ag3 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Yup the squall left me shafted around here. Drive 5 miles west to Astoria. Still white on most surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Have to say this weekend has been pretty fun, all things considered. Finally feels like winter, absolutely beautiful out there right now - wind howling, wind chills in the 10s, flurries flying, snow on the ground after 3.5" since Friday night (and heavy snow last night). It'll all be gone by mid week, but as the old saying goes, better to have experienced for a short time than not at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Have to say this weekend has been pretty fun, all things considered. Finally feels like winter, absolutely beautiful out there right now - wind howling, wind chills in the 10s, flurries flying, snow on the ground after 3.5" since Friday night (and heavy snow last night). It'll all be gone by mid week, but as the old saying goes, better to have experienced for a short time than not at all. And we still got time to add more this week. There is some probability of more accumulating snow between now and next Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 And we still got time to add more this week. There is some probability of more accumulating snow between now and next Sunday. I wouldn't hold my breath on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 did it shatter any windows? Yes but I can't take a pic. Had to run from the flying glass... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 As expected, today broke our streak of 20 days of positive departures. This has got to be close to a record for the DJF meteorological winter period. 1/23: 53/34 +11 1/24: 53/42 +15 1/25: 44/36 +7.5 1/26: 40/33 +3.5 1/27: 59/40 +16.5 1/28: 45/38 +8.5 1/29: 43/33 +5 1/30: 41/34 +4.5 1/31: 57/38 +14.5 2/1: 62/48 +22 2/2: 50/35 +9.5 2/3: 44/30 +4 2/4: 46/35 +6.5 2/5: 40/32 +2 2/6: 51/33 +8 2/7: 49/38 +9.5 2/8: 38/31 +0.5 2/9: 46/31 +4.5 2/10: 45/34 +5 2/11: 38/32 +0.5 Today at 2am was also the first time in 491 hours (or ~20.5 days, or nearly 3 weeks) that the temperature dipped below 30F (last time was 3pm on Sunday, Jan 22). Keep in mind, during this streak, the PNA was positive for 17 of these days (1/26-2/11). The AO was negative for the ENTIRE period. I know we didn't have much in the way of blocking, but even with other teleconnections lined up, we for the most part torched. With this current "arctic blast", the high still hit freezing (we haven't had a sub-freezing max since Jan 21) and our departure from normal is probably going to be -8. Hardly that cold, but still quite a break from the past 20 days. However, if this isn't the writing on the wall that this really will be the winter that wasn't, then I don't know what is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I said in late January that February will not be a top ten warmest month for Central Park... so much for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 As expected, today broke our streak of 20 days of positive departures. This has got to be close to a record for the DJF meteorological winter period. 1/23: 53/34 +11 1/24: 53/42 +15 1/25: 44/36 +7.5 1/26: 40/33 +3.5 1/27: 59/40 +16.5 1/28: 45/38 +8.5 1/29: 43/33 +5 1/30: 41/34 +4.5 1/31: 57/38 +14.5 2/1: 62/48 +22 2/2: 50/35 +9.5 2/3: 44/30 +4 2/4: 46/35 +6.5 2/5: 40/32 +2 2/6: 51/33 +8 2/7: 49/38 +9.5 2/8: 38/31 +0.5 2/9: 46/31 +4.5 2/10: 45/34 +5 2/11: 38/32 +0.5 Today at 2am was also the first time in 491 hours (or ~20.5 days, or nearly 3 weeks) that the temperature dipped below 30F (last time was 3pm on Sunday, Jan 22). Keep in mind, during this streak, the PNA was positive for 17 of these days (1/26-2/11). The AO was negative for the ENTIRE period. I know we didn't have much in the way of blocking, but even with other teleconnections lined up, we for the most part torched. With this current "arctic blast", the high still hit freezing (we haven't had a sub-freezing max since Jan 21) and our departure from normal is probably going to be -8. Hardly that cold, but still quite a break from the past 20 days. However, if this isn't the writing on the wall that this really will be the winter that wasn't, then I don't know what is. Wow. Those stats really are a testament to how much of a non-winter we are experiencing. Right at the time of year when climo says temps should be at their lowest too. Still waiting for Autumn to end....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Wow is right. Imagine what happens when the AO goes back positive within a week or so and if we get a -PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Wow. Those stats really are a testament to how much of a non-winter we are experiencing. Right at the time of year when climo says temps should be at their lowest too. Still waiting for Autumn to end....... Our climatological minimum is right around January 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 As expected, today broke our streak of 20 days of positive departures. This has got to be close to a record for the DJF meteorological winter period. 1/23: 53/34 +11 1/24: 53/42 +15 1/25: 44/36 +7.5 1/26: 40/33 +3.5 1/27: 59/40 +16.5 1/28: 45/38 +8.5 1/29: 43/33 +5 1/30: 41/34 +4.5 1/31: 57/38 +14.5 2/1: 62/48 +22 2/2: 50/35 +9.5 2/3: 44/30 +4 2/4: 46/35 +6.5 2/5: 40/32 +2 2/6: 51/33 +8 2/7: 49/38 +9.5 2/8: 38/31 +0.5 2/9: 46/31 +4.5 2/10: 45/34 +5 2/11: 38/32 +0.5 Today at 2am was also the first time in 491 hours (or ~20.5 days, or nearly 3 weeks) that the temperature dipped below 30F (last time was 3pm on Sunday, Jan 22). Keep in mind, during this streak, the PNA was positive for 17 of these days (1/26-2/11). The AO was negative for the ENTIRE period. I know we didn't have much in the way of blocking, but even with other teleconnections lined up, we for the most part torched. With this current "arctic blast", the high still hit freezing (we haven't had a sub-freezing max since Jan 21) and our departure from normal is probably going to be -8. Hardly that cold, but still quite a break from the past 20 days. However, if this isn't the writing on the wall that this really will be the winter that wasn't, then I don't know what is. very good post, goes to show that a +PNA plus a -AO does not automaticaly equal cold, even in the heart of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 very good post, goes to show that a +PNA plus a -AO does not automaticaly equal cold, even in the heart of winter. As I have indicated before, indices are proxies, not forecasts, otherwise people would just put teleconnection values in a computer and get a forecast. I have also pointed out that the lack of fresh deep snow cover anywhere near us would ameliorate any 'cold shot'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Our climatological minimum is right around January 20th. Correct, but there is actually a secondary minimum right around Feb 5 after the climatological "January thaw" This graph is from the blog Gothamist: http://gothamist.com/2012/02/06/sunny_and_mild_weather_for_the_gian.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Nine of the eleven warmest years in Central Park history have occurred in the last 21 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Correct, but there is actually a secondary minimum right around Feb 5 after the climatological "January thaw" This graph is from the blog Gothamist: http://gothamist.com...or_the_gian.php Something is warm with that graph because there were eighty degree days in March since 1971. If the graph of extreme values continues, it would only be a matter of time that Central Park will have an eighty degree day during met. winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Something is warm with that graph because there were eighty degree days in March since 1971. If the graph of extreme values continues, it would only be a matter of time that Central Park will have an eighty degree day during met. winter. I think it's a graph of daily mean temps. So some of those towards the end of March are days where the avg temp was 70+ (mega torch). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Temp actually up a degree to 27 in the park at the 11pm hour. LMAO, what an epic fail for a cold snap. Still in the low 30s right in midtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Piers Corbyn is calling for a big east coast storm next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Piers Corbyn is calling for a big east coast storm next week That will work out as good as his last MASSIVE snowstorm in the Northeast worked out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Piers Corbyn is calling for a big east coast storm next week If I had a dollar for every time someone said that since December, I'd own Bill Gates. Can all the weenies finally come down to Earth please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scooter13 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Piers Corbyn is calling for a big east coast storm next week I'll have my umbrella ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Central Park recorded 0.2 inches of snow yesterday by the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Central Park recorded 0.2 inches of snow yesterday by the way. Was about to note the second day with accumulating snowfall at the Park since the October storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 6z gfs.wooooof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Had no access to my computer , Wasn`t avoiding my awful forecast last week 1 BL issue 2 0 in westhampton 3 - 2-3 in NYC ALL 3 WERE HORRIFIC . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Had no access to my computer , Wasn`t avoiding my awful forecast last week 1 BL issue 2 0 in westhampton 3 - 2-3 in NYC ALL 3 WERE HORRIFIC . its ok alot of people putting out forecasts this year have been dissapointed lol. what do you think about next weekends storm threat, as far as chances and how powerful it could be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 its ok alot of people putting out forecasts this year have been dissapointed lol. what do you think about next weekends storm threat, as far as chances and how powerful it could be? Thanks , I blew up inside 24 hrs - so I`m honestly gun shy again in this pattern . The only thing that came around were the indices , the pattern seems the same ole to me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Thanks , I blew up inside 24 hrs - so I`m honestly gun shy again in this pattern . The only thing that came around were the indices , the pattern seems the same ole to me . so once again for this weekend its a timing situation with the southern/northern stream, though this weekend we do got some confluence in se canada and 50/50 low so i think it has a "better" chance. btw you have been informative with your forecasts and input and ive really come to enjoy your opinions on upcoming storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 so once again for this weekend its a timing situation with the southern/northern stream, though this weekend we do got some confluence in se canada and 50/50 low so i think it has a "better" chance. btw you have been informative with your forecasts and input and ive really come to enjoy your opinions on upcoming storms. Ha man , Thanks . This pattern is a hard one to fight with . I havent seen anything that makes me feel good yet . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Nine of the eleven warmest years in Central Park history have occurred in the last 21 years. Yeah, the number of records for warmth has been very impressive over this time frame. NYC annual temperatures I guess the question to ask is how far out into the future would NYC see a decrease in average annual snowfall if this trend were to continue at a similar rate? NYC winter temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.