CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 850 low closes off their briefly. something to watch/monitor as we nowcast It does. That could be an area of briefly enhanced frontogenesis...right from ern CT into se mass. Man it's close from getting your area pretty good. I'd definitelty watch that wrn edge down by your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 What does this mean? Could prolong snowfall a bit and provide a better shot for some banding. Looks better at H5 Any fail is good fail......enjoy the fail because it's the only fail you've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I cant believe how bad the models are this close in every run is different from the other I can't believe people still use the SREF's after their performance this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM went Euro. Game over. Sorry Kevin. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 What does this mean? Here is the image I am referring to. I'll let someone else chime in on this but it's always goof to see this on modeling for winter storms since it can enhance snow fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 dusting to an inch at home where I'll be this weekend and maybe 2-3" for Storrs. Whatever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 It does. That could be an area of briefly enhanced frontogenesis...right from ern CT into se mass. Man it's close from getting your area pretty good. I'd definitelty watch that wrn edge down by your way. If this pans out it should make for a wild few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Could prolong snowfall a bit and provide a better shot for some banding. Any fail is good fail......enjoy the fail because it's the only fail you've got. Had to toss that in there as i know its one phrase you like, I don't really care one way or the other, I'm heading north tomorow where there is snow, 1-3" would do nothing to help my cause here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I think that western edge may play tricks. 25 miles could mean the difference between 2" and 6". It's probably going to be a really good band too. Bob, Scott and maybe even BOS should watch it. As far as the rest goes, there will be a period of frontogenesis from a few different reasons. So it may be something where it's a general light snow shield, but I could envision some moderate bands embedded in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM went Euro. Game over. Sorry Kevin. Lol what ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Lol what ? Hope the mountain you're on faces east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Lol what ? 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Hope the mountain you're on faces east. Massive, massive easterly flow upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 If this pans out it should make for a wild few hours. You think you'll end up with more than me like the Saturday event in January a few weeks ago. The 10 miles east of Taunton was the difference between my 4 and your nice sized snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Slightly OT but it's amazing how when Ryan, his station, his boss or other outlets post a facebook status about incoming snow 150 people comment about how bad they hate snow and "ughhhh no make it go away!" IT'S NEW ENGLAND, MOVE TO FLORIDA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Slightly OT but it's amazing how when Ryan, his station, his boss or other outlets post a facebook status about incoming snow 150 people comment about how bad they hate snow and "ughhhh no make it go away!" IT'S NEW ENGLAND, MOVE TO FLORIDA... When I was capturing the image for WCVB off their page last night for posting here I took a peak at the FB comments under the story and Harv was getting ripped. Brutal, looks like they've edited some of it but yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 You think you'll end up with more than me like the Saturday event in January a few weeks ago. The 10 miles east of Taunton was the difference between my 4 and your nice sized snowstorm. It's tough to tell at this point. Right along the water may have some issues with low level warmth for a time so snow accum may be down a bit there. It will really boll down to how hard the precip falls and where the best banding occurs. On a side not, I'm supposed to be down your area tomorrow night for a b-day party for my daughter. Hoping we don't have to cancel sonce we planned this a couple months in advance and rescheduling would be difficult. 15-20 9 year olds ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Hope the mountain you're on faces east. 'LOL. I think my heavy dusting to an inch will be spot on for here, with local jackpots up to 1"+ a heavy dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Slightly OT but it's amazing how when Ryan, his station, his boss or other outlets post a facebook status about incoming snow 150 people comment about how bad they hate snow and "ughhhh no make it go away!" IT'S NEW ENGLAND, MOVE TO FLORIDA... Could be displaced aggression. Its a better outlet than a fistfight with their neighbors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 First week s/w coming off the coast of Texas right now. That's part of the problem. EDIT: Wrong word really...been part of the issue with models trying to resolve everything. That little s/w doesn't help matters as it contributes to creating a lot of convection off Florida's east coast later tonight. Edit Deux...or it could be the weak feature some models have been using to drive some convection that could be feedback...we just don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It's tough to tell at this point. Right along the water may have some issues with low level warmth for a time so snow accum may be down a bit there. It will really boll down to how hard the precip falls and where the best banding occurs. On a side not, I'm supposed to be down your area tomorrow night for a b-day party for my daughter. Hoping we don't have to cancel sonce we planned this a couple months in advance and rescheduling would be difficult. 15-20 9 year olds ftl. Better you than Me. A roller rink party seems to be in vogue with my friends with kids that age. 15-20 9 year olds crying cause it was cancelled FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Could be displaced aggression. Its a better outlet than a fistfight with their neighbors. Sup Ed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Better you than Me. A roller rink party seems to be in vogue with my friends with kids that age. 15-20 9 year olds crying cause it was cancelled FTL We're doing Monster Mini-golf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 We're doing Monster Mini-golf. Sweet, right on the East prov border, if its snowing don't go into the city, they are going bankrupt, last storm there roads were a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Elliot Abrams has the best map ive seen yet for this storm, seems exactly what most are talking about, don't know how to post it but the link is below http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/abrams/snow-for-some-then-cold-for-all/61430 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 We're doing Monster Mini-golf. Please keep it on topic for this incoming monster. Enjoy the 2-4" for YBY. At least it will be cold for a couple of days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Let's hope the NAM isn't still running 12 hours behind consensus. Is it me or does the RGEM suck unless you're under the inverted trough? Kind of tough to get a decent snow with a low passing so far outside the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The most interesting thing I think is going to be the battle/tug of war between the northern and southern stream. The NAM was better in that run because the northern stream was stronger and more amped. Another interesting thing is the amount of RH at 700mb on the models throughout the event. Its not gonna take much to snow throughout all of NE. Hopefully the NAM was the start of a trend back NW all the way up to the event. I know we say this on everystorm, if any storm were to have surprises in store, it could be this one with all of the moving parts. The tug of war will be fascinating to watch unfold. One more thing.. I'm fully expecting a boxing day type snowhole to develop with this one. Best totals in SW CT and SE MA with a hole from C/E CT and C MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'm not that big on it, but the inv trough deal may be real too. Sometimes meso models may be good at hinting at it. That can really much things up, if that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The most interesting thing I think is going to be the battle/tug of war between the northern and southern stream. The NAM was better in that run because the northern stream was stronger and more amped. Another interesting thing is the amount of RH at 700mb on the models throughout the event. Its not gonna take much to snow throughout all of NE. Hopefully the NAM was the start of a trend back NW all the way up to the event. I know we say this on everystorm, if any storm were to have surprises in store, it could be this one with all of the moving parts. The tug of war will be fascinating to watch unfold. Pants on fire. If you get snow it will be interesting to watch. If I do and you don't I suspect you'll leave the monitor in disgust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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