stormtracker Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 are you one of those people that sit right behind the driver and try to talk to him/her like you're his/her best friend? Heck no. I hate those people. It's still raining. Hep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 baises and trends are important. lwx had almost no chance of verifying their map last night and that was apparent as soon as it showed up. im not sure how anyone beleived in much more than .1" qpf around here to be honest. i mean, i thought we'd get a cartopper at least which we seem to have evaded but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I just took off from bwi for ft lauderdale and am not missing the cold rain at all. Maybe we'll pull one out before spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Heck no. I hate those people. It's still raining. Hep HGR 1/2SM and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 HGR 1/2SM and snow. Yeah. Sounds about right since I don't live there anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Ha I ninja'd you It wasn't so much what others were forecasting as it was the amount of QPF the models were spitting out with decent temps aloft... DCA and IAD were forecast to have around 0.15-0.20"+ of QPF, and they'll end up with around 0.1" for this event. Add the rain/snow line being further north than expected and you get crap snow totals. I thought your map had it confined to the higher elevations, no? Looked like a good call for the most part. DC has been questionable all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah. Sounds about right since I don't live there anymore When did you move? Sorry, I didn't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Ha I ninja'd you It wasn't so much what others were forecasting as the amount of QPF the models were spitting out with decent temps aloft... DCA and IAD were forecast to have around 0.15-0.20"+ of QPF, and they'll end up with around 0.1" for this event. Add the rain/snow line being further north than expected and you get crap snow totals. One of the discouraging things today on meso analysis was the lack of any strong fronto/convergence/dynamics at any height... that last little event had the mid level waa power it and even developed beautiful silver dollar dendrites/aggregates at different points. It actually snowed much heavier/had better sg but today is the first time I have ever witnessed accums on any level in MD. Sort of monumental on a pathetic level. I believe I have the metros/n md/eastern areas climate and terrain down now.. really need to do more to understand out west in LWX's area. One of the WV posters pointed out I had my terrain enhanced snowfall much too east. When I went back and checked he was definitely spot on. I was a little bit ignorant out there and should have done a bit more studying. This reminds me much of when I first moved to Western Maine last year and it took me several accumulation events to see the different ways we cashed in or even failed in different occasions. Only way I can learn and get this down is to keep attempting and study some other posters maps such as yours and obviously LWX's. I have been less than impressed with LWX's snow forecasts so far however. Can't think of any event they have really nailed but I wasn't here during the entire month of January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I thought your map had it confined to the higher elevations, no? Looked like a good call for the most part. DC has been questionable all along. A good chunk of it was, but I had a decent area of 1-2" in the lower elevations that won't verify. My 2-4" coverage is hurtin' as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 baises and trends are important. lwx had almost no chance of verifying their map last night and that was apparent as soon as it showed up. im not sure how anyone beleived in much more than .1" qpf around here to be honest. i mean, i thought we'd get a cartopper at least which we seem to have evaded but still. Dead on 0.1" in both the Davis and CoCoRahs gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 A good chunk of it was, but I had a decent area of 1-2" in the lower elevations that won't verify. My 2-4" coverage is hurtin' as well. at least you did way better than timmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 a nice dusting, still snowing here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxlady Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Got a bit more than an inch up here. (SORRY wrong photo attached earlier.. earlier photo was still less than an inch). Must have lost VV, cuz we got raindrops now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 One of the discouraging things today on meso analysis was the lack of any strong fronto/convergence/dynamics at any height... that last little event had the mid level waa power it and even developed beautiful silver dollar dendrites/aggregates at different points. It actually snowed much heavier/had better sg but today is the first time I have ever witnessed accums on any level in MD. Sort of monumental on a pathetic level. I believe I have the metros/n md/eastern areas climate and terrain down now.. really need to do more to understand out west in LWX's area. One of the WV posters pointed out I had my terrain enhanced snowfall much too east. When I went back and checked he was definitely spot on. I was a little bit ignorant out there and should have done a bit more studying. This reminds me much of when I first moved to Western Maine last year and it took me several accumulation events to see the different ways we cashed in or even failed in different occasions. Only way I can learn and get this down is to keep attempting and study some other posters maps such as yours and obviously LWX's. I have been less than impressed with LWX's snow forecasts so far however. Can't think of any event they have really nailed but I wasn't here during the entire month of January. That's the case for most people... I ran into the same problem with elevation early on. Topography maps help a lot, but unless you get some software to help with those elevations (or you have a lot of time to get into fine detail by hand) a lot of the low-lying areas within the mountains will get smoothed out on the forecast map. Quickest way to compensate IMO would be to overlay the topo map onto your forecast map and use that for some simple tweaking. at least you did way better than timmer Hah! Well, it is nice to say "I did better than ______," but the real satisfaction is comparing the forecast to the true verification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Got a bit more than an inch up here. Will take another measurement soon. thats more than an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Got a bit more than an inch up here. Will take another measurement soon. That's an inch? Don't make me add Frederick to the list with Westminster for crappy measurements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 4:30pm -- temp down to 36.5 with snow beginnoing to mix in more noticeably. 4:55pm -- went to all snow at 4:45pm temp 36.2. Steady --small flakes. 6:00pm -- 34.9 and 0.02" precip for day. Like last weekend, getting best snows right before/at dusk. Grass is tinted white, plus sticking to all the usual areas (desks, cartops...). Steady, but light, snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Still all rain downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Got some good photos and video taken at higher elevations near my house. Will post later when I get back. Some good snow (and fog) in the higher elevations of western Frederick County. Kinda bummed that I ran out of light for shooting this evening. Still snowing where I'm at now. Sent from my Galaxy Nexus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Still ripping, closing in on 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 about 3 inches here, moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Coming down nicely finally in Bethesda, starting to stick to the deck, 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 about 3 inches here, moderate snow. Damn.......I should've driven north today. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 0.8" here. On 0.20" of liquid. So not even 5:1 ratios, even though it was all snow. High was 34.2 an hour after the snow started after 10 this morning, and then leveled off around 33 for the rest of the afternoon. 32 now. 0.8" on Saturday on 0.25" so similar event today in spite of colder temps aloft. 33 during the midday 1st week of February just won't accumulate steady snow very well. It snowed for 4 hours here on 2/5/2010 at the same reading and barely covered the mulch (ended with 28.5") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 0.8" here. On 0.20" of liquid. So not even 5:1 ratios, even though it was all snow. High was 34.2 an hour after the snow started after 10 this morning, and then leveled off around 33 for the rest of the afternoon. 32 now. 0.8" on Saturday on 0.25" so similar event today in spite of colder temps aloft. 33 during the midday 1st week of February just won't accumulate steady snow very well. It snowed for 4 hours here on 2/5/2010 at the same reading and barely covered the mulch (ended with 28.5") Sun angle ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxlady Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 That's an inch? Don't make me add Frederick to the list with Westminster for crappy measurements. You wanna be a smarty pants on the photo, that's fine... but yes, in the second photo there was 1.25" on the stump in the photo... so yes it's just more than an inch okay?!? Geez... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Damn.......I should've driven north today. Congrats! What's amazing is I am only a 25 minute drive north of Hunt Valley. I was in downtown Baltimore today and it was raining. A little lattitude, and elevation around here make a huge difference. We are all in need of a real regionwide WARNING SNOW bad! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 About .75" on my deck rail with very light snow falling. Some spots that are primarly shady are closer to an inch. The low end of some forecasts are very close to verifying here in Damascus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Still ripping, closing in on 4" I meant to say there's 1/4" and it's barley coming down. I'm sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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