Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I bet we see the magnitude of that cold back off as we closer. Seems like the Euro always gets too cold and then slowly backs off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Hopefully, Ray gets screwed and then is -5F with bare ground Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I think that the front could be interesting for many, with squalls, and some light to moderate snow. It does look like this is the coldest air of the season too. As far as I am concererned, an early spring is fine, but I would like a few more weeks of true winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I bet we see the magnitude of that cold back off as we closer. Seems like the Euro always gets too cold and then slowly backs off It does have a habit of digging troughs too far se, but the GFS hinted at it too. Your comment is certainly valid though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Pretty cold with the fropa on sunday 480 thickness over NW maine............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I bet we see the magnitude of that cold back off as we closer. Seems like the Euro always gets too cold and then slowly backs off very possible...if not likely. it also has a different evolution than most guidance as it hangs some energy back which really allows the PV to drop south as opposed to lifting out which is what most products do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 It's definitely not far off from something more substantial. On the other side it's also not far off from a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 It's definitely not far off from something more substantial. On the other side it's also not far off from a whiff. The Euro is very close to making something big for us. It tries to get the northern and southern streams to come together......but they are off by just a touch and come together just off shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Yes it was.. You and jerry both sad it was I said it looked promising in combination with the op. I also said I only saw RaleighWx so who knows how juicy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The weekend seems up in the air...00z runs tonight should be interesting. I wish tomorrow would've worked out...it's so close to something decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The weekend seems up in the air...00z runs tonight should be interesting. I wish tomorrow would've worked out...it's so close to something decent. Yeah, my wife is supposed to run a snowshoe field trip in Northfield Thursday. No snow otg there. It will basically be a hike in the woods. Oh, well Let's see where the models take us wrt this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Pretty cold with the fropa on sunday 480 thickness over NW maine............... NNEers crying for their mommas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The weekend seems up in the air...00z runs tonight should be interesting. I wish tomorrow would've worked out...it's so close to something decent. The fact that no models show at least a moderate event (even the jma ) leads me to believe were high dry and cold for the weekend. Just my opinion and to my liking.. no snow, means golf early! Its happened ALL season.. day 7-8 threat.. dissapear... rinse repeat rinse repeat Enjoy your trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The fact that no models show at least a moderate event (even the jma ) leads me to believe were high dry and cold for the weekend. Just my opinion and to my liking.. no snow, means golf early! Enjoy your trace I like the golf early bit....but some snow would be nice.....I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I have no clue about the guy, but did anyone else read Alex S's take on this weakend on Accuwx? "However, there is a possibility that cold air will hit a disturbance along the coast at just the right time to cause a storm to spin up rapidly and unload heavy snow in part of the region Saturday into Saturday night. We want to stress that by no means is the storm a certainty, but we are rather just pointing out the potential for a rapidly-evolving snow event. Areas in eastern New England on up through the Maritimes have a better chance of accumulating snow in this scenario as the feature is more likely to take a left turn later rather than sooner." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I have no clue about the guy, but did anyone else read Alex S's take on this weakend on Accuwx? "However, there is a possibility that cold air will hit a disturbance along the coast at just the right time to cause a storm to spin up rapidly and unload heavy snow in part of the region Saturday into Saturday night. We want to stress that by no means is the storm a certainty, but we are rather just pointing out the potential for a rapidly-evolving snow event. Areas in eastern New England on up through the Maritimes have a better chance of accumulating snow in this scenario as the feature is more likely to take a left turn later rather than sooner." Eastern MA special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 too may ducks on this pond...something is going to happen in the next 5-7 days and we are going to like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Eastern MA special. esp South of the Pike and the far distant elevated interior of Cape Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I have no clue about the guy, but did anyone else read Alex S's take on this weakend on Accuwx? "However, there is a possibility that cold air will hit a disturbance along the coast at just the right time to cause a storm to spin up rapidly and unload heavy snow in part of the region Saturday into Saturday night. We want to stress that by no means is the storm a certainty, but we are rather just pointing out the potential for a rapidly-evolving snow event. Areas in eastern New England on up through the Maritimes have a better chance of accumulating snow in this scenario as the feature is more likely to take a left turn later rather than sooner." actually nothing new here: this prog was true almost a week ago... see Ginx's post starting this thread Feb 1 for that reason, and GFS had several days of runs with a near phase that, if occurring earlier, could affect eastern areas... EDIT: and to be as complete as possible, Will / Tip had mentioned this weekend as a target even before a week ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 The fact that no models show at least a moderate event (even the jma ) leads me to believe were high dry and cold for the weekend. Just my opinion and to my liking.. no snow, means golf early! Its happened ALL season.. day 7-8 threat.. dissapear... rinse repeat rinse repeat Enjoy your trace Take a break scout. I can't figure out if you're 15 or 35 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 NNEers crying for their mommas. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Not a negative trend in the Euro this PM. For future runs, I'd personally like to see the northern piece of energy dig further S over TN/KY rather then IN/OH which would likely allow for a better surface reflection along the E MA coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 too may ducks on this pond...something is going to happen in the next 5-7 days and we are going to like it. could be nuclear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 too may ducks on this pond...something is going to happen in the next 5-7 days and we are going to like it. One of these runs a good one will appear, just have a good feeling, hopefully a better feeling than I had sunday before the super bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Not a negative trend in the Euro this PM. For future runs, I'd personally like to see the northern piece of energy dig further S over TN/KY rather then IN/OH which would likely allow for a better surface reflection along the E MA coastline. There is a lot of us that would, Further south would be sharper trough and amplifiaction as it drops in the backside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 There is a lot of us that would, Further south would be sharper trough and amplifiaction as it drops in the backside Yup. This thing is a powder keg waiting to go off. Look at the low this thing develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 One of the few times this year where arctic air is involved..That combined with the high SST's = powderkeg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 There is a lot of us that would, Further south would be sharper trough and amplifiaction as it drops in the backside Troughs have trended Less sharp and broader all year.. there is no reason to expect a sharper trough with this one.. actually I'm expecting a broader trough than it is now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 One of the few times this year where arctic air is involved..That combined with the high SST's = powderkeg. It would be better to have a more concise and concentrated vortmax too. The upper level support has to be there, along with a good baroclinic area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Yup. This thing is a powder keg waiting to go off. Look at the low this thing develops. I agree, That is a very strong PV lobe, If we can get it to dig and the timing right bombs away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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