Qaanaaq Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Per the GFS, tomorrow is meh, time to look forward to the disappointment at the end of the upcoming week. Here's some non-scientific encouragement for the upcoming week: based on Appalachian folklore- if you see a ring around the moon- count the stars within the ring and it will for-tell the number of days until a measurable snowfall- last night I counted between 6 and 8 (I'm old, I can't see so good anymore)- that would suggest sometime between next Thursday and Saturday- My forecast is snow next Saturday- seems we are in a weekend pattern- Hey, this isn't any crazier than Weatherfella's squirrels...just sayin..it can't be any worse than the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 CWG final map.. basically same as last night but tweaked downward on lower end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Even the CMC has backed off on QPF...Looks like a non event now basically except for high terrain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 A category of trace to 2" provides wiggle room. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Snowing decently west of the mountains near Pitt. Not many rain reports but temps are hovering slightly above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Here's some non-scientific encouragement for the upcoming week: based on Appalachian folklore- if you see a ring around the moon- count the stars within the ring and it will for-tell the number of days until a measurable snowfall- last night I counted between 6 and 8 (I'm old, I can't see so good anymore)- that would suggest sometime between next Thursday and Saturday- My forecast is snow next Saturday- seems we are in a weekend pattern- Hey, this isn't any crazier than Weatherfella's squirrels...just sayin..it can't be any worse than the models Yeah, I've always heard, and used, the ring around the moon. I had never heard of the star/snow relationship, but I'd always heard that a ring around the moon meant colder weather coming. It's been my experience that that one is pretty reliable. I have no idea why that would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 DT is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Snowing decently west of the mountains near Pitt. Not many rain reports but temps are hovering slightly above freezing. Can confirm the precip here in Pitt. Was a rain/snow mix with 35 this morning, but have since changed over to all snow. Just now starting to accumulate on non-paved surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 DT is nuts. I trust Ellinwood's map more, I'd love for DT to nail it, but I'm betting both are too high. But, you never know. I really thought I'd get more from the Dec and Jan storms that rolled though. Both had the precip just dry up on me right when they would have done some good. Maybe this one doesn't do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Here's my final forecast: Looks like the sref Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 DT is nuts. ... and his forecast is also a bit hi-end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge2/snow/index.php?lat=39.5&lon=-104.5&zoom=4&start=48 This is how the DC metro will look tommorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Raining in Hagerstown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Camp David reporting light snow... 34 degrees: KRSP 041833Z AUTO VRB03KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR FEW005 BKN030 OVC048 01/M02 A3015 RMK AO2 P0000 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Someone on CWG FB page said it was snowing NW of Manchester MD... 35 degrees (30 mins ago... on the snowfall forecast comments part) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 http://www.srh.noaa....zoom=4&start=48 This is how the DC metro will look tommorrow. Liquid equivalent to 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 very light snow here in WV with temp at 37.7 which is high for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 +1 euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Boo Yah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Boo Yah They've been cutting back on each updated map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 +1 euro only because it was the model that showed essentially no snow every model forecast that has shown no snow 36 hrs+ has been right, whether the GFS or EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownerd Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Snow flurries in Front Royal, VA. 37.9 outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 only because it was the model that showed essentially no snow every model forecast that has shown no snow 36 hrs+ has been right, whether the GFS or EC i think it will end up having been fairly consistent in its idea for almost 3 days when all is said and done.. other models were bouncing wildly still in that period. why the cmc got 100 posts of commentary is still unknown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Snow flurries in Front Royal, VA. 39.4 outside. I would be happy to just see snow..can we just get some non sticking snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Light snow here in Strasburg, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlYourWxPal Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Rain mixing in with a very few wet flakes in HGR. Temp: 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Rain mixing in with a very few wet flakes in HGR. Temp: 36 I noticed the airport was reporting -SN at the top of the hour... would it really be all snow, or do you think it should be more of a mix at that location? KHGR 041853Z 04004KT 3SM -SN BR OVC025 02/00 A3018 RMK AO2 RAE19UPB19E46SNB46 SLP238 P0000 T00220000 EDIT: Nevermind... new ob shows it's been bouncing around quite a bit: KHGR 041937Z 05003KT 3SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC025 02/00 A3018 RMK AO2 UPB1858E11RAB11E35SNE1858B35 P0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 temps are a smidge cooler than forecast at least so maybe white rain comes sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Sky has taken on a discernably more wintry look in last 1-2 hrs as clouds lower. Breeze occasionally kicking up gives a slight nip to the air. Sky is slate gray – difficult to tell which way the lowest clouds are moving. Only less-gray part of sky is a sliver off to the S&SE. Light rain dampening the ground. Breeze out of N-NE. Temps seemed to have leveled off at 42.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 LWX added mixing back into the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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