Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 That is bs Steve. You quit yesterday and told me that I was a day late in giving up . 2 legit to quit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 You are right I did and I admit it. You gave on Fb and twitter just not on here LOL making fun of the torch on the euro and commenting on it probably being closer to reality is a little different. This specific threat has always been mentioned. The only time I said confidence was waning on this threat was this morning. It's just that..a threat for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 LOL making fun of the torch on the euro and commenting on it probably being closer to reality is a little different. This specific threat has always been mentioned. The only time I said confidence was waning on this threat was this morning. It's just that..a threat for now. I mean on the pattern overall and the torch coming back like the Euro ens have been showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I mean on the pattern overall and the torch coming back like the Euro ens have been showing I still think it will, but like we said in the last 48 hrs...we have a big difference in models and even if the EC is more correct.....if it gets rid of the -PNA just a bit, it could have a big outcome here in terms of sensible wx. When guidance is that far apart, on something that is as close as 10 days out...it's usually good to compromise. Honestly, I don't care if it gets into the 50s...it would just be nice to have a threat..and I don't see why the period near the 10-12th or so should be given up on just yet. Maybe it's too far offshore or cuts west..but a threat is just that...a threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 When was the last time we had that much of a signal for a storm day for day 8/9? Sounds weenieish but it seems to be a way above average signal for that far out...obviously could still fall apart...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 That is bs Steve. You quit yesterday and told me that I was a day late in giving up . Kev this was my towel post I concede, shaved my hair, threw in the towel, putting in triple A callups, might score a few runs but will go to Maine to get my winter kicks. So sad so sorry. also said next post Good 5 day period from the 10 th on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 See ya at day nine? LOL Yes, We are not there yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 AWT things looking good next week Cmon Rev... lol Move on Snowless Feb enroute Gotta know when to hold and when to fold...yesterday nothing pointed fold..today everything does..fold Baseball season is coming up quickly now. Won't have a mud season unless we get alot of rain this month... It'll give us all a chance to get lawns started early. Only 3 positives I see Only a matter of time Move on I urge folks to move on. Chances are high we do not see any accumulating snow the rest of the winter. Dead serious I'm not suicidal or melting down or anything. I'm facing reality..You should too dude. Give it up. I noticed you have to some degree because you aren't posting much anymore..That's always a telltale sign It's just amazing how all these good pattern changes have morphed into nothing. With all modelling and ens losing the snow possibility Feb 10-12 today it's just hard to believe.it's happened again. With March lost I was just hoping we would have a fun 2-3 week period this month..but even that has now been taken away from us. If the Euro en are correct we're all back in the 60's in 2 weeks in what was supposed to be a snowy period There is nothing indice wise, model wise, ens wise or otherwise that is pointing to any lind of a storm threat in this time period or any time period thru the middle of the month. Other than mundane frontal passages..that's all we;ve got Move along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Thanks Will. Phase 7 MJO events during a La Nina support the look of the models next week. Assuming we continue to head into phase 8 as the warming mid-stratosphere continues to downwell, I don't see why we can't get some of these threats to materialize. 2005-06 has actually become a decent match as well as 52-53. I know I'm being an IMBY weenie, but those were two awful winters for my area, 6th and 4th lowest snowfall in 119 yr record. In 52-53 I was a twerp in NNJ in a winter marked mainly by a major January ice storm, but 2005-06 is a clear (and unpleasant) memory - least snowfall for any February in Farmington's records, 1893 on, and only 6.3" for FMA, or 15% of the avg for those months. Of course, the MA wouldn't mind seeing Feb 2006 repeated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Y'all got it all out? How do the 12z Euro Ensembles today look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I know I'm being an IMBY weenie, but those were two awful winters for my area, 6th and 4th lowest snowfall in 119 yr record. In 52-53 I was a twerp in NNJ in a winter marked mainly by a major January ice storm, but 2005-06 is a clear (and unpleasant) memory - least snowfall for any February in Farmington's records, 1893 on, and only 6.3" for FMA, or 15% of the avg for those months. Of course, the MA wouldn't mind seeing Feb 2006 repeated. We can be hurt by a strong -NAO here no doub't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 Y'all got it all out? How do the 12z Euro Ensembles today look? Look better for 10th-12th and still crappy 11-15 but a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Y'all got it all out? How do the 12z Euro Ensembles today look? Ellinwood said they were a bit colder and showed a bit more of a -EPO but not a big change from the previous run. I haven't seen them yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Ellinwood said they were a bit colder and showed a bit more of a -EPO but not a big change from the previous run. I haven't seen them yet. They weren't really colder here in the long range..almost status quo. They did cool off a little later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 They weren't really colder here in the long range..almost status quo. They did cool off a little later next week. yeah sorry should have clarified...6-10 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Yeah they looked better in the D7-10 time range and still crappy in the D11-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Cmon Rev... lol DSM-IV 300.14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Yeah they looked better in the D7-10 time range and still crappy in the D11-15. A few weeks ago the d11-15 looked good with -nao instead we got highs in the 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 A few weeks ago the d11-15 looked good with -nao instead we got highs in the 70s Move north..we only had highs in the 5o's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Move north..we only had highs in the 5o's LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 18Z gfs insistent on a very good setup feb 11-12... a phase of northern and southern streams and confluence may not be so much a problem i know 9 days is far, but it has been pretty consistent... we'll see if ensembles continue to support this as they did 6z and 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 In case you missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 What does it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 What does it show? Looks like a hybrid A/B system at 156 hours....not cold enough for the cp however early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Looks like a hybrid A/B system at 156 hours....not cold enough for the cp however early on That's a congrats ORH to dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 That's a congrats ORH to dendrite. Of course ....it'll be gone anyway on the next run as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 That's a congrats ORH to dendrite. Edit: congrats far nw mass..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 3, 2012 Author Share Posted February 3, 2012 That's a congrats ORH to dendrite. I just care its there, details to be ironed out but give me a HP in Quebec and I will take a chance its colder than progged. Lets get the bus warmed up so by the time the Giants win it is rolling on the first tour since the Halloween Western Central NE tour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Any non Giant-Pats fans up for a snow chase to the MA late tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.