CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It continues to look better with the nrn stream stuff. Should have a better result than what 18z showed..I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Much better and more widespread with the QPF at hr 42. That's how I thought the NAM would look when I said more widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Southern stream energy still looks pretty strong but that nrn stream stuff looks ok imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 low off hatteras looks more focused and deeper at 36hr, a nudge closer to coast... unclear what that means northern stream vm slightly stronger and looks a little more east, so perhaps better chance of interacting EDIT: love to see > 60 members at 11pm... rare this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 GFS tries to tighten things up at H5, pulls the precip shield closer to the close. Liking the trend right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Models or no models, for whatever reason, science aside, I feel this one in my gut. I think DePest is onto something when he says 5-10" in Eastern CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tylertheweather Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The projected snowfall from the 0z NAM: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NAMSFC4US_0z/snow60.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Good hit for se mass on this run, and better overall for everyone else. Looks like 0.5" line through 00z makes it to just soth of BOS to almost PVD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 GFS is a nice hit for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It continues to look better with the nrn stream stuff. Should have a better result than what 18z showed..I hope. You guys can overlay, it looks similar to the 12z EURO to me which is what the 36h 0z RGEM did until it blew east at 48? Same general alignment to the Euro, just further west some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Much better and more widespread with the QPF at hr 42. That's how I thought the NAM would look when I said more widespread. Agree, Should have been similar with basically the same features and stronger northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Through 06z Sunday 0.5" line practically to BOS, so an improvement there. As long as the nrn stream looks better, we should be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 eh, not half bad QPF through h48... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 You guys can overlay, it looks similar to the 12z EURO to me which is what the 36h 0z RGEM did until it blew east at 48? Same general alignment to the Euro, just further west some. Actually a little better than euro I think. Got to hit the hay for now, but hopefully the euro looks decent when I get up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like a QPF bump across the Cape area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 there is no question 0Z GFS is an improvement i think key here was northern stream vm stronger and interacts sooner with southern shortwave... still an elongated L shaped area of low pressure, but more development closer to the coast rather than the tail of the L farther out to sea... i'm convinced we're not done trending nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 3-4" advisory event here on the gfs and nam. Looks like a widespread advisory sf...euro should be interesting to see in the am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 This would be a brief, but nice little slug of snow for ern areas in the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Actually a little better than euro I think. Got to hit the hay for now, but hopefully the euro looks decent when I get up. Same general idea though, GFS develops a tight little low right over a QPF bomb where the others do not. That's the major difference between it, the 12z Euro,0z NAM/RGEM. This will be an interesting time to check the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 prob rain tho Outer cape appears there would def be some mixing issues or even some rain but could be close back towards EWB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 0z rgem snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 here's a hypothetical venture... please shoot down with explanations... combine the GFS depiction of the southern stream shortwave(s) (with the rationale that it has less feedback issues than NAM) + the NAM depiction of the northern stream VM || and i think we have a solution closer to the earlier NAM runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 That looks a lot like the 5-10" someone was mocking a minute ago in Ern CT -- or am I reading that wrong? 0z rgem snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 here's a hypothetical venture... please shoot down with explanations... combine the GFS depiction of the southern stream shortwave(s) (with the rationale that it has less feedback issues than NAM) + the NAM depiction of the northern stream VM || and i think we have a solution closer to the earlier NAM runs Problem is it's usually the GFS that has feedback issues not the NAM. Although a 5h feature is present, I wonder about the GFS QPF bomb that becomes a tight little low that's absent on every other model. Would love to see the Euro pick up that ball and run with it tonight and or/ the UK...that'd be great news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 reading it wrong That looks a lot like the 5-10" someone was mocking a minute ago in Ern CT -- or am I reading that wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Same general idea though, GFS develops a tight little low right over a QPF bomb where the others do not. That's the major difference between it, the 12z Euro,0z NAM/RGEM. This will be an interesting time to check the GEFS. I do caution about lower resolution models, because they may actually not give enough respect to the srn vortmax. They may be right, but something to keep in mind. However if they look like the op or even better, it may not matter too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 reading it wrong 5-10mm...2-4 " with 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 its in mm Is that green not 5-10"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Is that green not 5-10"? No it's millimeters according to the legend, so a few tenths of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 5-10mm...2-4 " with 10 to 1 correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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