Ralph Wiggum Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I like the bullseye zone of 3-6" snows right around the city: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 What falls 18Z-0Z probably doesn't stick as surface temps warm above freezing. Literally, anyway. Its showery/convective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 What falls 18Z-0Z probably doesn't stick as surface temps warm above freezing. Literally, anyway. Its showery/convective. Not much falls anyway. 9z-15z appears to be the primetime. Good time for accumulating snow too with marginal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I like the bullseye zone of 3-6" snows right around the city: looks like ray created that map for his p's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 What falls 18Z-0Z probably doesn't stick as surface temps warm above freezing. Literally, anyway. Its showery/convective. Ray do u feel we have chance to plow this storm or just salting wet roads? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM cooled off around TTN compared to 0Z. 3-4" verbatim. I think right around trenton might be the sweetspot for the whole region, but i guess time will tell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 What falls 18Z-0Z probably doesn't stick as surface temps warm above freezing. Literally, anyway. Its showery/convective. Thanks Ray. With the Flyers/Rangers game on the docket as mentioned yesterday, that's the perfect kind of snow for me in the PM hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looks like the 12z nam 2m temp 0 line during the day is pushed way west/north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Ray do u feel we have chance to plow this storm or just salting wet roads? Thanks It looks like it comes down fast enough so that there will be some slop on the roads. Of course it all might melt away by mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looks like the 12z nam 2m temp 0 line during the day is pushed way west/north Looks like a thump of snow, things move out and temps. have time to recover in the afternoon. Amazing we can even score a snowfall with the lack of cold air around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It looks like it comes down fast enough so that there will be some slop on the roads. Of course it all might melt away by mid afternoon. and then flash freeze later tomorrow night as the arctic front moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looking at sounding for phl, looks like about 2 inches or so...they waste about .14 on mix/rain...then another .07 with the arctic front... for a total of .51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I think right around trenton might be the sweetspot for the whole region, but i guess time will tell... and my area around Marlboro country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 def think the jackpot area will be pauls location through mt wayne to dyl area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 It looks like it comes down fast enough so that there will be some slop on the roads. Of course it all might melt away by mid afternoon. Thanks ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Nice improvement in the NAM with a cooler/wetter solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looking at sounding for phl, looks like about 2 inches or so...they waste about .14 on mix/rain...then another .07 with the arctic front... for a total of .51 the snow with the front should be very squally, but i can see someone getting a quick inch there...in fact for some, that might be the best accumulation they see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 the snow with the front should be very squally, but i can see someone getting a quick inch there...in fact for some, that might be the best accumulation they see... so far the best of it looks to travel over dc area...but we should see some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 the snow with the front should be very squally, but i can see someone getting a quick inch there...in fact for some, that might be the best accumulation they see... Models have jumped around with placement but could be a NW/SE stripe somewhere in the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 looking at sounding for phl, looks like about 2 inches or so...they waste about .14 on mix/rain...then another .07 with the arctic front... for a total of .51 What would be your call for the suburbs here? 3 inches or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 def think the jackpot area will be pauls location through mt wayne to dyl area Dont forget mt villanova brother. ; ) for the storm yesterday it was amazing going from likee lancaster ave up to my house. Went from literally nothing to like an inch on not only the grass but roads too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Dont forget mt villanova brother. ; ) for the storm yesterday it was amazing going from likee lancaster ave up to my house. Went from literally nothing to like an inch on not only the grass but roads too. Elevated areas in NW suburbs should be jackpot. Storm timing should help with heaviest overnight and before 10AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 12z GFS not too enthused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Taking into account the 00z Euro, 12Z NAM, RGEM and GFS the safe bet is to go 1-3" regionwide with the potential for a narrow stripe of 3-4" snows somewhere......potentially along or just north/south of the PA Turnpike then eastward into Central Jersey. As for what happens Saturday night/Sunday morning, that's the potential wildcard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Taking into account the 00z Euro, 12Z NAM, RGEM and GFS the safe bet is to go 1-3" regionwide with the potential for a narrow stripe of 3-4" snows somewhere......potentially along or just north/south of the PA Turnpike then eastward into across Central Jersey. As for what happens Saturday night/Sunday morning, that's the potential wildcard. Completely agreed. And a pretty decent event for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Competely agreed. And a pretty decent event for this winter. Yup, follows past events this winter fairly well....and don't see any reason why it'd surpass any of them by much at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Taking into account the 00z Euro, 12Z NAM, RGEM and GFS the safe bet is to go 1-3" regionwide with the potential for a narrow stripe of 3-4" snows somewhere......potentially along or just north/south of the PA Turnpike then eastward into Central Jersey. As for what happens Saturday night/Sunday morning, that's the potential wildcard. I'd probably go on the low side of those, but that's a pretty good forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'd probably go on the low side of those, but that's a pretty good forecast Thanks. At this point I'd consider anything over 2 inches (even here NW of Philly) a success with this "storm" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Still liking the 2-4" call for Trenton that I made yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I'd say 1-3" for the Lehigh Valley right now. My worry is that the moderate snow slides to the south in the Philly burbs and gives us an event like Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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