JCT777 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Mt. Trappe never reported on the last snowfall event. Maybe the spotter got the --- Very nice agreement on the models at this point. The Mt. Trappe snow total is no doubt taken at Spring Mountain, where they have at least a couple inches of packed slop. Regarding accumulations for tomorrow's event, marginal temps and not-real-heavy precip rates don't exactly inspire me to think we'll see much more than a grassy coating - unless a decent portion of the qpf falls after 6 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 nam still looking good for the region. winner of this event if they can stay all nsow may be south jers and del where they may get some added lift with the coastal storm developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcworthWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Mods please delete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 qpf off 12z nam phl .14 pne .09 dyl .06 nxx .08 lom .09 ukt .07 rdg .1 abe .05 mpo .05 dov .28 miv .27 acy .25 ilg .16 lns .15 thv .15 mdt .16 dix .11 ptw .1 eko .01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The Mt. Trappe snow total is no doubt taken at Spring Mountain, where they have at least a couple inches of packed slop. Regarding accumulations for tomorrow's event, marginal temps and not-real-heavy precip rates don't exactly inspire me to think we'll see much more than a grassy coating - unless a decent portion of the qpf falls after 6 PM. This time of year you are generally good to go if the snow starts around 3. The sun is quite low in the sky then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Latest from JB on tomorrow's "event" and the weekend "sneak attack" "you can see why I think this will carry accumulating snow in the areas I have. Following it the arctic avenger cuts southeast by 120 and this could wind up producing more snow north of the mason dixon line and especially in southern New england and NYC this weekend where very low thicknesses and the low level trough left behind from the transfer of energy from the arctic wave to the storm bombing off the east coast will present a nasty forecast headache" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 congrats south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 How the coastal develops is key. Energy transfer limits precip further N +E and enhances near coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 nam sim. radar shows nice development off the coast, little bit to late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 7, 2012 Author Share Posted February 7, 2012 At this point, I'm not impressed with much accumulation around Trenton. A coating at best. Very possibly just a trace with most of it melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 to be fair, a chunk of the precip south/east of 295 may fall as rain or slop mix before changeover. They may win on QPF but not necessarily get more accumulation since temps down there are gonna be a touch higher and things a bit more marginal... The Euro last night was playing up the coating angle as well...I can buy that to the Parkway in South Jersey...not sure if they'll jackpot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Temps are colder for the LV- 1-2 inches look good for us with the JB model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 to be fair, a chunk of the precip south/east of 295 may fall as rain or slop mix before changeover. They may win on QPF but not necessarily get more accumulation since temps down there are gonna be a touch higher and things a bit more marginal... The Euro last night was playing up the coating angle as well...I can buy that to the Parkway in South Jersey...not sure if they'll jackpot... I could not agree more. East wind all day=mid 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Temps are colder for the LV- 1-2 inches look good for us with the JB model Looks like I'm going to have a fun time trucking tomorrow night. My shift starts at 2:00PM and I run 309 over the Blue from Hazleton to Fogelsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Looks like I'm going to have a fun time trucking tomorrow night. My shift starts at 2:00PM and I run 309 over the Blue from Hazleton to Fogelsville. Yes temps look good but I think the "brunt" (if brunt is the right word) of the precip falls to our south. I am optimistically thinking a dusting - 0.5" tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Already starting to put brine down around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Already starting to put brine down around here. Hopefully it does not start out as some light rain as it will just wash away the brine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Already starting to put brine down around here. Really gotta believe they're cahoots with the auto industry. Never seen such deterioration of car components since they've been putting down this brine crap. I've had power steering lines, tranny lines, differential covers, bolts simply disintegrate. How did we ever survive without it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Wxsim with 12z data has a mix of rain and snow starting near 3pm tomorrow in NW Chesco....quickly becoming all snow and becoming briefly moderate by 6pm. The snow should end by 9pm with total accumulation of 1 or 2". We are currently running at 69% of normal snow to date with a current deficit of 5.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Really gotta believe they're cahoots with the auto industry. Never seen such deterioration of car components since they've been putting down this brine crap. I've had power steering lines, tranny lines, differential covers, bolts simply disintegrate. How did we ever survive without it? Around here they got a grant for snow removal stuff, and if they don't use it, they lose it. So I can somewhat understand it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 to be fair, a chunk of the precip south/east of 295 may fall as rain or slop mix before changeover. They may win on QPF but not necessarily get more accumulation since temps down there are gonna be a touch higher and things a bit more marginal... The Euro last night was playing up the coating angle as well...I can buy that to the Parkway in South Jersey...not sure if they'll jackpot... I could see around an inch or so of snow "falling" around here (SRN NJ), not sure how much of that we're going to lose to melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I could see around an inch or so of snow "falling" around here (SRN NJ), not sure how much of that we're going to lose to melting. The way this winter has transpired, we'll probably lose around 2 inches or so to melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 NAM sim radars look pretty "sexy" for this winter, from 21z-00z, for SE PA, SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 NAM sim radars look pretty "sexy" for this winter, from 21z-00z, for SE PA, SNJ. A 15dbz radar return perhaps?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 A 15dbz radar return perhaps?! We may see some extremely heavy light snow tomorrow...I for one am pumped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I'm definitely pumped for what it is certain to be a hellish commute home for little or no accumulation. Sounds awesome... Seriously though, it will be cool to have a little taste of winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The 12z ECMWF Clown Maps had 1-2" of snow for C NJ. This is looking a little bit interesting for my part of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Post em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 It's a sad winter when a 1"-2" event is "interesting" to folks.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 It's a sad winter when a 1"-2" event is "interesting" to folks.... people say the same thing every winter (maybe not 09-10, but almost every winter). the fact of the matter is there arent all that many snow events in this region, and people are interested in this type of event almost every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.