Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 So let me get this straight? Your reasoning for it's chances being low are because of a TV forecast almost 7 days away? No, but also because others here have said the odds are against it, and this winter has been terrible as far as snow chances go. It just seems a big difference between the talk here and the local forecast. Like I said, I know they are conservative this far out, but that seems to be a big difference. A lot will have to happen to really make this a reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 If you had a basic understanding you wouldn't be surprised. You are wasting your time. Understanding is not available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 If you had a basic understanding you wouldn't be surprised. I am surprised because of how this winter has been. It would be much less surprising if the potential was gone based on how bad this winter has been for snow. And I will be very surprised if this actually happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 So let me get this straight? Your reasoning for it's chances being low are because of a TV forecast almost 7 days away? Yeah, that sort of stuff has got to stay in the banter thread for this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 You are wasting your time. Understanding is not available. I guess everyone has to be an expert here and not just someone who really enjoys following the weather in regards to snow, severe storms, and hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I guess everyone has to be an expert here and not just someone who really enjoys following the weather in regards to snow, severe storms, and hurricanes. Yea, that's kind of the rule for this place when posting in the model threads. You at least have to grasp some basic understanding which you claim you do. Glad to see you take up my challenge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 At the very least Brick, you have hopefully figured out this thread for "banter" is the right place for "banter".............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 So let me get this straight? Your reasoning for it's chances being low are because of a TV forecast almost 7 days away? An Atlanta weekend met nailed the blizzard a week out. It can happen, lol. Of course, that was the greatest nail I ever saw nailed Still, a week out, with a track that needs to be in Fla. and sparse cold near by, I'm liking the chances T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well, it would be nice if people actually talked about weather here and not use this thread for another off-topic forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well, it would be nice if people actually talked about weather here and not use this thread for another off-topic forum. You basically made the exact same post in this thread that you did in the model thread. Why make two posts saying the same thing if you thought one belonged in the banter thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 At the very least Brick, you have hopefully figured out this thread for "banter" is the right place for "banter".............. The banter thread never came about until our Brick started posting. The banter thread is sorta like my Boston Terrier's crate... "Go to your room..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 An Atlanta weekend met nailed the blizzard a week out. It can happen, lol. Of course, that was the greatest nail I ever saw nailed Still, a week out, with a track that needs to be in Fla. and sparse cold near by, I'm liking the chances T I like my chances enough to get lunch to go so I can track the Euro...let's hope that WRAL isn't a hammer expert. Now I'm curious to know how the UKMet looked for those outside N. GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well, it would be nice if people actually talked about weather here and not use this thread for another off-topic forum. I just dont understand it... youve been following on here for what seems like a decade... have you not picked up on some weather knowledge yet? As in just seeing the basics of the modeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Well, it would be nice if people actually talked about weather here and not use this thread for another off-topic forum. Brick they do, it's in the mid/long range disco and the storm threads. You just don't understand it. Which goes back to my other post... there is no understanding. Therefore the Banter thread is a Brickville, USA where you are the Mayor. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 You basically made the exact same post in this thread that you did in the model thread. Why make two posts saying the same thing if you thought one belonged in the banter thread? Because of what I said with people treating this like an off-topic thread instead of a weather banter thread. It's kind of hard to figure out where exactly it is ok to post around here when some folks post banter in the non-banter thread and it being ok, and others taking this place way too seriously and acting like they are a mod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I just dont understand it... youve been following on here for what seems like a decade... have you not picked up on some weather knowledge yet? As in just seeing the basics of the modeling? Yes, I have. But I just make general observations about the models and the forecasts and what has happened before. I don't see why that is so bad. I just enjoy the snow, and the excitement of severe weather and hurricanes. And I was just making an observation on how different the discussion here is with the local forecast for this weekend. All I am saying is things would have to go just right for there to be snow here, and that hardly happens. Most people don't even know there is a chance if they just looked at their local forecast. I think the difference between the two are pretty funny and amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Yes, I have. But I just make general observations about the models and the forecasts and what has happened before. I don't see why that is so bad. you cant just generalize a winter and say we havent had snow so it cant happen now when this setup is unlike any weve had all winter, the NAO is finally slightly negative, and the mjo phase is in our favor..... also, using TV mets as references 7 days out is just........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 you cant just generalize a winter and say we havent had snow so it cant happen now when this setup is unlike any weve had all winter, the NAO is finally slightly negative, and the mjo phase is in our favor..... also, using TV mets as references 7 days out is just........... I didn't say it couldn't happen. I said it probably won't. It usually doesn't in cases like this when we have to thread the needle to get snow. I have seen plenty of times when the models and forecasts showed snow, and we didn't get anything. I have also seen plenty of times when the models and forecasts didn't call for much snow and we got a bunch. The truth is you never really know what you will get around here when it comes to snow. I guess the fun is in finding out if the models and forecasts are wrong or right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I like my chances enough to get lunch to go so I can track the Euro...let's hope that WRAL isn't a hammer expert. Now I'm curious to know how the UKMet looked for those outside N. GA. Good man, I'm glad your priorities are in place Looks like the guidance was just a few days off back last week. Not the big storm it was, and the cold your storm brought in isn't entrenched like I'd hoped but we still have a chance tonight, and the future has possibilities. I think td's are the hope down here tonight....for at least some spattering of sleet at onset. I'd like to see some clouds coming in to cap this heat that's building. This weekend coming..well, lots of time to get things in line, but it is a chance we haven't had this winter. I don't think it will be the last either, but I'm an optimist until the Masters..always. And if worst comes to worst...I look to gain some much needed rains. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Euro sounds like RDU is right on the border for snow this weekend. Of course it would be like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 Euro sounds like RDU is right on the border for snow this weekend. Of course it would be like that. winter is over Remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 winter is over Remember? It sure seemed that way. Just hard to be positive with this thing. Looks like RDU is right on the line, as usual. Looks like we had the precip on the Euro, but not enough cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 If some places get a two inch snowfall and end up with 20-30% of their yearly average does that equal a win for the bulls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I'm trying really, REALLY, REALLLLLLLLLLLY hard to not get excited about a possible storm this weekend. Just one freaking, little, one day storm is all I want so I don't have to say this has been the worst winter of my life! Okay back to your regular scheduled banter programming..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 It would be nice to see some snow, but I don't think 1 to 2 inches of snow would make up for the rest of winter. Need at least 6 inches of snow to make it seem worthwhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 It would be nice to see some snow, but I don't think 1 to 2 inches of snow would make up for the rest of winter. Need at least 6 inches of snow to make it seem worthwhile. Beggers can't be choosy or else you really aren't too upset about the lack of winter. Would a starving homeless person turn their nose at a bite of food because it isn't enough to make them completely full? If the answer to that question is yes then I'd say the begger wasn't really that hungry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 The worst thing about being on the line now is also the best thing. At least there is something to watch, but now we'll be watching every model run like crazy for the next 6 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 The worst thing about being on the line now is also the best thing. At least there is something to watch, but now we'll be watching every model run like crazy for the next 6 days! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I'm waiting in the carpool line right now and on my tablet. This new mobile skin is awesome! So much better than the old one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2012 Share Posted February 13, 2012 I don't get anyone saying if I don't get some snow, it'll be nice to see someone else get a big hit. That's like saying if I can't be with this girl I really like, it'll be nice to see her have sex with some other dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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