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February Short Range Obs/Discussion Thread


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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 49

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

140 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

TORNADO WATCH 49 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST FOR THE

FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

VAC027-051-010200-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0049.120229T1840Z-120301T0200Z/

VA

. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUCHANAN DICKENSON

WVC005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-029-035-039-043-045-047-

051-053-059-067-069-073-079-081-085-087-095-099-103-105-107-109-

010200-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0049.120229T1840Z-120301T0200Z/

WV

. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOONE BRAXTON BROOKE

CABELL CALHOUN CLAY

DODDRIDGE FAYETTE GILMER

HANCOCK JACKSON KANAWHA

LINCOLN LOGAN MARSHALL

MASON MCDOWELL MINGO

NICHOLAS OHIO PLEASANTS

PUTNAM RALEIGH RITCHIE

ROANE TYLER WAYNE

WETZEL WIRT WOOD

WYOMING

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WWUS30 KWNS 291835

SAW9

SPC AWW 291835

WW 49 TORNADO KY OH VA WV LE 291840Z - 010200Z

AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..

25NNW CAK/AKRON OH/ - 60SSW HTS/HUNTINGTON WV/

..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /15SE CLE - 63ENE LOZ/

HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.

MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26050.

You beat the weather radio...lol

Most of the western half of WV under the Watch.

67/62 with no sun....If we get some breaks in the clouds that would shoot up the potential.

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Watch box goes all the way up to the Lake Erie area.. its a bit further north than I thought it would be. Probs are MOD across the board for all threats

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND

INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ON NRN AND ERN PERIPHERY OF ONGOING SVR

TSTMS OVER CNTRL KY. 18Z ILN SOUNDING INDICATES THAT AIR MASS HAS

BECOME UNCAPPED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS OH WITH SBCAPE

VALUES OF AROUND 800 J/KG. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD /REF.

18Z ILN SOUNDING AND CURRENT VAD DATA/...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST

FOR LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES

AND DAMAGING WINDS.

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV

230 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...

WESTERN BOONE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MADISON...

SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

NORTHERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

NORTHWESTERN MINGO COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

SOUTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 224 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

CHARLEY...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLAINE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50

MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

DUNLOW...KIAHSVILLE...RANGER...HARTS...GILL...CHAPMANVILLE...

SPURLOCKVILLE...JULIAN AND VAN.

.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.

WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A

TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A

STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE

DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY

AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

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T6th warmest Dec

T18th warmest Jan

4th warmest Feb

3rd warmest Dec-Feb

Still a shot at the 3rd least snowy winter.

Just awful.

Awful doesn't quite cover it. Ghastly, deplorable, harrowing, and repulsive work a bit better.

I'm an optimist so I'll look at the bright side. The odds of next year being worse are pretty slim and I save a couple hundred bucks on my gas bill this season.

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Awful doesn't quite cover it. Ghastly, deplorable, harrowing, and repulsive work a bit better.

I'm an optimist so I'll look at the bright side. The odds of next year being worse are pretty slim and I save a couple hundred bucks on my gas bill this season.

Same thoughts here...I'd go as far to say that future winters couldn't be any worse in our life time left here on Earth.

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Tornado Watch extended farther east up to the Virginia/West Virginia border.

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 49

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV

256 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

WVC001-033-041-075-083-091-097-101-010200-

/O.EXA.KRLX.TO.A.0049.000000T0000Z-120301T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 49 TO

INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING

IN WEST VIRGINIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA

WEBSTER

IN NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA

BARBOUR HARRISON LEWIS

POCAHONTAS RANDOLPH TAYLOR

UPSHUR

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BELINGTON...BRIDGEPORT...

BUCKHANNON...CLARKSBURG...COWEN...ELKINS...GRAFTON...MARLINTON...

PHILIPPI AND WESTON.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0186

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0223 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN VA...NWRN NC...FAR NERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 292023Z - 292130Z

A TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY 22Z ACROSS WRN VA...NWRN

NC...FAR NERN TN.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION AND DESTABILIZATION WILL CONTINUE AHEAD

OF ONGOING SEVERE CONVECTION OVER KY/TN/WV...WITH THE SVR THREAT

SPREADING EWD DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DESPITE MARGINAL

INSTABILITY...STRONG LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL PROMOTE A THREAT FOR

DMGG WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES WITH BOWING LINE SEGMENTS...AND

LEWP/SUPERCELL STRUCTURES

..COHEN.. 02/29/2012

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT

ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...RLX...MRX...

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