burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Looking pretty supressed at 120. 0 deg line in similar locale, but now cutting east-west through the heart of NC @132 that line is going through parts of KY to WV to just north of RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 @138 moisture is expanding and the system is pulling down some cold air low looks to be around Jacksonville FL . Snow breaking out in TN and northern AL...@144 it's riding up the coast snow in WNC and NE GA...this is going to be a good run boys and girls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 @150 snow in CLT and west. Good amount of moisture with this. 850 line runs just east of CLT up just west of RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 wow -- Euro shows low bombing out at 144 over E central Ga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 @132 that line is going through parts of KY to WV to just north of RDU. How much water is up in NC though. Sounding like an OTS run for the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 How much water is up in NC though. Sounding like an OTS run for the low. Gotta be between .50 and 1 inch....at least .50 falls when it's cold enough for snow for my back yard. More towards RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Terrible timing for us in NC. Strong low sitting right on the NC/SC coastline at 150. 850's are close but look at those 2m temps considering this around 1pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Is this in dr no's good window? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Looked like there was northern stream phasing around 144, igniting the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Those wunderground Euro snow maps should be fun to see. My guess is NE GA just gets slammed as well as some points just west of CLT. One negative is the SFC temps that line is way up north around PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I admit that next weekend's system has me somewhat interested- the Euro and CMC tracks are good for north GA, northern AL, southern TN, extreme NW SC and western NC. Close call for ATL, GSP, CLT, RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Looked like there was northern stream phasing around 144, igniting the storm. I agree griteater...I was just looking at that myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Terrible timing for us in NC. Strong low sitting right on the NC/SC coastline at 150. 850's are close but look at those 2m temps considering this around 1pm or so. Not going to sweat exact timing/distance at this range. Six hours nor 100miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Terrible timing for us in NC. Strong low sitting right on the NC/SC coastline at 150. 850's are close but look at those 2m temps considering this around 1pm or so. I'll take my chances...it's pulling cold air into it...at least for MBY...RDU stays on the edge during the entire thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I admit that next weekend's system has me somewhat interested- the Euro and CMC tracks are good for north GA, northern AL, southern TN, extreme NW SC and western NC. Close call for ATL, GSP, CLT, RDU. Always when we see you around here Cheez and having your interest piqued. CLT is def. close per the Euro...that is a line I hate to be on as 90% of the time it's on the wrong side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted February 13, 2012 Author Share Posted February 13, 2012 Let me know when it's time to close this thread and I will start the next one. My mojo is going to save our winter, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I agree w/ everyone that it's a little far out to discuss temps but we need to see some colder temps soon for us east of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kennedy Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Shalle we start a seperate thread? If so , I will do the honors as my birthday is Monday the 20th. Maybe I can get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 RDU on the Euro UN 06Z 19-FEB 5.8 1.0 1016 60 65 0.00 560 547 SUN 12Z 19-FEB 4.4 -0.7 1013 86 100 0.09 558 547 SUN 18Z 19-FEB 3.0 0.0 1008 97 98 0.36 552 546 MON 00Z 20-FEB 2.3 -1.4 1013 96 92 0.28 549 539 MON 06Z 20-FEB 1.6 -1.9 1018 96 4 0.00 555 541 MON 12Z 20-FEB -0.8 -1.1 1023 94 23 0.00 560 542 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 East of the mtns, we need this type of dynamic setup with a stronger 500mb low for a better shot with temps - msumx made mention of this earlier Here's the 700mb RH and 850mb temps at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Timing will likely change to a morning or night scenario, I woul rather be sitting at a midday event for NC at this stage than at overnight event 5 days out. Terrible timing for us in NC. Strong low sitting right on the NC/SC coastline at 150. 850's are close but look at those 2m temps considering this around 1pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Looks great at 150: Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 RDU on the Euro UN 06Z 19-FEB 5.8 1.0 1016 60 65 0.00 560 547 SUN 12Z 19-FEB 4.4 -0.7 1013 86 100 0.09 558 547 SUN 18Z 19-FEB 3.0 0.0 1008 97 98 0.36 552 546 MON 00Z 20-FEB 2.3 -1.4 1013 96 92 0.28 549 539 MON 06Z 20-FEB 1.6 -1.9 1018 96 4 0.00 555 541 MON 12Z 20-FEB -0.8 -1.1 1023 94 23 0.00 560 542 Where did you get this if you don't mind me asking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Looks great at 150: Uploaded with ImageShack.us That is one sexy looking map. Edit: Turns out that's pretty much it..oh well I'd still take 3-4 inches given what things have looked like for most of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well I guess it may be time for me to start showing back up and chiming in some! If memory serves me correctly this is usually the right time frame that the Euro is pretty accurate and the fact it has been showing the storm for several days is encouraging. I'd fully expect that IF a storm is going to happen the GFS will start trending more north over the next day or two since it's bias is to way over squash system to the south in the long term and gradually bring it north as the even gets closer. Don't worry about temps this far out, as long as cold air is around I'll take my chances will a wound up LP pulling in cold anyday. For the first time all winter looks like my work productivity may go down for a little bit. Let's do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Where did you get this if you don't mind me asking? AccuWx Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 AccuWx Pro DOH! Hoping it was some free resource but alas!!! Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmundie Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Euro Wunderground Accum maps pound the mountains, and drop 1-3 it looks like for the non mountainous western half of NC. NE GA does well. Chattanooga could get in on the action. I'm certainly biased, being in Nashville, but would love a NW trend on this one. We're pretty close, but because precip is light, surface temps too warm. Nothing doing on the accumulation maps for middle tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 That is one sexy looking map. Edit: Turns out that's pretty much it..oh well I'd still take 3-4 inches given what things have looked like for most of the winter. Overall totals will be more...there will be 6" areas easy verbatim, especially northern parts of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 DT has sounded the ALARM: Wxrisk.com ?*** ALERT *** ALERT ***ALERT .... this is No drill ... 12Z EURO BRING in MUCH strong SE US LOW HEAVY SNOW to all of central and eastern VA --over 6 inches and much of Northern NC ... this not a drill... WOOF WOOF BARK WOOF Like· · Share · 537052 · 16 minutes a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.