Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/what-does-17-of-snow-through-january-buy-washington-dc-for-the-whole-winter-season/2012/02/02/gIQA5ReMnQ_blog.html im not that excited with the analytics here but it's historical at least. would need more time to really delve into it and im not sure it would get any real answers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Nice writeup, Ian. Gives hope that the best is yet to come, even if the "best" is not really that great. Only beef I have with the article is this line... Half a foot of snow below normal -- think of that as a crippling snowstorm which shuts town for a week!. Mostly because it's somewhat embarrassing to think that a 6" storm could shutdown the city for that long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 Nice writeup, Ian. Gives hope that the best is yet to come, even if the "best" is not really that great. Only beef I have with the article is this line.... Mostly because it's somewhat embarrassing to think that a 6" storm could shutdown the city for that long. thx. it could use a lot more research im sure but im not convinced it's not totally random. get a correlation of like .2 something (which i did not check against a fancy stat sheet to see what it means) with just the small sample but basically zero with all of them. probably would be good to break by enso etc but then you're looking at really small datasets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Yeah, if you break things down by ENSO or NAO/AO, I think it would be very hard to get a statisically significant result either way. The spread is large and the sample size is very small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Where’s the snow? Washington is of course not a snow town, except maybe in a rare year like 2009-10. Even so, through the end of January we’re running 6.7” below the normal of 8.4” of snowfall by the time February begins. Half a foot of snow below normal -- think of that as a crippling snowstorm which shuts town for a week! lol........DC may be wimpy, but I don't think they are *that* bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 lol........DC may be wimpy, but I don't think they are *that* bad. i made a funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.washingto...ReMnQ_blog.html im not that excited with the analytics here but it's historical at least. would need more time to really delve into it and im not sure it would get any real answers. Good write-up. I've noted this previously on another thread, but the similarity beween the snowfall pattern in DC during the winters of 1913-14 and 1959-60 was uncanny. In each of those seasons, no measurable snow fell until a two-day storm took place on February 13-14. (February 13th was the latest day for the first measurable snow in DC until the winter of 1972-73, when the only measurable snow that season fell on February 23rd). Then, in each season, the snow machine cranked up to a fever pitch, with six more snowstorms in February-March 1914 and five more snowstorms in February-March 1960, to bring the respective totals to 28.6 inches and 24.3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 March 1960 was perhaps the greatest March of all time, and by far the coldest. Not to mention, the greatest KU storm of the 20th century until 1993. http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/images/snow/nesis/19600302-19600305-8.77.jpg I don't think it's possible to have a more remarkable back-loaded winter than 1959-60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 March 1960 was perhaps the greatest March of all time, and by far the coldest. Not to mention, the greatest KU storm of the 20th century until 1993. http://www1.ncdc.noa...600305-8.77.jpg I don't think it's possible to have a more remarkable back-loaded winter than 1959-60. And that winter ushered in the '60's-style winters that the old-timers remember so fondly. A more recent great turn-around was '85/'86 that shows up in the IAD stats. Any one of us would gladly take a repeat of 2/86 again. Consistent moderate snows and plenty of snow cover days-- cloudy and cold much of the month, with this sequence in a 17-day period at DCA starting on 2/10: 2.3", 1.3", 3.6", 3.6", 1.8" IAD was even better: 4.1", 0.8", 3.5", 4.3", 2.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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