Isotherm Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I haven't seen a snowflake beyond light flurries for 5 minutes since October. How appropriate that this year's AMS beckoned us away the day before our last "snowstorm". I'm close to getting through this entire meteorological winter without seeing any accumulating snow... that'd be a feat. I'm loving the 00Z NAM's forecasted radar for tomorrow evening. Could it find any other ways to avoid my location? I'm happy to be in SE PA for this one, and not home in CNJ. My total's at 7" in Villanova, most of that from the October storm. Maybe tomorrow will bring us to 8 or 9 inches with any lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Maybe some snow showers based on the Nam radar for new bruns. Close though to Nada as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I haven't seen a snowflake beyond light flurries for 5 minutes since October. How appropriate that this year's AMS beckoned us away the day before our last "snowstorm". I'm close to getting through this entire meteorological winter without seeing any accumulating snow... that'd be a feat. I'm loving the 00Z NAM's forecasted radar for tomorrow evening. Could it find any other ways to avoid my location? Didn't your area see some snow with the January 21 storm? For this one, the models are going against each other with this, with the NAM sliding the northern edge of the precipitation ESE almost like 2/5/10, while the GFS, ECM, CMC and UKMET bring more precipitation up into northern NJ and NYC. It's a bit hard to determine which idea is correct, but I do expect to see at least some snow showers for northern NJ tomorrow evening and in the overnight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Didn't your area see some snow with the January 21 storm? He was in New Orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Fwiw gfs is a bit better then the nam for tomorrow .......get new Brunswick to .10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Cant wait for the snow tomorrow. Woooo. what snow??? if tomorrow is 30 days long you might see some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Fwiw gfs is a bit better then the nam for tomorrow .......get new Brunswick to .10 Even NYC isn't too far from 0.1" QPF... it's starting to appear that the NAM is the southernmost solution for tomorrow. Hopefully the NAM caves in to the rest of the models, but with the way things have been this winter it's hard to know for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I've measured 5.1" of snow this season...IIRC, there was more last year... Paraphrasing Monty Python (badly), In 2011 William said, "Oh thank heaven, its snowing. You wouldn't believe the dream I just had" 'No son, this is the dream; you're still back in 01-02.' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 from top to bottom this was the worst gfs run i have ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 from top to bottom this was the worst gfs run i have ever seen MJO is favorable and the GFS keeps on spitting out garbage. I don't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jiksports Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 from top to bottom this was the worst gfs run i have ever seen Its a cold to warm/rain to cold pattern... without even much cold, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Its a cold to warm/rain to cold pattern... without even much cold, actually. Sounds strangely like the past 2 months. Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 MJO is favorable and the GFS keeps on spitting out garbage. I don't get it. the mjo works for us if it has help from other teloconnections and they work in tandem. The -nao just won't go negative this year, pna is losing its pop, and the pv continues to hang around the davis straight. SE ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I have a feeling we will get a big storm. Either this month or next month. Bank on it. I am not giving up on this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I have a feeling we will get a big storm. Either this month or next month. Bank on it. I am not giving up on this winter. :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Anthony, next year we will get the big one, IF we get El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 I have a feeling we will get a big storm. Either this month or next month. Bank on it. I am not giving up on this winter. We probably will get a big storm.. GFS shows at least two tonight Rainstorms! Persistence to the pattern has been the key and continues to be the key.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 what snow??? if tomorrow is 30 days long you might see some The snow that will fall from the sky tomorrow. Your area will see sunshine. :weenie: I love hot dogs Anthony, next year we will get the big one, IF we get El Nino. Early indications are that the La Nina will be gone by the Summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 We probably will get a big storm.. Snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Unless something significant happens between President's Day and the second week of March, this winter is well on its way to being the rightful successor to the winters of 1997-98 and 2001-2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 models really backed off on moving the heart of the cold air over our area.. it really zips it in and out quickly... much like has been the case all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 models really backed off on moving the heart of the cold air over our area.. it really zips it in and out quickly... much like has been the case all winter. its also amazing how some high profile mets buy in to the model runs time after time and then when the actual date the cold and snow progged by the models 7 -10 days previous approaches its not nearly as cold and and of course snowy as first advertised.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 the Snow88 radar http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=default®ion=SHD&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 the Snow88 radar http://www.intellica...HD&animate=true Snow is on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Virga is on the way fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 8, 2012 Author Share Posted February 8, 2012 Snow is on the way yeah if all of that was hitting the ground we would have several inches but 75 % of it is virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 If you're looking for a good site that explains a lot of the AO, NAO, PDO, PNA, ENSO stuff, I've found this site below has a great summary of each with good examples and easy to understand explanations. http://www.nc-climate.ncsu.edu/climate/patterns/CurrentConditions.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 yeah if all of that was hitting the ground we would have several inches but 75 % of it is virga Weenie lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 yeah if all of that was hitting the ground we would have several inches but 75 % of it is virga Did I ever say accumulating snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 8, 2012 Share Posted February 8, 2012 Did I ever say accumulating snow? How old are you anyway? I mean, I've never seen someone so excited over seeing a few snowflakes in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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