to heavy snow now on the shores of Lake Michigan. These bands are looking very healthy - could squeeze out a few inches before the front passes through... very believable report, nice looking returns up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 the returns just seemed to explode over the past hour - very interesting indeed. Was not expecting this at all. Anyone offer any insight as to reasoning behind the sudden burst to these returns? My location is approximate to the red dot - pretty much under that line of heavier returns at the moment. That line is moving due south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 We have pretty windy conditions as well so it's actually looking very blizzard-like at the moment. Don't have access to a camera here at work otherwise I would post a pic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 the returns just seemed to explode over the past hour - very interesting indeed. Was not expecting this at all. Anyone offer any insight as to reasoning behind the sudden burst to these returns? looks like some rather impressive frontogenisis associated with the front, as well as some nice convergence. EDIT: awesome radar grab, you can actually see the front nicely, the HRRR picks up on that feature and drives it south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looks like some rather impressive frontogenisis associated with the front, as well as some nice convergence. this was my thinking as well. Sfc Frontogenesis map below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looks like some rather impressive frontogenisis associated with the front, as well as some nice convergence. EDIT: awesome radar grab, you can actually see the front nicely, the HRRR picks up on that feature and drives it south. Agreed! our proxy servers here at work play havoc with downloading the previous frames so I don't have a loop - if I build up enough loops in the next hour or so, I will try and posting the loop, but yeah, it's pretty cool to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Getting some really nice dendrites here Can't wait for the upstream stuff to push down south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Well, Kenosha already has what looks like a little LE band affecting them, so they should do quite well in the next 6 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Low pressure directly over Madison, we have the lowest pressure in the state at 1013.5 hPa. Probably has something to do with the good rates we're seeing considering this was supposed to be a non-event. .02" liquid in the bucket last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 New Graphic from MKE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Well, Kenosha already has what looks like a little LE band affecting them, so they should do quite well in the next 6 hours or so. given the wind direction out ahead of the front, i doubt that's LE...possible meso low but i can't get a good look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Well, Kenosha already has what looks like a little LE band affecting them, so they should do quite well in the next 6 hours or so. That's certainly a frontal band since the wind is blowing offshore at the sfc. Onshore winds and LES are gonna be behind the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Big flakes here in Kenosha...about 2 miles off the lakefront. Doesn't appear to be lake effect...not with the winds I'm seeing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I hope the overperformance in WI is a good sign for us in southern MI! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Moderate snow and 1/2 mi vis at LAF. Some stickage to the grass now that the temp has dropped to 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Moderate snow and 1/2 mi vis at LAF. Some stickage to the grass now that the temp has dropped to 32. What was your projected start time for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Is today the day metro detroit gets its first advisory of the year!!?? Looks like the bands will setup north of 59 so i doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Who's surprised that the break in intensity is around Milwaukee, and the band to the north seems to be fading in intensity? Not me, I guess we're still going to be getting a dusting to a half inch. MKX is a . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Is today the day metro detroit gets its first advisory of the year!!?? I'm thinking the same.....3-5" seem possible.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Who's surprised that the break in intensity is around Milwaukee, and the band to the north seems to be fading in intensity? Not me, I guess we're still going to be getting a dusting to a half inch. MKX is a . looks to me like MKX nailed it...no headlines, accums up to an inch at most. Hardly a weenie call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Is today the day metro detroit gets its first advisory of the year!!?? Looks like the bands will setup north of 59 so i doubt it. 2.1" final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looks to me like MKX nailed it...no headlines, accums up to an inch at most. Hardly a weenie call. I'm talking about their weenie diagram further up this page that encircles the Eastern CWA with 2-3" potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Wow at the Fon du Lac report though! 3", with thunder/lightning and whiteout conditions. Maybe the radar is deceiving. It doesn't look that much heavier up there than here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'm talking about their weenie diagram further up this page that encircles the Eastern CWA with 2-3" potential. Wow at the Fon du Lac report though! 3", with thunder/lightning and whiteout conditions. Maybe the radar is deceiving. It doesn't look that much heavier up there than here. facepalm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 cool looking sinusoidal wave with the front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Wow at the Fon du Lac report though! 3", with thunder/lightning and whiteout conditions. Maybe the radar is deceiving. It doesn't look that much heavier up there than here. We are experiencing near white-out conditions at times. I would say visibility is less than 1/4 mile at this point (I can't see the the other end of our campus). Winds are gusting and appear to be maintaining at least 20-30 mph (Large flag is fully extended at all times). Still SN+ at the moment and I would say we have to be close to 2" now. I would say MKX did a good job.- If anything, they probably could have put up an advisory for the SE counties for wind and blowing snow alone. EDIT: Check that, not SN+ - I would say we are at just a moderate snow at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 TWN and EC have 4"+ in the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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