MN Transplant Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Do I see interaction at 45 on h5? Yeah. Just the fact that it isn't shunting off the Jersey coast makes it a better run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 I'll probably come back this afternoon to find only 5 people left browsing the thread after the Euro comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Yeah. Just the fact that it isn't shunting off the Jersey coast makes it a better run. Ensembles should be interesting to see now it appears that the OP caught on a tiny bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 NAM verbatim would be good for Phineas and then a nice band over DC as it exits and band pivots se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Eh...the GFS is "meh" ish...not quite as aggressive as NAM...little warmer too..Maybe squeeze out an inch in Baltimore on it. It is still playing catch-up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 streams still stay fairly seperate on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Gfs also getting there, could be Good later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The northern 500 vort on the NAM is 150 miles west of the GFS when it drops in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 streams still stay fairly seperate on the gfs It is still adjusting it seems. Decent 12Z suite so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 It is still adjusting it seems. Decent 12Z suite so far. im not sure how to assume they're all trending toward p006 but if nothing else at least there's more moisture across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 streams still stay fairly seperate on the gfs Nice start to the day, bet is this trends better for you guys for a nice little snow. It is much colder here today than I thought it would be. You should have a nice drain of cold dry dew points to wet bulb you down this weekend. Thank us later lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 I head out of town, and this shows up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 how many 24-30 hr storms do we get in la nina winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 12z Ukie went even more suppressed than 00z...for a model that is generally good in its scores, it has some really wild swings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Can someone please post the 12z NAM forecast precip for CHO and EZF? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 12z Ukie went even more suppressed than 00z...for a model that is generally good in its scores, it has some really wild swings. So in the 12z suite we have: A yes from the NAM A so-so maybe from the GFS A hell no from the UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 So in the 12z suite we have: A yes from the NAM A so-so maybe from the GFS A hell no from the UKIE The UKMET is a useless POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 when is the Feb 10-13 event suppose to show up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The UKMET is a useless POS. gfs ensemble member bury me in my house for days ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 when is the Feb 10-13 event suppose to show up? if it starts late feb 10 probably 12z feb 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 when is the Feb 10-13 event suppose to show up? It's there. But rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The models did great the last time we had a goofy blocking setup.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 I'm liking my first call more and more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 GFS wasnt actually too interested in snow for DCA... little over an inch.... warmth this run shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 It's there. But rain. what?? DT promised all snow today on facebook if this storm happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 yeah if the vort goes north of us im mostly disinterested.. tho gymengineer will come in with those special cases. That Matt's job lol I don't like the cases where we have to wait for rain to change to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 GFS wasnt actually too interested in snow for DCA... little over an inch.... warmth this run shows Don't know yet what the ens. members show, but the mean is warmer as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Don't know yet what the ens. members show, but the mean is warmer as well. 850 line is just north of DC at 48... and DC is -4ish at 60... so 54 should be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/superbowl-sunday-snow-its-possible-but-probably-not-consequential/2012/02/03/gIQA8LE5mQ_blog.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Ensemble mean good for DCA, show about .7 in qpf., havent looked at individuals yet. Don't know yet what the ens. members show, but the mean is warmer as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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