SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 yea whoops cant have snow with 40 degree temps You actually can, it just won't stick. I think it can snow, meaning snow falling with temps near 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Even though the GFS operational run shows nothing, it seems interesting how the majority of the 18z (and 12z) GFS ensemble members are showing a storm potential around Wednesday... The 12z CMC FWIW also signaled for something around that time frame. It'll be interesting to see if the models lose it or keep it, as it could be perhaps just a false call as happened with a handful of other storms that showed up on ensemble members in the medium range but disappeared by the shorter range. 0z GFS now shows something on Wednesday night FWIW... it's very light snow but with the way this winter is going I'll gladly take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 00z gfs gives us some light snow wed night into Thursday....sne thread touch on this also....as it might be a system to watch before the 10th.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 GFS is really cold next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 GFS is really cold next weekend The western ridge doesn't appear to be as strong, but the PV still stays displaced through hour 192 (which is where the run is up to so far). It may not be this way but at least the change with the PV is finally starting in the 120-144 hour range and not the fantasy 300+ hour range... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 The 0z GGEM also shows the shortwave for Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 long range gfs has massive blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Weenie storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Weenie storm Of course the GFS weenie storms have to be at hour 384 when they're the least likely to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Since this is the banter thread, weenie storm at the end of the GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Some far out fantasy but the gfs at 348-384hrs show a textbook Greenland block and what it could do for us. Not a bad medium to long range on the gfs, definite storm potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Hour 360 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 0z GFS has massive blocking and a -NAO in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 tonights run shows you why this winter has been awful. As soon as a west based block shows up on the gfs, we get a blizzard. We need that -NAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Hour 360 whats with the stupid emoticon? that map looks great, best since last January...clowns to the left of me jokers to the right...god almighty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 whats with the stupid emoticon? that map looks great, best since last January...clowns to the left of me jokers to the right...god almighty. It's the GFS at hour 360... best looking map I've seen in a long time but in complete fantasy range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 GFS is really cold next weekend what does the GEFS show for tomorrow? .57453535252151 inches of precip smoothed out from the members??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 what does the GEFS show for tomorrow? .57453535252151 inches of precip smoothed out from the members??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Greenland heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Greenland heat wave. The GFS 850mb temp anomalies show it well... this could easily be one of the best long range GFS runs of the entire winter. EDIT: The new image doesn't update for some reason but it's on the 0z GFS link at RaleighWx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 that storm was heaven....we are probably decades from one of those on LI again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Greenland heat wave. if that is close to right, buy oil now...it will be frigid for weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 that storm was heaven....we are probably decades from one of those on LI again Best storm of my life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 I have a feeling its going to get real quiet around here - no storm threat in site - same ole same ole - fooled by the models again ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 This winter is really killing the traffic on this site!! 12pm on Saturday and there have been like 10 posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Such a nice day for late Spr-all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 I have a feeling its going to get real quiet around here - no storm threat in site - same ole same ole - fooled by the models again ...... It's quiet now but that could change quickly. Models are even different for this storm within 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 there is no point in even watching the precip today further north then progged there is no cold air around - 47 degrees here. As for the future storm prospects if the euro shows nothing just like the gfs foretaboutit - these models have been playing the same old game all winter looks good in the long range then when we get closer - nothing and some high profile mets have fallen for it every time ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Be patient. We have two possible storm threats next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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