Herb@MAWS Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 DT is nuts. ... and his forecast is also a bit hi-end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge2/snow/index.php?lat=39.5&lon=-104.5&zoom=4&start=48 This is how the DC metro will look tommorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Raining in Hagerstown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Camp David reporting light snow... 34 degrees: KRSP 041833Z AUTO VRB03KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR FEW005 BKN030 OVC048 01/M02 A3015 RMK AO2 P0000 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Someone on CWG FB page said it was snowing NW of Manchester MD... 35 degrees (30 mins ago... on the snowfall forecast comments part) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.srh.noaa....zoom=4&start=48 This is how the DC metro will look tommorrow. Liquid equivalent to 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 very light snow here in WV with temp at 37.7 which is high for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 +1 euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Boo Yah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Boo Yah They've been cutting back on each updated map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 +1 euro only because it was the model that showed essentially no snow every model forecast that has shown no snow 36 hrs+ has been right, whether the GFS or EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownerd Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Snow flurries in Front Royal, VA. 37.9 outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 only because it was the model that showed essentially no snow every model forecast that has shown no snow 36 hrs+ has been right, whether the GFS or EC i think it will end up having been fairly consistent in its idea for almost 3 days when all is said and done.. other models were bouncing wildly still in that period. why the cmc got 100 posts of commentary is still unknown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Snow flurries in Front Royal, VA. 39.4 outside. I would be happy to just see snow..can we just get some non sticking snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Light snow here in Strasburg, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Rain mixing in with a very few wet flakes in HGR. Temp: 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Rain mixing in with a very few wet flakes in HGR. Temp: 36 I noticed the airport was reporting -SN at the top of the hour... would it really be all snow, or do you think it should be more of a mix at that location? KHGR 041853Z 04004KT 3SM -SN BR OVC025 02/00 A3018 RMK AO2 RAE19UPB19E46SNB46 SLP238 P0000 T00220000 EDIT: Nevermind... new ob shows it's been bouncing around quite a bit: KHGR 041937Z 05003KT 3SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC025 02/00 A3018 RMK AO2 UPB1858E11RAB11E35SNE1858B35 P0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 temps are a smidge cooler than forecast at least so maybe white rain comes sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Sky has taken on a discernably more wintry look in last 1-2 hrs as clouds lower. Breeze occasionally kicking up gives a slight nip to the air. Sky is slate gray – difficult to tell which way the lowest clouds are moving. Only less-gray part of sky is a sliver off to the S&SE. Light rain dampening the ground. Breeze out of N-NE. Temps seemed to have leveled off at 42.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 LWX added mixing back into the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 temps are a smidge cooler than forecast at least so maybe white rain comes sooner Gfs only busted on afternoon temps by 5-8 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 snow picking up here. sticking to the dog. guess that's where I should measure. 36.4 after high of 37.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Gfs only busted on afternoon temps by 5-8 degrees. 12z had a high of 44 at DCA...it's 45 now...the good news is that the models seems to have been too high with dewpoints, which is probably more important Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Some light rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z had a high of 44 at DCA...it's 45 now...the good news is that the models seems to have been too high with dewpoints, which is probably more important Not a bad call for 3 hours out. Good to see the models doing well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z had a high of 44 at DCA...it's 45 now...the good news is that the models seems to have been too high with dewpoints, which is probably more important MOS less than 48 hours ago was 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z had a high of 44 at DCA...it's 45 now...the good news is that the models seems to have been too high with dewpoints, which is probably more important MOS (both nam and gfs) was down into the mid-40 to 50 by 0z last night tho i don't recall specifics. was 50+ prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 MOS less than 48 hours ago was 52. that's interesting and good proof why one doesn't use a 48 hour forecast to nowcast....and if I remember correctly 48 hours ago had some breaks in the cloud cover during early portions of today, thus why MOS was probably a bit higher....you get in to the 950 mb to 850 mb layer and the GFS forecasts from 48 hours were much more in line... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Camping in Michaux near Gettysburg. All snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 looking at RUC analyses in SW Pa...things are changing over to mostly snow when 950 mb temps get below zero...RUC forecasts that to occur around the DC area between 23z and 00z tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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