pazzo83 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Getting severe weather north of the M/D line in Late Feb is very anomolous. Perhaps further inland, but the coastal areas won't see much, in my opinon.. Agreed, even though SSTs are WAY above normal right now, mid-upper 40s ocean temps will still be kryptonite for any tstorms approaching the CP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Agreed, even though SSTs are WAY above normal right now, mid-upper 40s ocean temps will still be kryptonite for any tstorms approaching the CP. You would generally want a storm track a good bit to the north and west of where the Euro has it for any storms here anyway...you need to broaden the warm sector this time of year. As it is right now..maybe a thin line of "storms" (aka heavy rain and wind). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 You would generally want a storm track a good bit to the north and west of where the Euro has it for any storms here anyway...you need to broaden the warm sector this time of year. As it is right now..maybe a thin line of "storms" (aka heavy rain and wind). Still think we push into the 60s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Central Park, with a warm final week, can make a run at warmest winter ever. I'm down, let's torch and get #1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I will not give up on seeing any snow until April 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Still think we push into the 60s? Probably right ahead of the front late in the week...the calls for 60s on Wed/Thu were premature...850. temps of -2 to -4 don't get you to 60 F even in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I will not give up on seeing any snow until April 10th. it's like JB and Henry M had a child, and you came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I'm fine with this 45 degree weather we've been having all winter. Would have preferred some snow and cold, but it's still superior to a hot and humid summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Probably right ahead of the front late in the week...the calls for 60s on Wed/Thu were premature...850. temps of -2 to -4 don't get you to 60 F even in May. I'll take it. Perhaps the warmth will over-perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 it's like JB and Henry M had a child, and you came out. Steve d god father? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Steve d god father? DT the crazy uncle *ALEET* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 DT the crazy uncle *ALEET* Haha! Poor ant family reunions there must be weenies flying everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I will not give up on seeing any snow until April 10th. Even your hero JB has finally tossed in the towel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 it's like JB and Henry M had a child, and you came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Yup, a meaningful driving rainstorm, lol. Sometimes you and Ant need to take off the weenie googles and see the obvious. It's at the point now where there is a much better chance of seeing severe wx, then snow. I don't think it's the weenie goggles; the weenie goggles would be thinking there is a good chance in this winter. The next ten days are still in winter, and some runs cool us off, so it's not unreasonable to track it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 it's like JB and Henry M had a child, and you came out. OMG 0__________________O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 This weather pattern is so friggin boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 This weather pattern is so friggin boring We may have some awesome winds Friday and sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Well since snow is not in the cards. Can I have a March 2010 storm. High winds and heavy rain for a long stretch of the day can float my boat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Well since snow is not in the cards. Can I have a March 2010 storm. High winds and heavy rain for a long stretch of the day can float my boat No thank you..lost power for 4 days than,now if the power would stay on thats a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 Yeah I hear you. I used to wish for tropical storms but after 4 days of no power following Irene I'm not sure I'd want that again. And can't even imagine if she had strengthened to cat 2 as originally progged. No thank you..lost power for 4 days than,now if the power would stay on thats a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I remember the March 2010 storm like it was yesterday. Scariest thing ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I never thought I'd see a winter worse than 2001. I was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2012 Share Posted February 21, 2012 I remember the March 2010 storm like it was yesterday. Scariest thing ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 I'm happy I came to the poconos at least I get to see some snow before this atrocious winter is over, it's kinda nice sitting on the porch watching snow gently fall to the ground on a quiet night up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Ya gotta love El Ninos! Where was this footage taken? This storm was one powerful noreaster!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 March 1956 anyone? Ya gotta love El Ninos! Where was this footage taken? This storm was one powerful noreaster!!! Belt Parkway in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 check this out-AMWX gets mentioned in PHilly.com article Winter white flag? In a post yesterday we noted that the meteorological winter of 2011-12 -- that's the December through February period -- could crack into the top 3 for warmth in Philadelphia. And it appears that if February goes out like a lamb, nature won't have to change into a new costume in March. It will be moderately chilly during the weekend with March-like winds due Friday, but this is about to become the 12th winter in the period of record that a winter passed without a single three-day stretch of temperatures below 35 in Philadelphia. The Washington-based Commodities Weather Group observed this morning that the 11-to 15-day outlook is generally warm for the East. CWG also said it was turning up the burners in its forecast for all of March, based on persistence and the continuing cooler-than-normal waters in the tropical Pacific. As for storm threats, we noticed that on the American Weather Forums chat board someone had started a thread about something brewing at the end of the month, but the credentialed weathermen are writing off that prospect as hallucinatory. Should the March outlook work out, CWG is saying that for parts of the nation, this could become the warmest November to March period ever. A hardware store owner complained that he sold more mulch than rock salt in January, and now it may be time to put all those rocks in storage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 Adam (AMPSU ) I'm definitely concerned about busting the period post March 7. There is quite a large difference between the Roundy MJO guidance (which shows the MJO zipping through the phase space, getting into P7 by March 11 and P1 by the 18th) and the Euro Weekly Ensemble (which shows the MJO in P5 and P6 at those same periods, respectively). The Roundy guidance would bring cold back to the East much more quickly than the Euro, which shows very warm temps through its Week 3 and Week 4 periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 22, 2012 Share Posted February 22, 2012 11am temps in the mid 50s already. 60 should be within reach for many locations if we can keep enough sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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