MillzPirate Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Sooo, close to a phase: Man, slow that southern s/w down just a few hours and this goes boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 GFS much colder... all snow by 7AM Saturday. Now its the snowy model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 Euro is similar to the NAM in the snow/no snow setup...2-4" potential north/west of 95, an inch along 95 and 295 (rain to snow), with rain ending as some flakes at the Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 BTW, DT's first kiss of death is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 BTW, DT's first kiss of death is out. 2 to 4 here? I'll run in the streets, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 2 to 4 here? I'll run in the streets, lol. at least you didn't say you'd run naked in the streets lol (if he shoved the 2-4 line to 95 and west I'd buy it...not sure I'd buy it down there though.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 10, 2012 Author Share Posted February 10, 2012 FWIW, 6z GFS continues to consolidate the low pretty quickly but temps at the coast are pretty mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 at least you didn't say you'd run naked in the streets lol (if he shoved the 2-4 line to 95 and west I'd buy it...not sure I'd buy it down there though.) Yea, I won't go that far, it wouldn't be a pretty sight, lol. I agree though, I'm not buying it, one can hope though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 at least you didn't say you'd run naked in the streets lol (if he shoved the 2-4 line to 95 and west I'd buy it...not sure I'd buy it down there though.) hmm. My local Mt Holly forecast is for all rain with some wet snow at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 BTW, DT's first kiss of death is out. nice map if it was 50-75 miles further NW. Don't think Cape May has anything to worry about. When was the last time he nailed a forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 nice map if it was 50-75 miles further NW. Don't think Cape May has anything to worry about. When was the last time he nailed a forecast? 2005? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Looks like 1-2" event around here to me, maybe a little more as you get farther north of PHL. Euro + SREFs seem like the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 BTW, DT's first kiss of death is out. These things appear to be for entertainment purposes only... Looks like 1-2" event around here to me, maybe a little more as you get farther north of PHL. Euro + SREFs seem like the way to go. Can we please get some sledworthy snow out of this? For the kids, of course... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Can we please get some sledworthy snow out of this? For the kids, of course... I think the folks who purchased a new snow blower (someone in NJ???? ) would aprrove this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I think the folks who purchased a new snow blower (someone in NJ???? ) would aprrove this. Quakertown, Where are you that you are at 16F with 33mph winds? In Macungie area, it's 25F with 1mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Quakertown, Where are you that you are at 16F with 33mph winds? In Macungie area, it's 25F with 1mph winds. You're way too close to the calming effects of the Little Lehigh. BTW with the rain/snow mixture problems with this event and the instantaneous melting level info we'll now get, it will be an interesting use of dual pol info later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 nice map if it was 50-75 miles further NW. Don't think Cape May has anything to worry about. When was the last time he nailed a forecast? Looks like 1-2" event around here to me, maybe a little more as you get farther north of PHL. Euro + SREFs seem like the way to go. Seems that everything I'm seeing is for 1-2 inches from the Lehigh Valley on north and west. Outside of potential p-type issues, what are you guys seeing that makes you think the heaviest snow is going to be northwest of I-95? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Seems that everything I'm seeing is for 1-2 inches from the Lehigh Valley on north and west. Outside of potential p-type issues, what are you guys seeing that makes you think the heaviest snow is going to be northwest of I-95? I actually think heavier amounts will be north and east, towards Trenton and Princeton. But we're talking like an inch of difference. No big deal to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Quakertown, Where are you that you are at 16F with 33mph winds? In Macungie area, it's 25F with 1mph winds. The place has most brutal winter conditions in USA (not including Alaska) The winds should be a dead giveaway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Latest Wxsim with 6z data Snow developing in NW Chesco by around 8pm Temp 34.1 Moderate Snow by 9pm temp 32.0 Snow continues at various rates thru 7am total snow 2.5" to 3.0" 7am temp 28.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Latest Wxsim with 6z data Snow developing in NW Chesco by around 8pm Temp 34.1 Moderate Snow by 9pm temp 32.0 Snow continues at various rates thru 7am total snow 2.5" to 3.0" 7am temp 28.5 8pm... interesting, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 You're way too close to the calming effects of the Little Lehigh. BTW with the rain/snow mixture problems with this event and the instantaneous melting level info we'll now get, it will be an interesting use of dual pol info later. Can the public access the dual pol images? If so, will it be on the normal radar page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Latest Wxsim with 6z data Snow developing in NW Chesco by around 8pm Temp 34.1 Moderate Snow by 9pm temp 32.0 Snow continues at various rates thru 7am total snow 2.5" to 3.0" 7am temp 28.5 Paul, I don't know how they do it, but overall those forecasts seem pretty good, nothing outrageous in either direction. At least you shouldn't have much ptype issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Anyone know the approximate start times for the Lehigh Valley area? CTP says after midnight for Schuylkill County. I'm just wondering how much I'll have to deal with before my shift ends around 1:00AM Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM looks pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM cooled off around TTN compared to 0Z. 3-4" verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM looks pretty warm. I'm kind of seeing the opposite... I also see a blob of heavier precip from NW Philly Burbs up towards Ray's zone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM cooled off around TTN compared to 0Z. 3-4" verbatim. Cooled off everywhere, looks like. A general 2-4 in a line from N Chesco to Trenton right around 202/PA Turnpike and extending northeast seems like a decent call for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Cooled off everywhere, looks like. A general 2-4 in a line from N Chesco to Trenton right around 202/PA Turnpike and extending northeast seems like a decent call for now. Agreed. Also seems continued snow shower/flizzard activity from hrs 36-39. Almost like the mysterious unicorn that is 'backend snows'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 NAM cooled off around TTN compared to 0Z. 3-4" verbatim. Yeah, places NW of I-95 appear in a good shape. I-95 corridor better, but still close. SE of I-95 still warmish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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