tmagan Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 The degree to which this winter and the response to it are pathetic is beyond measure. I've said on Eastern before if stuff like this were around in the late 1980's - early 1990's, this is what you would have seen every winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 I've said on Eastern before if stuff like this were around in the late 1980's - early 1990's, this is what you would have seen every winter. At least the models sucked then, so we'd at least have some hope of surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulyd Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 channel 4 so exagerent saying salt plows getting ready and snowicane about to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 channel 4 so exagerent saying salt plows getting ready and snowicane about to come In fairness, the other two channels did that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 channel 4 so exagerent saying salt plows getting ready and snowicane about to come egg on their face tomorrow when roads are just wet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Relax all. Models almost always cut back more QPF inside 12h then what actually falls. Saw it happen all last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 lol at all the negative posts. Just relax and watch the storm unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 lol at all the negative posts. Just relax and watch the storm unfold. lol- you just called what is expected to happen tomorrow a "storm"....it will be a MINOR "event".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 lol- you just called what is expected to happen tomorrow a "storm"....it will be a MINOR "event".... Exactly im thinking something similar to Wednesday now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Exactly im thinking something similar to Wednesday now. Probably a bit more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Always with the plows and people buying shovels at home depot channel 4 so exagerent saying salt plows getting ready and snowicane about to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted February 10, 2012 Share Posted February 10, 2012 Exactly im thinking something similar to Wednesday now. Seriously? Do you not understand how dynamic of a set up this is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Probably a bit more than that. probably...but I wouldnt betting on over 3"....the forecast should be a coating to an inch or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Nowcast time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Seriously? Do you not understand how dynamic of a set up this is More like could be if things came together better. I actually got a nice coating on Wednesday and had snow left in shady spots until this morning. That was on par with the October event here and thus tied for 2nd for the season. I got a measly 2 inches during the January event. So im going with a coating again (here aka the snow hole of ny) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 More like could be if things came together better. I actually got a nice coating on Wednesday and had snow left in shady spots until this morning. That was on par with the October event here and thus tied for 2nd for the season. I got a measly 2 inches during the January event. So im going with a coating again (here aka the snow hole of ny) I thought he was being sarcastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 HRRR looks great for the area.People are going nuts in CVS lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 HRRR looks great for the area.People are going nuts in CVS lol. That thing is so wild, it showed 7 inches one time and we got 1/2 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 HRRR looks great for the area.People are going nuts in CVS lol. That's easy to say for those who only looked at the future radar and not at the QPF amounts and P-type... through hour 15 NYC barely gets an inch of snow despite the nice looking storm on the radar. Besides, the HRRR/RR didn't handle the last storm very well, I think one of their runs that evening even initialized with a 25dbz band covering most of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulyd Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I cant accesss HRRR what does it look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2012 Author Share Posted February 11, 2012 The SREF mean trended east again and now brings less than 0.25" liquid to NYC proper. Not totally surprising given the other guidance from this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I remember the models cutting QPF like crazy last year for the early Jan event that brought 4-6" to the area right before the Jan 11-12 event. I think right before it hit we were down to .1-.25" areawide. We all know the storm will be very disorganized and patchy, so you take what you can get. Maybe it will surprise on the high end. Southern stream was just too fast and took the main storm out before the northern branch could phase into it. Right now I think it's mostly a sloppy 1-2", spot 3" maybe around Upton-Riverhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 So now the Euro is the wettest model. 1-3 inches is a good call. We have to see where the inverted trough sets up ( if there is any ). I wouldnt be shocked if this storm busted on the high side or even on the low side. It will be fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Nam is def Meh through 18hr.... .10+ from city south...ct less then that Hr 21 preciep over.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Nam is def Meh through 18hr.... .10+ from city south...ct less then that Hr 21 preciep over.... That will do it then...maybe next time...what a disappointment--looked so good yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 If I had to forecast for Manhattan, I'd say less than an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Saturday night snow showers....bulk of the activity is in central and south jersey....sets-up norlun close to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 This could be the system where Boston starts to pull away from us for seasonal snow. It'll be interesting to see how much they can get swiped by the developing low at their longitude. But based on this Nam run, you have to be pretty far east. Could just be the eastern Cape that gets real enhancements. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Saturday night snow showers....bulk of the activity is in central and south jersey....sets-up norlun close to phl Middlesex county area in central nj? Or further south? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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