CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 SREFs are ugly indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 SREFs are ugly indeed. Smoking cirrus............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Smoking cirrus............ With the way this winter hasd gone, I should smoke whatever Pete is smoking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 SREFs are ugly indeed. Us SE MA'ers are going to enjoy their snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 With the way this winter hasd gone, I should smoke whatever Pete is smoking. You would be a lot happier and would shrug off events like this more easily.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Totals for mass ri and ct 4-8 Ivt's, Norluns, robust baroclinic ribbon, higher than normal sst's, excellent RH fields and a very nice UAT swinging through New England will provide on and off snows for nearly 24 hrs. Should be some decent squalls later sat night into sunday morning with the arctic front as well. Should be a fantastic weekend! 4-8? inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Us SE MA'ers are going to enjoy their snow. by this winter's standards, it should be "decent" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 You would be a lot happier and would shrug off events like this more easily.. The good news is that I've done well at shrugging everything off this winter. First time I can ever recall doing that..lol. Anyways, all joking aside, like Bob said..enjoy what you can get. It's all good. Lets hope the other models don't try to flip us off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 4-8? inches? Best winter ever when BDR is in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I cant believe how bad the models are this close in every run is different from the other Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 4-8? inches? He meant centimeters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The good news is that I've done well at shrugging everything off this winter. First time I can ever recall doing that..lol. Anyways, all joking aside, like Bob said..enjoy what you can get. It's all good. Lets hope the other models don't try to flip us off. Yes, You have been reasonable except when a select few try to spin your responses, Expectations have been low here from the get go so if we see nothing thats what was expected leading up to the last few days so it is what it is this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 4-8? inches? I think he's referring to seasonal totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Yes, You have been reasonable except when a select few try to spin your responses, Expectations have been low here from the get go so if we see nothing thats what was expected leading up to the last few days so it is what it is this year I mean shrugging off the threats. Every one has looked questionable for the most part. NRN stream continues to look better on the NAM right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM is more organized on this run, and lost the inv trough look for the most part. Still an inv trough into NJ, but it looks less convoluted than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 by this winter's standards, it should be "decent" lol I'm not whining or complaining about this at all. The NAM was bonk yesterday and I hope everyone knew it. Here's BOX's latest map FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I already don't like the nam up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Honestly it looked as though the 09z SREFs were in line with the Euro from what was said here on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM is looking more like the globals in terms of the QPF shield which makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like about 0.25" from BOS to just se of Ginx by 21z. The Cape gets into the wrn edge of the good stuff, on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like an improvemnet somewhat from 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I don't think many were steadfast on a complete miss....I think most, like myself, always suspected a nuisance event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like an improvemnet somewhat from 06z I may see 2.2" instead of 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like about 0.25" from BOS to just se of Ginx by 21z. The Cape gets into the wrn edge of the good stuff, on the NAM. 850 low closes off their briefly. something to watch/monitor as we nowcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like an improvemnet somewhat from 06z It is hopefully we're seeing the confusion/effects of the feedback/inteference vanishing like we usually do inside of 36. The NAM precip contours are certainlly reasonable and not that off line vs the Euro. If there's been one thing evident this year...the Euro has done pretty well nailing the contour but sometimes has been a smidge light. That said taking a look at the Euro...ugh. NAMs encouraging, we're inside of 36/42 so it's probably got somewhat of a clue. Notice what's happening also, we're not losing the southern s/w by any means but we're ending up with everything a bit further north at the surface as the model gets a clue, instead of low centers very very far apart they're closer together like others. Let's all hope this is somewhat valid and we see the other models follow this same vein at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'll enjoy my 1-2", but any further east and I won't get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 850 low closes off their briefly. something to watch/monitor as we nowcast What does this mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I may see 2.2" instead of 2". Looks better at H5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM went Euro. Game over. Sorry Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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