WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Feb 1st is going to look like this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 +20 for the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 31, 2012 Author Share Posted January 31, 2012 I'd say that's very reachable. I think the low temp will probably be at midnight tomorrow night, and that could prevent a +20. Average daily temp is ~33F at BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Bring it. I'm tearing down an old Tron arcade game and could use the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I'm running the a/c as we speak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 IAD 2 degrees shy of the daily max T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 Feb 1st is going to look like this: Hopefully you can do better than I was able to do. Surely you can top 1 page per day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I dunno if this goes here or in the storm thread.... but I think here is better so it doesnt get lost... great post by Coastal Euro ensembles still break down the ridge and try to torch the east near Valentines Day. They still continue that trend. Before that, there is still a pretty good storm signal near the 10th to the 12th as the long wave trough gets into a better position for some sort of storminess in the East. Obviously too early to say if it would be more interior or coastal...but the signals are there. It's what happens after that's the problem. We may break out of the pattern..or at least walk the line as mild Pacific air enters the country. However, guidance is still at a disagreement with the GEFS and GEM having more ridging, less Pacific flow and therefore colder air and a better trough signal in the east The EC flattens the ridge out and actually floods the country with milder air. This has been a trend in the last 48-60 hrs. It does to build a little ridging back up again near the end of the run as the Aleutian low tries to send more ridging into AK, but that's far out in time. The other guidance basically has trended a bit towards the EC, but they also remain a bit stubborn and do not break down the ridging. I'd still probably blend some of the guidance together, as all models may be displaying some of their bias in the long range, but you can't ignore what the EC is doing. However I think tropical forcing and placement of Aleutian low may argue that the EC could be a bit fast in flipping the PNA negative. Regardless, I just don't like seeing the better guidance show a quicker pattern flip and that concerns me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 I dunno if this goes here or in the storm thread.... but I think here is better so it doesnt get lost... great post by Coastal It's a very good post and is what I worried about when posting my pattern is getting better post. If the euro is correct, I'm going to look pretty foolish and already have plenty fo weenies on the CWG site proclaiming that they think I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 31, 2012 Share Posted January 31, 2012 It's a very good post and is what I worried about when posting my pattern is getting better post. If the euro is correct, I'm going to look pretty foolish and already have plenty fo weenies on the CWG site proclaiming that they think I'm wrong. You should have a contest, you against the weenies. Make them post their predictions against yours, that will shut them up pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 1, 2012 Author Share Posted February 1, 2012 The "low" this morning at BWI is only 50F. NWS is forecasting upper 60s this afternoon, and the real low temp of the day will probably come just before midnight. I think a +20F day is quite possible. Record highs though, seem well out of reach since in 2002, the big 3 airports were all 75-77F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 It was 56 at midnight at my location, somehow got down to 42 for the low, but was back up to 55 by 7 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Bright sunshine. Borderline beach weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Embrace your shorts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 60.1° at 10:21am on February 1st. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 60.1° at 10:21am on February 1st. Wow. Low 70s today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Low 70s today? too many clouds it seems. tho that would be quick work toward verifying my 70+ in feb prediction made in december. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Still with sunshine and no significant cloud deck in Baltimore. But don't think we can get to 70 up here even with that help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 too many clouds it seems. tho that would be quick work toward verifying my 70+ in feb prediction made in december. some breaks off to the west of DC so I say it is still possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 some breaks off to the west of DC so I say it is still possible we might get a good jump if winds turn more westerly.. could be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Low 70s today? Somebody will get there (Warrenton already 68) but I doubt it will be any of the DC proper climo sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Records are out of reach today, and this is why: 10°C 850 line into central NY on Feb 1, 2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Records are out of reach today, and this is why: 10°C 850 line into central NY on Feb 1, 2002 So early Feb 2002 was rather warm. The following winter wasn't too bad, IIRC. El niño possible for next winter. A man can dream, can't he? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 So early Feb 2002 was rather warm. The following winter wasn't too bad, IIRC. El niño possible for next winter. A man can dream, can't he? MDstorm You sir are in Stage 5 of this winter. The pain should lessen soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 dca might get one of those absurd 6-8 degree jumps next ob or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 It sure does feel nice outside: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 It sure does feel nice outside: ES350 ehh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 dca might get one of those absurd 6-8 degree jumps next ob or two Virtually a guarentee. 69.0 for the high of the day right now. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 dca might get one of those absurd 6-8 degree jumps next ob or two They just went from 57 to 62 last ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Report from lunch in downtown Baltimore...the sidewalk restaurant tables full and people happily enjoying the sun while eating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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