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The Feb 10-12 storm threat, real or imagined?


Ginx snewx

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I almost thought the s/w was better looking at 00z, but there is also a piece of srn energy that maybe is helping out. It's still a little too late, but QPF is more widespread here. Part of the reason could be frontogenesis interaction with arctic boundary sinking south through New England and sharp s/w.

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I almost thought the s/w was better looking at 00z, but there is also a piece of srn energy that maybe is helping out. It's still a little too late, but QPF is more widespread here. Part of the reason could be frontogenesis interaction with arctic boundary sinking south through New England and sharp s/w.

yeah you can see that little added burst of precip it spits out over c areas. it also maintains hints at a bit of surface trough hanging back through the region too which might be aiding in that.

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Verbatim, yes. There is a little weenie jackpot across se areas, and then a randon inv trough feature over you. I actually can see an inv trough like feature, but that probably will shift around.

Well I'm not hanging my weenie on the norlun....but regardless..it appears a nice snowy weekend is in store for all of SNE.. it might be our last one..or even last snowfall overall..so we'd better enjoy whatever the hell we get

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yeah you can see that little added burst of precip it spits out over c areas. it also maintains hints at a bit of surface trough hanging back through the region too which might be aiding in that.

Yeah, I mean verbatim it may be a 34F wet snow for you, and then big temp drop as winds shift north and a freeze.

Of course I'd like to see more guidance start to move in this direction, but I'm hoping that nrn stream energy can dig a little more and initiate cyclogenesis further south. That would cause more synoptic snow, instead of high screw potential inv trough snow.

And wow at arctic shot.

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Well I'm not hanging my weenie on the norlun....but regardless..it appears a nice snowy weekend is in store for all of SNE.. it might be our last one..or even last snowfall overall..so we'd better enjoy whatever the hell we get

Eh, I know you are excited, but it really is too early right now. If this continues into tomorrow, I'll be a little more interested.

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if the euro is right you could potentially see some good snow/squalls on the western flank of this as that arctic boundary moves in an interacts with a bit more a marine type layer. it has a wicked temp gradient between here and logan11...like lower 30s here and 10s out there sunday night.

it also then just unloads the cold on us on monday as it drops the PV into NYS...frigid frigid air. -24C to the south coast...-16C down to DC

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