Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Yeah maybe, although it could easily be a BM special. Will be interesting to see guidance later. Still a little shaky about it. yeah. or a down east maine special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Baby steps on the weekend event on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 As far as the HA storm people were talking about, it's interesting that the GFS op was bullish with a brief -NAO ridge, but the GEFS were not. In fact looking at H5 and the CPC NAO forecasts, it just keeps it neutral. However, the EC ensembles actually do dip it negative for a brief time. Enough so, that the PV squashes the threat. It's funny because yesterday I noticed the NAO trying to briefly go negative and wondered if anything would come about, but the 00z finally showed something. It's not really much of a threat right now, but we may see guidance go back and forth with this. GFS op GEFS EC Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 GFS has two potential WINDEX-ish type events... nice arctic cold fronts, good vorticity at H5 and moisture at H7. GFS is snowy this weekend but in a different way... no synoptic snows but frontal snows with the two fronts on Sat/Sun. Front #1 on Saturday morning. Front #2 on Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 GGEM has a whole other solution, developing a weak low along the arctic front this weekend with some light snows across New England. Maybe a 1-4" fluff event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I'm getting psyched up for a nice snowy, long duration light to possibly moderate event this weekend. Saturday shold be a perfect winters day with snow falling and cold temps..Sort of like that day a few weeks ago when we had the widespread snowstorm. I agree with you man... going to be a nice snowy weekend with temps getting progressively colder each day. No matter how you slice it, as long as that upper level low settles over Quebec and sends shots of vorticity southward, it'll at least be a mood snow type of weekend. Good for the soul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 E MA special? Of course...special in this winter is a relative term. ??? Euro gives everyone a general 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 hopefully the 5h evolution is closer to what the euro has going with that energy this weekend...it's really digging that down and concurrently creating a more concentrated pocket of vorticity which helps get that lp going earlier on and closer in. i'm a bit concerned as its had a propensity to be too amped all winter with energy digging into the GL/NE but it definitely has the best evolution right now for new england. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 ??? Euro gives everyone a general 1-3 relax. i was just making a comment. it has a bit more precip over eastern areas and it's kind of a late bloomer...so that particular run just has that look. i knew you would say something about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 hopefully the 5h evolution is closer to what the euro has going with that energy this weekend...it's really digging that down and concurrently creating a more concentrated pocket of vorticity which helps get that lp going earlier on and closer in. i'm a bit concerned as its had a propensity to be too amped all winter with energy digging into the GL/NE but it definitely has the best evolution right now for new england. Yeah, that's why I'm not too excited right now. I'd like to see all guidance head that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I'm pulling for you, Kev......s of the pike....lets do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I'm pulling for you, Kev......s of the pike....lets do this. lol, pretty gutwrenching, we lost any snow tomorrow, and the weekend would certainly favor eastern new england, hope you get clocked with some fluff, good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 relax. i was just making a comment. it has a bit more precip over eastern areas and it's kind of a late bloomer...so that particular run just has that look. i knew you would say something about that. Well it's just you and Scooter love looking for ways for E MA to get snow or linger snows longer than anyone elese in every storm...All we ask is you guys include everyone in the general disco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I don't even want the 1-3", but common sense would dictate that e MA is threatened the most if it's developing late in the game....no big mystery as to why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Well it's just you and Scooter love looking for ways for E MA to get snow or linger snows longer than anyone elese in every storm...All we ask is you guys include everyone in the general disco LOL, it's not my fault you get downsloped. He's just stating what the euro shows. What's the difference between talking about what the euro shows, and you throwing interior in our face..even though you aren't all that interior? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 LOL, it's not my fault you get downsloped. He's just stating what the euro shows. What's the difference between talking about what the euro shows, and you throwing interior in our face..even though you aren't all that interior? I;m interior..just not the deep interior. I don't throw that in your face. There seems to be this Eastern Mass snow fetish on here from time to time..It's no biggie..but in a setup like this..all of SNE would get snow is all I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I;m interior..just not the deep interior. I don't throw that in your face. There seems to be this Eastern Mass snow fetish on here from time to time..It's no biggie..but in a setup like this..all of SNE would get snow is all I'm saying It's in your weenie head. Every storm has had the word "interior" thrown in, to the point where I want to vomit. You're fixated on the storm that nailed srn areas and extreme se mass a couple of weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 12z nam is just dirty, sim radar gets excellent echoes into long island sound, vortmax develops further west and is tucked in but precip just escapes due east, meanwhile the mid atlantic gets a very very nice little snowstorm, so much for wagons north winter in this regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Something I was unaware of. The NESIS rating system has evolved into an RSI (Regional Snowfall Index) rating system. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/rsi/ Pretty cool exploring around that site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 lol, pretty gutwrenching, we lost any snow tomorrow, and the weekend would certainly favor eastern new england, hope you get clocked with some fluff, good luck. Can't lose it when you never really had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Well it's just you and Scooter love looking for ways for E MA to get snow or linger snows longer than anyone elese in every storm...All we ask is you guys include everyone in the general disco You always do that bro...'oh looks like a south of the pike special' then you disregard anything and everything from anyone anywhere else that tries to take your snow away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Nobody mentioning that the 0Z GFS pulled a southern stream low out to attack the departing cold air Tuesday of next week. That got snow as far as lower southern New England and a significant event in the Mid Atlantic. This interests me because I am driving south to FL in that time frame. Is this the JI storm for me? lol, pretty gutwrenching, we lost any snow tomorrow, and the weekend would certainly favor eastern new england, hope you get clocked with some fluff, good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Well it's just you and Scooter love looking for ways for E MA to get snow or linger snows longer than anyone elese in every storm...All we ask is you guys include everyone in the general disco LOL who is "we"? dude... its where they live. We all look for ways for our backyards to get snow. How often do you look for ways for Tolland to get more snow or south of the Pike or the "interior"? Probably every time you look at the models. Cut them some slack... its a late-bloomer and this is a discussion board about weather possibilities. How often do you look for ways for SE MA or E.MA to get more snow or snow for a longer period of time? Plus I'm sure both of them love whenever folks talk about "interior this" and "interior that." Its like when I talk about upslope or something... no one cares or it angers them for some reason, but we all talk about our backyards and you can't fault people for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Can't lose it when you never really had it. all models were giving my locale snow up until 0z last night. I think the euro still does, but I am happy for the ma thats a nice little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 all models were giving my locale snow up until 0z last night. I think the euro still does, but I am happy for the ma thats a nice little event. They scraped you with like 0.05" which imo could mean nothing at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 They scraped you with like 0.05" which imo could mean nothing at all. I am not picky, flakes falling in the air would be just fine for me......so thats something I dont need a foot of snow, just mood flakes to remind me its winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 I am not picky, flakes falling in the air would be just fine for me......so thats something I dont need a foot of snow, just mood flakes to remind me its winter. definitely need a reminder here this year...already in the mid 40's and it's not even 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Something I was unaware of. The NESIS rating system has evolved into an RSI (Regional Snowfall Index) rating system. http://www.ncdc.noaa...ow-and-ice/rsi/ Pretty cool exploring around that site. Interesting... they revamped the descriptions a bit in the historic storm section Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 Lots of comments in here. today. lol wow I do hope you get some much needed snow and it isn't just confined to eastern MA and the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2012 Share Posted February 7, 2012 It's a shame to see a good s/w slide out to the south. It's possible there could be a weenie deformation band (albeit weak) across south coastal areas. That's a decent looking s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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