ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 yeah i hate even digging down into anything at this time frame. it's just so boring right now it's hard not too start looking at these things in greater detail...it's a sickness. Yeah I hear ya...I usually look at the 35F isotherm for snow on the Euro when aloft is plenty cold enough...and it runs from just south of BOS to PVD to HFD (or maybe a shade south of HFD) which is where I got snow NW of that line...might be a 33-34F snow in BOS, but it falls at night so it would probably stick....if we took this verbatim. Euro loves to set up CFs around my area when it usually happens further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 yeah i hate even digging down into anything at this time frame. it's just so boring right now it's hard not too start looking at these things in greater detail...it's a sickness. Obsession, trying to pick out positives this year is hard. You were absent during your snowstorm, missed your obs. How much did you get, great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 Yeah I hear ya...I usually look at the 35F isotherm for snow on the Euro when aloft is plenty cold enough...and it runs from just south of BOS to PVD to HFD (or maybe a shade south of HFD) which is where I got snow NW of that line...might be a 33-34F snow in BOS, but it falls at night so it would probably stick....if we took this verbatim. Euro loves to set up CFs around my area when it usually happens further east. Kudos to you for mentioning this 8/9 time period before any model started to show anything, hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Obsession, trying to pick out positives this year is hard. You were absent during your snowstorm, missed your obs. How much did you get, great storm. i had 9.75-10". actually may have been a touch more had i been a bit better about measuring but both my kids were sick and my wife was working all day so it was a challenge to measure, post obs and follow twitter etc. there was a 12.3" that came in from S. dennis (seems a bit too high imo) which is pretty close to me so i'd be "ok" if someone said it was it was more like 10.5 or 11...but i'm going officially with 9.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 i had 9.75-10". actually may have been a touch more had i been a bit better about measuring but both my kids were sick and my wife was working all day so it was a challenge to measure, post obs and follow twitter etc. there was a 12.3" that came in from S. dennis (seems a bit too high imo) which is pretty close to me so i'd be "ok" if someone said it was it was more like 10.5 or 11...but i'm going officially with 9.75" nice! yea trying to do all that and weenie out is tough. Love my kids and grand kids more than anything in this world but the best weenie storm i had last year was Jan 27th , everyone sleeping and zero distractions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 Hard to believe this is a I70 in CO, man they got smoked, 2-3 feet, sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z GFS says "what storm 2/8-9 and 2/10-12?" Dreadful, just dreadful. Expect the EURO to cave at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I guess we won't be locking anything in based on the GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12z GFS says "what storm 2/8-9 and 2/10-12?" Dreadful, just dreadful. Expect the EURO to cave at 12z. Good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 That post was almost as bad as Noreastermass saying he had 5" more of snow than Ray in '08-'09. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Considering it's biases, I don't think we are going to get any help from the Euro on kicking that U.L. out of old Mexico faster. Maybe the 8-9th will still be in play. Good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 GFS is right where we want it right now SE like it always does in this timframe, I still will ride the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 It is def gonna snow wed nite/ thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Heavy Heavy cold and dry next weekend on the gfs. Verbatim probably double digit negatives for highs up near PF...maybe teens down here in SNE after lows around 0..but that's next Saturday after a slightly above average week overall. And obviously its a week out do unlikely to happen to that magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12Z GFS op says .... We'll see what the good Doc has shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 The 12z GGEM is uninspiring through the next 7 days. Hopefully it at the GFS are overplaying the northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 12Z GFS op says .... We'll see what the good Doc has shortly. Both these threats aren't very easy for models to handle, because there are so many moving pieces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 GFS goes from us being cold and storms going OTS to a storm going west of us at 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Strong cold next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Both these threats aren't very easy for models to handle, because there are so many moving pieces. I think we need a few more runs for these to start to get sorted out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Both the Feb 8-9 threat and the Feb 11-12 threats or any surrounding threats are going to be brutal on the models until they figure out how to handle the multiple pieces of energy leftover from the Rex block AND how to handle the PV sinking south from Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Did the Euro keep it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Did the Euro keep it? It has a weak wave with 1-2 for parts of the interior through hr 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Did the Euro keep it? Yeah it has it but its focusing more enrgy behind it so the system is weaker than on the 00z run...probably only like a 1-3" event this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Yeah it has it but its focusing more enrgy behind it so the system is weaker than on the 00z run...probably only like a 1-3" event this time around. IS that for everyone or just inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 You can see how complicated the flow is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 IS that for everyone or just inland? Same as before probably...NW of a BOS-HFD line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 IS that for everyone or just inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 So if more energy is left behind..I'm guessing it also has the storm on 11-12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Heavy Heavy cold and dry next weekend on the gfs. Verbatim probably double digit negatives for highs up near PF...maybe teens down here in SNE after lows around 0..but that's next Saturday after a slightly above average week overall. And obviously its a week out do unlikely to happen to that magnitude. I'll pass, lol. Snowmaking is all done, the snowpack is in place, everything is skiable including the woods. A rock solid 40" at 3,000ft and 20" of glacier at 1,500ft... no need for brutal cold anymore haha. The only good part is usually those arctic airmasses come with upslope and 6" of arctic front snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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