WVclimo Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 nice fetch of moisture from the equitorial PAC of all places along with interaction beginning with that Canadian s/w http://www.ssec.wisc...s_comp_big.html p.s. almost looks like there's a tropical feature west of Cuba....wtf There have been some awesome-looking Pacific lows south of, and in, the Gulf of Alaska this winter. And that North Atlantic low is beautiful too. Too bad those persistent features have aided in screwing us out of snow this year, but still nice to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 FWIW 0z NAM drops .12 at JYO overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 FWIW 0z NAM drops .12 at JYO overnight Also shows precip at least through early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 1.1" was the total for Clarksburg with the first batch. 31.9/32 here now with 1mph N breeze and some flurries passing thru. That sheared out streak in the northern stream upstream looks interesting. I wonder if that is what the NAM is picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 1.1" was the total for Clarksburg with the first batch. 31.9/32 here now with 1mph N breeze. That sheared out streak in the northern stream upstream looks interesting. I wonder if that is what the NAM is picking up. the nam looked pretty interesting in the upper levels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Incoming ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 NAM shows 0.14 for KOKV from now until tomorrow morning. I hate watching radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 NAM shows 0.14 for KOKV from now until tomorrow morning. I hate watching radar. It really does suck you in, which is not fair, but thats what we do, so no biggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Incoming ! Look west young man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Sitting at 37 degrees. Hoping to see a coating on the patio furniture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Look west young man. I have a steady temp no wind and 93% RH. Most times of the year those obs mean the precip isn't over. With the boundary around wouldn't take much to precipitate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 it's snowing again now. Been a nice winter day. I was in Martinsburg this afternoon taking care of some business. Our town is never prettier than when it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Looks like it we can get some decent precip out of this wave it should stick on the roadways this time. Road temps have dropped quite a bit. http://www.chart.state.md.us/travInfo/weatherStationData.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 what is your location? Gaithersburg MD about 10 miles NW of DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 we were looking at a property in Harpers Ferry late this morning and came home just as the precip started. even then snow was mixed in, and I have been out on the porch a lot today/tonight just looking at how pretty it is here. the only bad thing is that when it precipitates I lose the view of the Apps from our bedroom, but at least today it's been snow. I spent almost 20 years in DC wishing I were out here for winters like this and even though it's a low snowfall winter, I have really enjoyed this winter so far (albeit with appropriately lowered expectations). but still, as I said earlier this winter, Shenandoah Valley winter! Zwyts promised me a mid-March bomb last night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 it was frustrating to see 33 and predominantly rain....surface temps don't always correlate to the depth of the warm layer... it's cool, i'm in silver spring, i was near 34/33 (33 now...check Lowell School weatherbug for nearest other ob to mine, 33 right now) for the last hour of the event...mostly rain/snow mix...never fully changed over... Weatherbug's are not always accurate...33 seems low to me based on surrounding obs, but maybe you were close....point is you were going to go to snow (you were already mixing) assuming we actually had more precip....I don't ever recall an event in mid winter where the column from 875-900 mb and up was below freezing and it was a prolonged synoptic rain event with temps in the mid 30s....and this event was no different.....nobody was going to get hour after hour of rain and 34 with this setup...I'm not saying anyone advanced that idea, but when it looked like more of a prolonged event into the overnight hours, anyone suggesting an all rain event with temps in the low to mid 30s would have busted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 thanks! there is an option in your profile to specify your location--it's really helpful to add so we all know where you are. I saw that! I was encouraged. Went and fixed it after you asked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Light snow has just started up again. 31.9/32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 radar is starting to look healthier...especially for some of the same folks who did ok earlie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 With the Dacula radar shifted as far west as it will go for the Mid Atl. it makes it look like Kokomo, Ind. is a precip factory. It sure looks like that band is going to set up over us later on. Snowing at a decent clip here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 nice little blob heading this way....might pass just to my North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 nice 1-2" event so far for the standard outer burbs.....though I haven't seen any 2"+ totals yet....mostly 1-1.5" DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA ...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA... AMERICAN UNIVERSITY T 510 PM 2/04 BROADCAST MEDIA MARYLAND ...ALLEGANY COUNTY... LA VALE 2.5 700 PM 2/04 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS ECKHART MINES 1.5 455 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER FROSTBURG 0.5 252 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY... 1 N BALT-WASH INTL A T 700 PM 2/04 ASOS ...BALTIMORE COUNTY... 1 SE GARRISON 1.0 600 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER PARKTON 0.8 723 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 E OELLA 0.5 630 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 E GLYNDON 0.3 445 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 NW LONG GREEN 0.2 650 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 W PARKTON T 348 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER MIDDLE RIVER T 408 PM 2/04 PUBLIC HUNT VALLEY T 430 PM 2/04 BROADCAST MEDIA ...CARROLL COUNTY... SYKESVILLE 1.6 720 PM 2/04 COCORAHS 3 SE WINFIELD 0.9 722 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 SSE HAMPSTEAD 0.7 640 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER LINEBORO 0.3 505 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...FREDERICK COUNTY... 2 NW NEW MARKET 1.5 705 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 3 NNW NEW MARKET 1.0 545 PM 2/04 COCORAHS POINT OF ROCKS 1.0 700 PM 2/04 NWS EMPLOYEE FREDERICK 0.5 700 PM 2/04 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS ...HARFORD COUNTY... 2 E NORRISVILLE 1.3 755 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER CHURCHVILLE 0.5 700 PM 2/04 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS ...HOWARD COUNTY... WEST FRIENDSHIP T 407 PM 2/04 COUNTY EMRG MGMT ...MONTGOMERY COUNTY... 2 NNE GERMANTOWN 1.5 653 PM 2/04 BROADCAST MEDIA 2 WSW DAMASCUS 1.4 753 PM 2/04 CO-OP OBSERVER 5 N LAYTONSVILLE 1.2 716 PM 2/04 BROADCAST MEDIA GAITHERSBURG 0.1 700 PM 2/04 DEPT OF HIGHWAYS GLENMONT T 700 PM 2/04 NWS EMPLOYEE ...WASHINGTON COUNTY... 2 SSW LONG MEADOW T 816 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER VIRGINIA ...CLARKE COUNTY... 1 NNW BERRYVILLE T 343 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...FAUQUIER COUNTY... 1 SSE WARRENTON T 427 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 NNE CATLETT T 516 PM 2/04 NWS EMPLOYEE ...FREDERICK COUNTY... 1 S STEPHENSON 0.5 634 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...LOUDOUN COUNTY... STERLING T 600 PM 2/04 NWS EMPLOYEE LEESBURG T 430 PM 2/04 PUBLIC 1 SE PAEONIAN SPRING T 400 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 3 NW DULLES INTERNAT T 555 PM 2/04 NWS OFFICE ...PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY... GAINESVILLE T 350 PM 2/04 NWS EMPLOYEE ...ROCKINGHAM COUNTY... 3 ENE ROCKY BAR T 240 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER WEST VIRGINIA ...BERKELEY COUNTY... 5 NW SHEPHERDSTOWN 0.8 415 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...GRANT COUNTY... BAYARD 0.5 351 PM 2/04 CO-OP OBSERVER ...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY... ROMNEY 0.5 810 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...JEFFERSON COUNTY... SHEPHERDSTOWN T 342 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...MINERAL COUNTY... 1 SSW KEYSER 1.0 819 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 NNE SHORT GAP 0.5 428 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER ...MORGAN COUNTY... 2 WNW BERRYVILLE 1.5 805 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER SMITH CROSSROADS 0.9 812 PM 2/04 TRAINED SPOTTER $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Weatherbug's are not always accurate...33 seems low to me based on surrounding obs, but maybe you were close....point is you were going to go to snow (you were already mixing) assuming we actually had more precip....I don't ever recall an event in mid winter where the column from 875-900 mb and up was below freezing and it was a prolonged synoptic rain event with temps in the mid 30s....and this event was no different.....nobody was going to get hour after hour of rain and 34 with this setup...I'm not saying anyone advanced that idea, but when it looked like more of a prolonged event into the overnight hours, anyone suggesting an all rain event with temps in the low to mid 30s would have busted This goes along with what we mentioned last night with the model soundings...when they start showing 0C from 925-950mb during steady precip, its usually only a matter of itme before it snows regardless of what they try to show at the surface unless you have a wind off the ocean which this event did not...and a wind off the ocean usually will struggle to have 0C as low as 925-950mb anyway, so those cases are rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Weatherbug's are not always accurate...33 seems low to me based on surrounding obs, but maybe you were close....point is you were going to go to snow (you were already mixing) assuming we actually had more precip....I don't ever recall an event in mid winter where the column from 875-900 mb and up was below freezing and it was a prolonged synoptic rain event with temps in the mid 30s....and this event was no different.....nobody was going to get hour after hour of rain and 34 with this setup...I'm not saying anyone advanced that idea, but when it looked like more of a prolonged event into the overnight hours, anyone suggesting an all rain event with temps in the low to mid 30s would have busted I want a 1a precip type report, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Light snow has just started up again. 31.9/32. I just saw a few flakes as well. Maybe we will get lucky and get another nice band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Snow starting back up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 This goes along with what we mentioned last night with the model soundings...when they start showing 0C from 925-950mb during steady precip, its usually only a matter of itme before it snows regardless of what they try to show at the surface unless you have a wind off the ocean which this event did not...and a wind off the ocean usually will struggle to have 0C as low as 925-950mb anyway, so those cases are rare. I just use 36-37 as general idea of going to snow as I don't think this setup supported a prolonged rain event if one could maintain that temp or lower based on my experience....If one looks at old metars which I do all the time we see that over and over in rain to snow events....obviously the 925-950mb layer is the one that actually matters, but 36-37 or lower usually suggests that that layer is there or getting there soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Snow starting back up here radar looks good for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 radar looks good for you I think so...this stuff looks to head through DC as well...maybe the 0z NAM will be right...goodness you would think it could get a 12 hour forecast right..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Not to be overly optimistic, but the SE trajectory of that banding in OH looks like it's heading straight for the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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