Pattern Looks Mostly Dry Through Mid-February With Some Light Events

[bluewave]

The big blocking ridge along the West Coast of North America is causing the Pacific Jet to buckle

out over the Pacific and bend north toward Alaska. At the same time, the Southern Branch is

being suppressed pretty far to the south. This type of pattern usually results in below normal

precipitation for our area. We'll probably need to wait for a pattern change to see a more active

storm track for our area. It looks like that this will continue the drier pattern across the region

that we have been experiencing so far in 2012. Some light events are possible.

[NEG NAO]

agreed - it all balances out in the end - last year record breaking amounts of precip - this year dry so far ......

[NEG NAO]

Dry pattern continues on most 0Z models - 6Z GFS dry

[Brian5671]

turned out to be a good call- .20 for the month for NYC area to date through 2/13/12