Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 After reading many mets referring to the 10-12 as a period to watch for a potential snowstorm, I felt it was appropriate to start a thread which will hopefully will switch up the negative juju which has developed. GFS is all in, Euro not yet but has hope, GGEM has at times. Long lead threat. Let's see what materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Good luck, Steve This year the models have been so fooked up, so maybe this pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i thought you were out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 The whole pattern shown looks pretty miserable with a large +NAO vortex over Northern Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 The thread titles have developed a theme this winter ...questioning the validity of a perceived threat. To save everyone some time, the answer is the same as for every other "threat" this winter. ... From a meteorological standpoint, this is something to watch at least. The Euro and GFS show remarkable agreement on the pattern actually. One interesting feature is the composition of the neutral NAO, which sort of resembles the configuration in December 2007 and 2008 ... a "west-based" +NAO ... enough to prevent storms from torching us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Heavy heavy desperation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I will check back in around the 9th... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Before you know it these long term threats will turn into tropical threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 i thought you were out? Out of what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 The whole pattern shown looks pretty miserable with a large +NAO vortex over Northern Canada. The thread titles have developed a theme this winter ...questioning the validity of a perceived threat. To save everyone some time, the answer is the same as for every other "threat" this winter. ... From a meteorological standpoint, this is something to watch at least. The Euro and GFS show remarkable agreement on the pattern actually. One interesting feature is the composition of the neutral NAO, which sort of resembles the configuration in December 2007 and 2008 ... a "west-based" +NAO ... enough to prevent storms from torching us Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Out of what? Threw in the towel on winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 Heavy heavy desperation. You talking to Will, Scott, Ryan, Tip, DT, all of who pointed this period out or just being a punk azz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Kinda has a "100 hour" storm vibe about it, doesn't it - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 You talking to Will, Scott, Ryan, Tip, DT, all of who pointed this period out or just being a punk azz? Nah, sure, this period has a chance...but making a threat thread 10 days out shows how desperate we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Nah, sure, this period has a chance...but making a threat thread 10 days out shows how desperate we are. There are global indicators that mid February is the best chance we've got, to date. I think the thread has merit. I don't think anyone is making any deterministic claim here - let it ride as an information center and there's no harm in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 Threw in the towel on winter Still can snow I believe I said, but figuring this is our best shot this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Still can snow I believe I said, but figuring this is our best shot this month. DT mentioned this last week (Friday?) eh... hoping against hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 There are global indicators that mid February is the best chance we've got, to date. I think the thread has merit. I don't think anyone is making any deterministic claim here - let it ride as an information center and there's no harm in it. Exactly why I started the thread, not saying it will, not desperate just a discussion of the potential every met on here has stated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Exactly why I started the threat, not saying it will, not desperate just a discussion of the potential every met on here has stated. That's what this board is here for....discussion. Now if only we could start a threat thread and have it still be a threat inside of 120 hours. Even if the threat is lost in the next couple days, sometimes disappear from guidance only to re-appear at a short lead time. Every other winter seems to have one or two storms that do that, just this winter they disappear and never come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 I'm all on for one good storm, but I'd lean towards another amorphous modeled storm 10 days away. Good luck with the juju thing, I'll go sell the rest of my cordwood and my snowblower if it helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Still can snow I believe I said, but figuring this is our best shot this month. I have to agree with you, That looks like the only window we will see, If this one fails, I think we will be able to put a fork in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 2, 2012 Author Share Posted February 2, 2012 I have to agree with you, That looks like the only window we will see, If this one fails, I think we will be able to put a fork in it Some ENS actually promote a neg NAO transient type phase change opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Even if its brief, Hopefully we can cash in on the +PNA and -NAO period with something here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 0z gfs says swing and a miss 10-12th but damn it's a good setup the best setup we've had in a while... better blocking and i think we'd have something decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 0z gfs says swing and a miss 10-12th but damn it's a good setup the best setup we've had in a while... better blocking and i think we'd have something decent Pretty amazing that we get a decent setup, yet by some act of God that defies physics...it fails to show any snow through the entire 384 hour suite. Pretty remarkable! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 amazing how dead the New England forum has been since 11pm euro dry for SNE thru 180hrs Feb 9th anyone have output for beyond? how is 10-12th looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i have a hope that mid march thru late april will be very snowy for elevated NNE LOL ....no really sugar loaf wildcat .....deep snow thru april my guess blocking for april is gonna rock very skeptical of getting anything big but ya the pattern is favorable as of now as upteen mets have said...how can u rationaly argue against that ....except for bring up curses or nonsense lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 i have a hope that mid march thru late april will be very snowy for elevated NNE LOL ....no really sugar loaf wildcat .....deep snow thru april my guess blocking for april is gonna rock All kidding aside, the Berkshires and even the high spots in the Litchfield Hills see many Aprils with a foot or more of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Before you know it these long term threats will turn into tropical threats. This winter will remind Steve not to troll the tropical dudes in the future. Something about payback and karma... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 There is nothing indice wise, model wise, ens wise or otherwise that is pointing to any lind of a storm threat in this time period or any time period thru the middle of the month. Other than mundane frontal passages..that's all we;ve got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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