CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 If you are reasonable with expectations, I would not worry about wave interference right now. The 00z RAOBS should have the best sampling yet of the stuff coming south threw Canada. Also, the fact that the nrn stream energy is getting better looking will help. If the euro holds serve or gets better, than I'd feel better about widespread accumulations. Even as of now, it's probably going to occur, but how much is in question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yeah me too. Good vibes thanks to the person who posted the Bruce Schweogler video yesterday...prompted me to go on youtube and watch about an hour of old news video like that. you are welcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 If you are reasonable with expectations, I would not worry about wave interference right now. The 00z RAOBS should have the best sampling yet of the stuff coming south threw Canada. Also, the fact that the nrn stream energy is getting better looking will help. If the euro holds serve or gets better, than I'd feel better about widespread accumulations. Even as of now, it's probably going to occur, but how much is in question. Euro holding serve or trending favorably will be key, Anything else from that may be troubling except for eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Euro holding serve or trending favorably will be key, Anything else from that may be troubling except for eastern areas Even for ern areas it would be precarious, but we'll see how it looks. As crazy as the Ukie is, I didn't like seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Even for ern areas it would be precarious, but we'll see how it looks. As crazy as the Ukie is, I didn't like seeing that. No, That was not good, I agree with you there, But that could be the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 LOL at the caution. This seems a lock for 2-4 for all of SNE..again with BL issues close to the coast..Unless the Euro is east..if so then we're f'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I've noticed many times in which the EURO failed to trend with the UKIE...often the UKIE would trend better for us and the EURO would have no part in it. I've got good vibes about 1PM today. I'm encouraged by the trends of the GFS/NAM and the GEFS look really good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 LOL at the caution. This seems a lock for 2-4 for all of SNE..again with BL issues close to the coast..Unless the Euro is east..if so then we're f'd Hence the caution. I'd confident in at least a 1-3" from HFD-ORH-LWN points S&E. Maybe a spot 3.5"-4" near Foxboro-Wrentham. Way too early to speculate right now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Gibbs even throwing out 3-6 inch amounts..It's on folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Gibbs even throwing out 3-6 inch amounts..It's on folks Henry Margasity has 3-6" pretty much to GC. SE CT-RI-SE MA is in his 6-12" range. GAME ON! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 12z GFS individ ensembles FWIW http://www.meteo.psu...RS_12z/f48.html http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRS_12z/f60.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Gibbs even throwing out 3-6 inch amounts..It's on folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 12z GFS individ ensembles FWIW http://www.meteo.psu...RS_12z/f48.html http://www.meteo.psu...RS_12z/f60.html RED FLAG Those are the red flag for this storm...Hard for them to cave this close in. I think models will settle on a moderate event for much of SNE...somebody will likely get a heavy event (ie- 6"+) Right now I'd bet it's somewhere in interior SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 Somebody had to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I love how Kevin needs amounts from mets everywhere. Anyways looks like euro may be a bit better here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 It's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 I love how Kevin needs amounts from mets everywhere. Anyways looks like euro may be a bit better here. <kevin> AIFT <kevin> Amounts need not be thrown out until tomorrow imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 e ma special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I love how Kevin needs amounts from mets everywhere. Anyways looks like euro may be a bit better here. I get info from as many sources as I can..That way I know everyones bias's and I know what to actually expect. Some balls to wall like me and JB, some know nothing and throw #'s at dartboards like Margusity,,some are analysts like Will, Gibbs, Phil..and some are careful like you..and others are downers like Ryan..you factor all your known bias's together and you can get a reasonable idea for the final result Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2012 Author Share Posted February 9, 2012 It's coming. I wonder if it that's s/w swing S out of Canada that grabs the southern vort and phases the 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 southern stream energy FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I get info from as many sources as I can..That way I know everyones bias's and I know what to actually expect. Some balls to wall like me and JB, some know nothing and throw #'s at dartboards like Margusity,,some are analysts like Will, Gibbs, Phil..and some are careful like you..and others are downers like Ryan..you factor all your known bias's together and you can get a reasonable idea for the final result LOL, how am I not an analyst? Anyways, looks similar to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 southern stream energy FTL. Yeah pulled it east last minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I get info from as many sources as I can..That way I know everyones bias's and I know what to actually expect. Some balls to wall like me and JB, some know nothing and throw #'s at dartboards like Margusity,,some are analysts like Will, Gibbs, Phil..and some are careful like you..and others are downers like Ryan..you factor all your known bias's together and you can get a reasonable idea for the final result Just remember my text from 8 days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Euro looked about the same as 0Z to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 It's coming. Talking dirty.....please don't stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 LOL, how am I not an analyst? Anyways, looks similar to 00z. Nice..I think we can now lock in a 2-4/maybe 3-5 inch snowstorm for all of us this weekend. You are..but the others aren't nearly as cautious as you..that's the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 for those looking for qpf... looks like .5 just to the canal .25 just west of BOS SW to near tol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yeah pulled it east last minute. Damn it you stopped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Yeah the low can't get going quick enough with the srn stream action. It actually pulled it east last minute. Looked better at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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