SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 You can keep the 70s until at least May. I wouldn't mind all of April being 65, sunny, dry and with a light breeze. I can only dream of such a utopian spring. I really think this spring will turn crappy, watch the NAO turn sharply negative and we get a cold, wet spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I will never believe the models until the same day. What a depressing turn of events. We went from 3-6 inches to 0. This might be the worst winter ever. We should do a poll on that soon. It'll be between 2001-2002, 2007-2008, or 2011-2012 (unless we get some big storm before the winter officially ends). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I really think this spring will turn crappy, watch the NAO turn sharply negative and we get a cold, wet spring. If that's the case hopefully we get some nice wind storms as well like march 13! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I'd take a crappy Spring if it meant a perfect Summer. I really really want the torch trend to continue but if we end up with another Summer 2009 I'd be extremely upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 If that's the case hopefully we get some nice wind storms as well like march 13! Any wind storms not tropical are about as cool as HIV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Any wind storms not tropical are about as cool as HIV Not true! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 This winter is worse than 2007-2008. It is making 2001 seem great. This might end up being the worst winter. I had over 60 inches last winter. Only 4 this winter. The pattern doesnt look bad going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I will never believe the models until the same day. What a depressing turn of events. We went from 3-6 inches to 0. This might be the worst winter ever. Its a tie between 01-02. However, February 2002 was warmer than this. At least January 2002 had some snow shots, parts of PA had a MECS in JAN 02. but THIS? Absolutely nothing to track at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 If I wanted Norfolk, Virginia's climate, I would live there.... Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Did central park record anything other than a trace? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I finished with a little higher than an inch, but nearly all of the snow has melted. I. Hate. This. "Winter." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 i would like another spring 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Its a tie between 01-02. However, February 2002 was warmer than this. At least January 2002 had some snow shots, parts of PA had a MECS in JAN 02. but THIS? Absolutely nothing to track at all. '95, '98, '02, '07, and '08 were all on par with this one...though '95 did have a nice storm in February (actually the 1st snowstorm I experienced since moving to Port Jeff). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I will never believe the models until the same day. What a depressing turn of events. We went from 3-6 inches to 0. This might be the worst winter ever. you are obviously to young to remember 1997-1998 (5 inches on march 22nd - the Park finished with 5.5 for the year) and 2001-2002... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 We should do a poll on that soon. It'll be between 2001-2002, 2007-2008, or 2011-2012 (unless we get some big storm before the winter officially ends). 1997-1998 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Its over.......see u in the spring....long range is horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Possible storm next weekend. Weeehooo. 0-o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 I will never believe the models until the same day. What a depressing turn of events. We went from 3-6 inches to 0. This might be the worst winter ever. Most never thought 3 to 6 inches was coming. It's not a good thing when it's almost 50 degrees the day before the storm, with temps progged to barely get to freezing during the storm. You really need heavy snow to overcome a warm ground situation like this, which was never really in the cards here. It was really only a few model runs that teased with .50 of QPF. There was nothing to be very optimistic about. This wasn't like the late January storm where we had cold temps to start out with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Most never thought 3 to 6 inches was coming. It's not a good thing when it's almost 50 degrees the day before the storm, with temps progged to barely get to freezing during the storm. You really need heavy snow to overcome a warm ground situation like this, which was never really in the cards here. It was really only a few model runs that teased with .50 of QPF. There was nothing to be very optimistic about. This wasn't like the late January storm where we had cold temps to start out with. This was a setup where with a relatively decent coastal low we'd have been fine, all we needed was an hour or two of 1/2 mile moderate snow conditions and most areas would have dopped to around 30-31 and with the snow cover have stayed there, marginal events though with the temps we had do not work out ever, even in the coldest part of the winter. I always point to the March 1999 storm, it was 48 degrees at 4pm and by 11pm 32 and snowing, thats the huge advantage of living on the East Coast vs. say Indianapolis or Cincy, you can get those thermally driven storms that can really cool the bounday layer in marginal situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF CONTROL MODEL THAT JUST CAME OUT HAS A KU FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS NOT A JOKE!!! IT PRODUCES A BLIZZARD FOR EVERYONE FROM DC TO BOSTON AS IT BRINGS THE LOW FROM THE GULF COAST ON SATURDAY TO THE DELMARVA ON SUNDAY MORNING AND BOMBS IT THERE TO A 978MB, THEN ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT ENE FROM THERE ALMOST DUE EAST, KEEPING US IN THE HEAVY DEFORMATION BAND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY!! TOTAL PRECIP IS NEAR 2 INCHES AND 850'S ARE BELOW FREEZING FROM DC TO BOSTON THE ENTIRE TIME OF THE STORM. THE ONLY AREA CLOSE BY THAT GETS ABOVE FREEZING AT 850 IS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NJ ALONG THE COAST FOR A SMALL TIME PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Euro ensemble mean has decent precip over the area day 6-7 as well. But in model time, it's super fantasy land this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Euro ensemble mean has decent precip over the area day 6-7 as well. But in model time, it's super fantasy land this year. I went with a snowless month and I'm still sticking with it. There is a chance something will happen but we're going to need remarkable timing of everything in order to get it to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Interesting HPC OPERATIONAL MODEL AND ENS RUNS OF GFS/CMC/ECMWF CONTINUE TO INDICATE KEEPING A POSITIVE HT ANOMALY SOUTH OF GREENLAND LATE PERIOD. COMPOSITE ANALOG RUNS OF ALL OF THESE CENTER THIS ANOMALY FARTHER WEST AS A WEST BASED NEG NAO OVER DAVIS STRAIT OR LABRADOR. IF THIS OCCURS THE STORM TRACK WOULD BE FORCED FARTHER SOUTH WHICH INCLUDES THE ONE MID PERIOD AND ANY POSSIBLE EJECTION OF ENERGY LATE PERIOD OR POSSIBLY INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. THIS IDEA HAS POPPED UP RECENTLY BY SEVERAL OPERATIONAL MODEL RUNS INCLUDING ECMWF/CMC AND JMA AT VARIOUS TIMES. LONGER TERM D+11S SHIFT THIS ANOMALY EASTWARD TOWARDS EUROPE. BEST BET FOR NOW TO FOLLOW AN INCREASED BLEND OF ENSEMBLES UNTIL GUIDANCE SETTLES DOWN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 The daily " huge storm 7 days out post" - what's it come to fruition one of about 15 this year? Beginning to seem like a joke THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF CONTROL MODEL THAT JUST CAME OUT HAS A KU FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THIS IS NOT A JOKE!!! IT PRODUCES A BLIZZARD FOR EVERYONE FROM DC TO BOSTON AS IT BRINGS THE LOW FROM THE GULF COAST ON SATURDAY TO THE DELMARVA ON SUNDAY MORNING AND BOMBS IT THERE TO A 978MB, THEN ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT ENE FROM THERE ALMOST DUE EAST, KEEPING US IN THE HEAVY DEFORMATION BAND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SUNDAY!! TOTAL PRECIP IS NEAR 2 INCHES AND 850'S ARE BELOW FREEZING FROM DC TO BOSTON THE ENTIRE TIME OF THE STORM. THE ONLY AREA CLOSE BY THAT GETS ABOVE FREEZING AT 850 IS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NJ ALONG THE COAST FOR A SMALL TIME PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 The wednesday event might be bigger than this past storm for some areas lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Although they are hurting big time up here too, winter is still alive in Lake Placid. Mirror Lake has a very thick layer of ice...a few inches of snow left around, and we've had snow showers and flurries since about 9 pm last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Dgex is a weenie solution alert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jggearhead Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 What do the winds look like with this cold front?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 11, 2012 Share Posted February 11, 2012 Would you prefer I post sunny and 50 or showers and 45? The daily " huge storm 7 days out post" - what's it come to fruition one of about 15 this year? Beginning to seem like a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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