JCsnow17 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The "Above 32 degree streak" has ended in Knyc after dropping down to 31 his morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 The "Above 32 degree streak" has ended in Knyc after dropping down to 31 his morning. Yea now this winter is truly boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 WTF is this. It's snowing heavy in Rome, Italy. It rarely snows out there. http://videochat.corriere.it/index_H2401.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 WTF is this. It's snowing heavy in Rome, Italy. It rarely snows out there. http://videochat.cor...dex_H2401.shtml Massive block over the eastern parts of the Atlantic...big time east based -NAO. Thats driving down cold into eastern europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Historical cold! Over 200 dead so far and climbing! Thousands hospitalize throughout Europe. Very sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 WTF is this. It's snowing heavy in Rome, Italy. It rarely snows out there. http://videochat.cor...dex_H2401.shtml That video is boring... Pretty cool considering there are palm trees in Rome. I wonder just how rare it really is. I would think along the lines of snow in say Charleston SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 That video is boring... Pretty cool considering there are palm trees in Rome. I wonder just how rare it really is. I would think along the lines of snow in say Charleston SC. Which is crazy considering Rome is at Chicago/Boston's latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Euro puts Thrs fri timetable in play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Euro puts Thrs fri timetable in play Of course, like the GFS op, its rain on the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Gulf Low will happen... espeically if the Arctic goes to the Gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Euro weeklies vs Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Euro weeklies vs Euro hilarious when you think about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 hilarious when you think about it. Euro vs Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Not gonna happen. Reason? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Reason? Because not a single one of the Euro fantasies has happened this winter. And because I am correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Because not a single one of the Euro fantasies has happened this winter. And because I am correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Reason? LOL.... Has it happened so far this winter? Have the models advertised this like 10 times already? Ooooh and its always 9-10 days away...EVENTUALLY it will happen, but probably not this winter season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Roger Smith Forecast models seem to have divided into two camps, the GFS/GEM strengthen the blocking and eventually push the cold air back west of the U.K. into Ireland (where it is being expelled today) but the Euro and UKMO seem more disposed to keep pushing weak Atlantic fronts further east setting the boundary back into Germany to eastern France. What it all implies for the northeast U.S., I would say, is that the chances for colder weather improve gradually if not dramatically as at least a weak blocking regime should develop further west as well. Of course, it's more significant for the northeast that a very warm ridge is developing across the west coast, we could easily be out on the golf course here this weekend. I believe the torch pattern just ended and won't reload except in minor near-normal episodes, meanwhile, colder air masses will get more of a green light from a northwesterly flow developing across central Canada towards southern Quebec. If we can get a vortex to deepen over Quebec then at least colder temperatures will lock in, storm track may stay largely offshore however unless we then see that vortex linking to any troughing further west around Nebraska. Looks more like a Miller-B type signal than Miller-A for snow potential later in the month. If a big storm does develop as I've said in my LRF, would expect the track of it to be something like TN-VA-NS. There's even something vaguely 1888 or 1993-like about this long slow buildup. Could be pointing to the one huge late storm outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 This is from a Meteorologist regarding the Euro. Jim Rinaldi. For those that heard the radio show I did earlier, this is exactly what I was talking about. The ridge builds in the west and forces the cold air into the east. And the AAO is indeed headed negative. So there very well may be something to this. . What is the AA0? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 This is from a Meteorologist regarding the Euro. Jim Rinaldi. What is the AA0? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/aao/aao.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Big differences between the two models. http://www.cpc.ncep....x/aao/aao.shtml I know where to find. I just never heard anyone talk about it. It does have a point though about it being positive for a long time. Maybe this is why the pattern isn't changing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 They both have a classic west based NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 This is what Roger Smith posted in the middle of January. Due to the nature of this forecast, I will make it very brief. The annual number crunch for my research method reveals a very mild pattern for the Great Lakes and northeast lasting through much of December and January, but a flip-flop to a very cold pattern by end of February into March. This seems a lot like 1967 as an analogue, so it suggests the wait for big-time winter storms may require patience, but could eventually be rewarded, by a developing strong storm track dropping south from a position through the Great Lakes in late January to the east coast in February. Would say that large anomalies are favoured in the pattern suggested, so could see anomalies of +4F or greater in December and January, and -4 F or lower in February. The severe cold suggested for February will probably pool over central Canada and the north central states from late November to mid-January to fire up a storm track that will run something like KS-MN early in the season, MO-MI later in January, and eventually GA-seVA-NS by February, as the severe cold pool is drained out by deflation of a persistent east coast ridge in the first half of winter. Big storm dates for the east coast -- Feb 15-25 looks best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Does the Euro show the big storm that the GFS is showing around day 8-10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 Yes Matt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 This winter is causing all of the weenies, like myself, to go into insanity and madness praying that maybe we'll see a couple of flakes from this. Mother nature is breaking the hearts of all weenies, but maybe there's still hope for this winter, if only barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 This winter is causing all of the weenies, like myself, to go into insanity and madness praying that maybe we'll see a couple of flakes from this. Mother nature is breaking the hearts of all weenies, but maybe there's still hope for this winter, if only barely. You'd think that you guys hadn't just had a near record-breaking winter last season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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