Met1985 Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Just noticing something closer next week only for the mountains and TN is there looks to be snow breaking out at around hour 63 to hour 87. Not in fantasy land and the models have been hinting at this for a couple of runs. just something interesting to look at in the short range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Just noticing something closer next week only for the mountains and TN is there looks to be snow breaking out at around hour 63 to hour 87. Not in fantasy land and the models have been hinting at this for a couple of runs. just something interesting to look at in the short range. Check the lowers out,no way thats snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 A met on the NE board was talking about the potential for a triple phaser. It appears some have taken. To recreational drug use this winter. Your not buying a triple phaser? I see a three streams (PV, Pac Jet, Southern Stream) that could phase, ala March 1993...I know probably, won't happen in our lifetimes again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Robert, at only 120 out it's wouldn't take much at all for there to be a phase. The ridge looks GREAT. We'd just need that closed low to scoot a little further east or the ridge to be a hair sharper. Overall, a really good look. The NAM @84 has that ridge sharper.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 NAM at 84, i know I know, looks really good to me for next weekend extrapolated... Kicks the baja wave out faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 out to 66: Pobably gonna get alot of suppression this run is my guess: We'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 out to 66: Pobably gonna get alot of suppression this run is my guess: We'll see I'm out to 96 and I think you might be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Im only @ hr90 on 500 vort map the baja low is starting to move. Need a good kicker to boot it out into the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Yea, not gonna do it this run.. Less interaction btw streams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Yea this run is looking awful for a storm possibility at 114. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Looks very Euroish...all hail the mighty Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Not even really close... Geeze what a difference a run makes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Well it does show a pretty good push of cold air at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Well it does show a pretty good push of cold air at least At this point I don't care about cold air. If its not going to be a life disrupting snowfall it might as well be spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 GFS is transferring energy way too quickly. Best potential "classic" snowstorm in two years for the SE. I think someone makes bank from this in the coming 8-9 day timeframe. It's very hard, given the SST anomalies in the gulf, of a system between now and April not going sub-999mb in the GOM before end of winter. You can't live and die by every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 At this point I don't care about cold air. If its not going to be a life disrupting snowfall it might as well be spring. haha alright alright calm down Brick...it's only one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 It's just one run. We no this could happen and has happened with this exact same storm. The models still have a lot to account for right now and this sytem is still a week away. We will just have to let the models see how all this phasing works out. Looks cold enough for the storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Your not buying a triple phaser? I see a three streams (PV, Pac Jet, Southern Stream) that could phase, ala March 1993...I know probably, won't happen in our lifetimes again. I agree. In my opinion, best chance since 2007 of a possible triple phaser system. They never seem to work out, but when they do, watch out. Seems like every 4-5 years we cross the streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Looks very Euroish...all hail the mighty Euro. I agree, it did look like the 12z euro. It's all or nothing w/ this storm. If you get the phase you have a chance. No phase, no storm. Still a ways to go w/ this one but still the best chance we've had all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Trends within the pattern...trends within the pattern... This happens every night. I really don't see much difference at all (except for a sharper ridge). So the Baja energy stayed still...that could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 We're now in the time frame where the GFS can tend to lose storms for a 24-48 hours. Sometimes they come back and sometimes they don't. Big downside now is that the Euro doesn't have it. Maybe it will have it later. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 We're now in the time frame where the GFS can tend to lose storms for a 24-48 hours. Sometimes they come back and sometimes they don't. Big downside now is that the Euro doesn't have it. Maybe it will have it later. TW Imo that's the key TW. I really would like to see the euro show a possible storm in it's upcoming runs. If the euro continues to stick to it's guns then we have a problem. Edit: Also it doesn't give me the warm fuzzies that the 0z gfs now looks like the 12z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 No mentions of the little detail where the GFS *slows down the GOM upper low? This system is upper level driven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Ggem says nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Imo that's the key TW. I really would like to see the euro show a possible storm in it's upcoming runs. If the euro continues to stick to it's guns then we have a problem. Edit: Also it doesn't give me the warm fuzzies that the 0z gfs now looks like the 12z euro. Yep. Totally agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 If the euro don't show some interest by Monday's 00z run. I will lose hope again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Imo that's the key TW. I really would like to see the euro show a possible storm in it's upcoming runs. If the euro continues to stick to it's guns then we have a problem. Edit: Also it doesn't give me the warm fuzzies that the 0z gfs now looks like the 12z euro. How are the upper levels of the 12z Euro and the 0z GFS similar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmundie Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 Ggem says nope It's only out to 96 on the Canadian weather office site. Doesn't look bad. Where are you looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 It's only out to 96 on the Canadian weather office site. Doesn't look bad. Where are you looking? Wondering the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 6, 2012 Share Posted February 6, 2012 It's only out to 96 on the Canadian weather office site. Doesn't look bad. Where are you looking? It's finished on enviro Canada in the black and white charts looks gfs'ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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