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The feb 4-5 storm (Obs/Discussions)


Ji

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  On 2/5/2012 at 1:23 PM, NE Balti Zen said:

Ellinwood owned DT.

  On 2/5/2012 at 3:50 PM, Quasievil said:

Agree completely. What snow? DT is believing his own hype machine.

Even mine was overdone out west... that was a risk but I thought there would be just enough precip. to squeek out higher totals in the mountains and went for it. Verification coming later today.

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The verification on this one was rather interesting... some odd shapes/placements of the snow totals:

20120204-05_MAsnow_comparison.png

The front-end of the system over-produced and the back edge under-produced, with some front-end banding boosting totals in central MD. Lighter rates and above-freezing temperatures kept the totals down elsewhere. Overall, I had the right idea, but with a warm boundary layer and a weak system it's always difficult to nail the accumulations. I'd give this forecast a B- for getting the general theme right within the oddly-placed snow totals.

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I'd say B+ as snow amounts always tricky and your forecast area of coverage was great!

Opposite IMBY front end dusting (too light and temps above freezing) 1.6 from back end. began about 2:30 am and stayed light (temps below freezing) and steady for about 5-1/2 hours.

still a bit left now:

post-4831-0-73790100-1328567375.jpg

  On 2/6/2012 at 8:30 PM, Ellinwood said:

The verification on this one was rather interesting... some odd shapes/placements of the snow totals:

20120204-05_MAsnow_comparison.png

The front-end of the system over-produced and the back edge under-produced, with some front-end banding boosting totals in central MD. Lighter rates and above-freezing temperatures kept the totals down elsewhere. Overall, I had the right idea, but with a warm boundary layer and a weak system it's always difficult to nail the accumulations. I'd give this forecast a B- for getting the general theme right within the oddly-placed snow totals.

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