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February 10-12 Potential


earthlight

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The Euro charts don't look too different than the GFS in the mid and upper levels, based on a composite overlay. It appears the differences are primarily at the surface where the GFS has a better pressure field and low level circulations, presumably leading to slightly greater QPF.

I'm relieved to see the Euro basically resemble the GFS in terms of the more important parameters.

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Check Euro QPF im hearing .32 in NYC which is what its printed out last 2 runs

SAT 06Z 11-FEB 2.8 -4.0 1012 75 97 0.01 545 535

SAT 12Z 11-FEB 0.9 -4.9 1009 98 98 0.12 539 532

SAT 18Z 11-FEB 4.0 -7.3 1004 66 67 0.06 531 528

12 Z ECM Text output got NYC

.19

Last night 00z ECM

NYC .23 total QPF

SAT 06Z 11-FEB 1.8 -4.4 1013 85 98 0.02 544 534

SAT 12Z 11-FEB 0.9 -5.0 1009 96 100 0.10 540 532

SAT 18Z 11-FEB 2.4 -7.2 1005 78 99 0.10 532 528

SUN 00Z 12-FEB 1.9 -9.0 1005 67 44 0.01 523 519

Total .23

So todays 12 Z is slightly less QPF (verbatim)

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SAT 06Z 11-FEB 2.8 -4.0 1012 75 97 0.01 545 535

SAT 12Z 11-FEB 0.9 -4.9 1009 98 98 0.12 539 532

SAT 18Z 11-FEB 4.0 -7.3 1004 66 67 0.06 531 528

12 Z ECM Text output got NYC

.19

Last night 00z ECM

NYC .23 total QPF

SAT 06Z 11-FEB 1.8 -4.4 1013 85 98 0.02 544 534

SAT 12Z 11-FEB 0.9 -5.0 1009 96 100 0.10 540 532

SAT 18Z 11-FEB 2.4 -7.2 1005 78 99 0.10 532 528

SUN 00Z 12-FEB 1.9 -9.0 1005 67 44 0.01 523 519

Total .23

So todays 12 Z is slightly less QPF (verbatim)

Hey , Thanks man

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Upton already throwing out accumulations in their forecast. This is for me in Hartsdale:

Friday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 46. West wind between 3 and 11 mph.

Friday Night: Snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 32. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 39. North wind 5 to 8 mph increasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Saturday Night: A slight chance of snow showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Blustery, with a north wind between 16 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow showers after noon. Partly sunny and breezy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

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Upton already throwing out accumulations in their forecast. This is for me in Hartsdale:

Friday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 46. West wind between 3 and 11 mph.

Friday Night: Snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 32. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 39. North wind 5 to 8 mph increasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Saturday Night: A slight chance of snow showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Blustery, with a north wind between 16 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow showers after noon. Partly sunny and breezy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Lower Manhattan:

Friday Night: A chance of rain and snow before 1am, then snow. Low around 34. North wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 39. North wind between 8 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

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I don't really trust these point and click forecasts but interestingly Mt holly is going with cooler temps for central NJ but a change back to rain in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN

SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN

INCH POSSIBLE. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF

PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...SNOW LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL

LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BREEZY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID

30S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION

70 PERCENT.

Lower Manhattan:

Friday Night: A chance of rain and snow before 1am, then snow. Low around 34. North wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 39. North wind between 8 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

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Upton already throwing out accumulations in their forecast. This is for me in Hartsdale:

Friday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 46. West wind between 3 and 11 mph.

Friday Night: Snow, mainly after 1am. Low around 32. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

Saturday: Snow, mainly before 1pm. High near 39. North wind 5 to 8 mph increasing to between 14 and 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Saturday Night: A slight chance of snow showers after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Blustery, with a north wind between 16 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Sunday: A slight chance of snow showers after noon. Partly sunny and breezy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

same here too although they've changed saturday into "rain/snow" forecast...

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