weathafella Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 You mean you aren't going to enjoy this: I told you 6 months ago I had concerns. Unfortunately, I didn't follow my own advice. We've had a cluster of well above normal snow winters in the past 10 years so I'm wondering if we suffer more than celebrate over the next 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 You mean you aren't going to enjoy this: LOL, getting old very quick. I don't really like seeing the euro still all by itself. I'm not completely buying it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I love of how each run of the EURO everyone is in awe of how much better it looks at H5, yet when the music stops, the ticker tape and confetti are cleaned away, we sober up and put our clothes back on, the question of how much it depicts is answered in the same monotone, stoic voice that only the 2011-'12 season can muster......1-3". The date is Groundhog Day, the winter is 2011-'12...rinse, repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 LOL, getting old very quick. I don't really like seeing the euro still all by itself. I'm not completely buying it yet. I'm not buying anything this winter when it's bare ground and 40s every day at 1200' in the Monadnocks during late January/early February. The pattern looks to revert to the same old on the long-range 6z GFS and especially 0z ECM with a +EPO/+NAO returning and warmer temperatures in the East. This arctic shot to start February looks to go by the wayside quickly as did the early January cold when we had -20C 850s down to NYC, but only for a day or so. Could be a very early spring at this rate....I bet we'd see a lot of daffodils/crocus/forsythia blooming by late February if the torch came back with the sun angle starting to increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I love of how each run of the EURO everyone is in awe of how much better it looks at H5, yet when the music stops, the ticker tape and confetti are cleaned away, we sober up and put our clothes back on, the question of how much it depicts is answered in the same monotone, stoic voice that only the 2011-'12 season can muster......1-3". The date is Groundhog Day, the winter is 2011-'12...rinse, repeat. We all just love how jovial you have been these past few months. Stellar performance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 We all just love how jovial you have been these past few months. Stellar performance. The pattern has clearly gotten to me. I'm sure we'll get the 1-3" because I don't want it . lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 We all just love how jovial you have been these past few months. Stellar performance. Ray has been Billy Murray-esque... it's entertaining, and fitting. Ned: Phil? Phil: Ned? [Punches Ned in the face] We have been through identical spurts of hope again and again, Groundhog day-like, but in the end we wake up to the same music. I get HM's objectivity that upcoming weather does not care about what happened previously this winter... but this has been a pretty astounding stretch that just won't break. Give me blockbuster, or give me futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 The pattern has clearly gotten to me. I'm sure we'll get the 1-3" because I don't want it . lol <kevin> 3-6", loli's to 8". lock it up! <kevin> clearly...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I'm not buying anything this winter when it's bare ground and 40s every day at 1200' in the Monadnocks during late January/early February. The pattern looks to revert to the same old on the long-range 6z GFS and especially 0z ECM with a +EPO/+NAO returning and warmer temperatures in the East. This arctic shot to start February looks to go by the wayside quickly as did the early January cold when we had -20C 850s down to NYC, but only for a day or so. Could be a very early spring at this rate....I bet we'd see a lot of daffodils/crocus/forsythia blooming by late February if the torch came back with the sun angle starting to increase. Well that's not why I'm questioning. With other guidance still not sold on it, 50 miles se and we'll be left with a few snow showers. The euro and ensembles got a little better looking on guidance and GFS a smidge better looking so there is hope, but it's close to whiffing se, which is my concern. I'm not ruling it out, just still a little skeptical. I don't think the euro is unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Ray has been Billy Murray-esque... it's entertaining, and fitting. Ned: Phil? Phil: Ned? [Punches Ned in the face] We have been through identical spurts of hope again and again, Groundhog day-like, but in the end we wake up to the same music. I get HM's objectivity that upcoming weather does not care about what happened previously this winter... but this has been a pretty astounding stretch that just won't break. Give me blockbuster, or give me futility. I understand that HM is a scientist first and I love him to death, but he is full of $hit that each winter does not take on a general tenor...almost even a persona, if you will. I agree with him that people get carried away with dismissing threats (not I, cough, cough)....but it's not as though seasons do not develop patterns of occurences. Don't buy it. Like anything else, there must be a balance between objectivity and anecdotal observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I understand that HM is a scientist first and I love him to death, but he is full of $hit that each winter does not take on a general tenor...almost even a persona, if you will. I agree with him that people get carried away with dismissing threats (not I, cough, cough)....but it's not as though seasons do not develop patterns of occurences. Don't buy it. Like anything else, there must be a balance between objectivity and anecdotal observations. Dismissing threats because of the winter pattern is wrong imo, but there is also science as to why people feel that way. You either have no blocking and/or progressive flow so that s/w's may have a problem amplifying. And if they do, there's a risk of cutting west. That's a horribly abbreviated reason, but you get my point. However, if something legit shows up inside of 4 days...I don't think you should apply the notion of it not happening because of the winter pattern. In this case, if it doesn't happen..it's not because it's the winter of '11/'12, it's because models were in disagreement to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Towels, here... Get cha towels here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Towels, here... Get cha towels here!! I'll take 5 extra large ones please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 First time in 2 months that I am actually going to hit resfresh on my phone on the ncep site for the NAM. Nobody even knows how well the Nam has done this year cause we haven't had to use it for storms. Great winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Lots of weenies today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Towels, here... Get cha towels here!! Do you have them in 3X? 0Z Euro was not that great here, It was actually worse then 12z yesterday, This one is starting to slip away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 The first two months of winter was easy, it was easy being the torch bearer, because thats what it was a full on mega death torch. The pattern has changed, but as Will, Scooter and Phil have outlined it did not mean that it had to be accompanied with snow. Might get some fluff this weekend, and after that its right back into the fire, departures through 7 days are ridiculous. Its just not our winter. Give me snow.............or give me Futility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 The first two months of winter was easy, it was easy being the torch bearer, because thats what it was a full on mega death torch. The pattern has changed, but as Will, Scooter and Phil have outlined it did not mean that it had to be accompanied with snow. Might get some fluff this weekend, and after that its right back into the fire, departures through 7 days are ridiculous. Its just not our winter. Give me snow.............or give me Futility I think in the next moderation period, I'll hit the yard to do some work. Ground was frozen this AM but it's minimal, maybe 1" at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I hope the rain storms next week are warm enough so they can clear away most of the snow in Plymouth. It's been sitting around for way too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 9z RSM clips SW CT tonight and extreme south coastal areas. Less than 0.10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 The debbies can down in this thread all they want..I'm looking forward to a wintry snow filled Saturday and a bitter cold Sunday and Monday. It looks like it's our last gasp at winter this year . last chance to take the girls sledding, and enjoy winter activities..So at least for me I'm looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 9z RSM clips SW CT tonight and extreme south coastal areas. Less than 0.10 Wow bro, you are digging deep! This one is ova, my low of 31 is just too much for this s/w to overcome, confluence city baby, vodka cold zonal flow, nice bone dry bitter sunday, should be awesome, should be good for some flexible flyer slip and slide~capades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Wow bro, you are digging deep! This one is ova, my low of 31 is just too much for this s/w to overcome, confluence city baby, vodka cold zonal flow, nice bone dry bitter sunday, should be awesome, should be good for some flexible flyer slip and slide~capades. just 12 hours ago you said overperformer and 1" up to BOS and HFD...what happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Wow bro, you are digging deep! This one is ova, my low of 31 is just too much for this s/w to overcome, confluence city baby, vodka cold zonal flow, nice bone dry bitter sunday, should be awesome, should be good for some flexible flyer slip and slide~capades. There should be some light snows/flurries in the area overnight for southern areas. RH fields look good enough to me. Won't amount to anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 just 12 hours ago you said overperformer and 1" up to BOS and HFD...what happened? Winter 12 happened.........I can sense your close to losing it, or giving into the warmth, go ahead, give in.............it feels so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 The debbies can down in this thread all they want..I'm looking forward to a wintry snow filled Saturday and a bitter cold Sunday and Monday. It looks like it's our last gasp at winter this year . last chance to take the girls sledding, and enjoy winter activities..So at least for me I'm looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Winter 12 happened.........I can sense your close to losing it, or giving into the warmth, go ahead, give in.............it feels so good. i don't approach things that way. like i said yesterday, i'll welcome any winter storm that wants to come this way. at some point in the not-too-distant future i'll start looking forward to spring weather because that's just how my internal clock works...but i'm not there yet. i don't pretend. it's stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Yeah, that will be his daughter, next week. Sledding on top of the 15 yards of mulch he's getting ready to spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 i don't approach things that way. like i said yesterday, i'll welcome any winter storm that wants to come this way. at some point in the not-too-distant future i'll start looking forward to spring weather because that's just how my internal clock works...but i'm not there yet. i don't pretend. it's stupid. I think if we see this crap a month from now, I'll be there too. It's Feb 8th, to hope for Spring wx around the corner is beyond failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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