tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Where's Tombo? He should be all over this do have to say I like the way things are going. working, im around...just had to shovel off a green lol...ill update with the euro later on...things are trending good for what looks like it could be more than 2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 looking at the gfs, the philly metro wastes about .05-.1 on rain at first going off the gfs...sv maps shows 2-4 inches for se pa from del river north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 All models trending to a stronger faster coastal development. Heavier qpf should help overcome marginal temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Ukie shifted east from last nights 0z run per ne thread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 NYC crowd is going nuts... had to opt out of that thread cuz I got too many e-mail replies Relatively calm over here, I like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 gfs ens mean matches the gfs maybe a little further west. The mean qpf is a little wetter than the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Ukie shifted east from last nights 0z run per ne thread.. Would like to see Euro confirm trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Ukie shifted east from last nights 0z run per ne thread.. it still drops .1-.25 for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 NYC crowd is going nuts... had to opt out of that thread cuz I got too many e-mail replies Relatively calm over here, I like that. That just seems to be the trend over here this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I'm perfectly calm and awaiting tombo's pbp euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 I'm perfectly calm and awaiting tombo's pbp euro run. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JgRp-CZ1UDc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 ggem matches the ukie with .1-.25 for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 So rain for South Jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 So rain for South Jersey? your gonna have bl issues...even phl has them in the beginning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 12zgfs indiv ens members Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JgRp-CZ1UDc HA! Love that movie. More than a few Will Ferrell's in the NYC forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 just got back to my desk, went to check the run i missed, gfs looking better, could be a fun weekend with cold following to deter the melt off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 through 24 hrs, the northern stream energy is diving down faster compared to the 0z run...the hgts along the EC are a little higher..precip is breaking out in the lower miss valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 the trof is deff more amplified through 30 hrs and more ridging along the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 hr 42 has a sub 1012 low over eastern nc...better defined than the 0z run...still no really explosive precip development with it...just lgt qpf in order of less than .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 euro is deff improved a good bit more amplified...hr 48 has a 1008 low about 150 miles east of va beach... .1-.25 qpf from central chest co to ukt, then most of nj except northern half and all of del Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 hr 54 has that area of precip moving northeast and clips sne...its improved over 0z run...but still not near the amer models...good improvments on the amplification but all the pieces still are coming together to late... for the region a general .1-.25 for the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 hr 42 has a sub 1012 low over eastern nc...better defined than the 0z run...still no really explosive precip development with it...just lgt qpf in order of less than .1 He's back!! I know this is banter but I speak on behalf of probably 90% of us in here that are glad to see Tombo in PBP mode... Thanks. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 thanks for the update tom. its been a while since we had one of your on the fly updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 also the euro hangs the inverted trof over the region so we get a little more help from that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 also the euro hangs the inverted trof over the region so we get a little more help from that... do you think that there is any chance of the trough sharpening any further which might help to let the pv catch up and get more involved? Any thoughts. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 do you think that there is any chance of the trough sharpening any further which might help to let the pv catch up and get more involved? Any thoughts. Nut im not sure if its solely the trough strengthening more, i think the southern energy is the issue at hand here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 looks like gfs has something hanging back also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Last five runs that the EC has had a norlun and in four different states and counting. Last six runs that the EC has had a norlun and in four different states and counting. Otherwise, an overall better trend with the 12z run. Yeah some BL issues I95 southeast, less so places farther north and west as precip pushes deeper into the colder air. Last comments on this I can make as we are nearing the headline phase. Also some snow showers should occur with the trof itself later in the day on Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted February 9, 2012 Share Posted February 9, 2012 Whats the ball park of the timing assuming the nam/gfs is right? Guessing Sat morning out by noon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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